2008 TCRs

[CrazyC83]

Two more TCR's out - Josephine and Kyle.

Kyle's peak intensity increased to 75 kt.

Forgive me for my forgetfulness, but what was Kyle's peak intensity before? 70kts?

Yep, 70 kt originally.

[CrazyC83]

Polo TCR now out. Peak intensity 40 kt (although I believe it was stronger than that, my guess is 50-55 kt and they make mention that the estimate is very conservative).

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/TCR-EP182008_Polo.pdf

[Chacor]

The TS Kika report is now available from CPHC:
http://www.prh.noaa.gov/cphc/summaries/2008.php#kika

[cycloneye]

(EPAC) Hurricane Genevieve report is up.

Read it at the first post of thread.

[CrazyC83]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/TCR-AL082008_Hanna.pdf

Hanna TCR now out. Peak intensity bumped up to 75 kt.

[HURAKAN]

WOW, We have almost all the storms before 2009. They're working fast this year.

[wxman57]

WOW, We have almost all the storms before 2009. They're working fast this year.

All the insignificant storm reports are in, anyway. No Ike, Gustav, Fay, Omar, Paloma, or Dolly.

[HurricaneRobert]

There's still Laura. That will be the next boring one to come out.

[wxman57]

There's still Laura. That will be the next boring one to come out.

Yeah, I'm on the edge of my seat waiting for Laura. We're trying to prepare a report on Ike for a January 6th meeting. It would be nice if the post-storm report came out by then.

[CrazyC83]

My guess is Laura will be next, unless they have classification issues (whether it was sub/tropical sooner?).

[CrazyC83]

WOW, We have almost all the storms before 2009. They're working fast this year.

All the insignificant storm reports are in, anyway. No Ike, Gustav, Fay, Omar, Paloma, or Dolly.

And those ones, especially Fay, Gustav and Ike, will likely be long. They may take a while to produce.

[Chacor]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/TCR-AL032008_Cristobal.pdf

Cristobal TCR updated.

[CrazyC83]

What changes were made? I don't see anything significant...I would have increased Cristobal's peak intensity to 60 kt at 22/1200 though at the time of the eye feature.

Update: Noticed that 21/0000 was updated from 45 kt to 50 kt.

[CrazyC83]

Norbert TCR now out. Peak intensity 115 kt (too high IMO considering the Recon flight later, I could see the case re: structural changes but I think it peaked around 100-105 kt and did not regain major hurricane intensity a second time).

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/TCR-EP152008_Norbert.pdf

[CrazyC83]

This is just my opinion, but changes I would make in the best track to Norbert thinking Dvorak overestimated the strength all along:

08/0000 (970mb / 90 kt) --> 970mb / 85 kt
08/0600 (960mb / 100 kt) --> 960mb / 95 kt
08/1200 (952mb / 110 kt) --> 954mb / 100 kt
08/1800 (945mb / 115 kt) --> 946mb / 105 kt
09/0000 (948mb / 110 kt) --> 948mb / 100 kt
09/0600 (954mb / 100 kt) --> 956mb / 90 kt
09/1200 (960mb / 85 kt) --> 963mb / 80 kt

11/0000 (960mb / 90 kt) --> 959mb / 85 kt
11/0600 (953mb / 100 kt) --> 951mb / 95 kt
11/1200 (954mb / 95 kt) --> 953mb / 90 kt
11/1630 LF (956mb / 90 kt) --> 954mb / 90 kt
11/1800 (957mb / 90 kt) --> 956mb / 85 kt

[Ed Mahmoud]

Double Post- it didn't seem to go through the first time.

[Ed Mahmoud]

There's still Laura. That will be the next boring one to come out.

Yeah, I'm on the edge of my seat waiting for Laura. We're trying to prepare a report on Ike for a January 6th meeting. It would be nice if the post-storm report came out by then.

How did the meeting go?

I wanna see the Dolly report because I predicted in my unoffical and amateur way upgrade to a TC for Invest 94L 4 times in 5 days, and was only correct once.


BTW, next time, if you stop at WaterBurger for taquitos before the meeting, you're not the meteorologist who put on a PowerPoint show, you're the guy that brought breakfast.

[Hurricanehink]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/TCR-EP152008_Norbert.pdf - Norbert's TCR is out. Less time as a Cat. 4, has a Cat. 2 and Cat. 1 Mexican landfalls.

"making Norbert the strongest hurricane on record to strike the western Baja California coast" - confirmed by TCR

[somethingfunny]

BTW, next time, if you stop at WaterBurger for taquitos before the meeting, you're not the meteorologist who put on a PowerPoint show, you're the guy that brought breakfast.

Either you haven't lived in Texas as long as I thought you had or you know something about their burgers I don't

[Ed Mahmoud]

BTW, next time, if you stop at WaterBurger for taquitos before the meeting, you're not the meteorologist who put on a PowerPoint show, you're the guy that brought breakfast.

Either you haven't lived in Texas as long as I thought you had or you know something about their burgers I don't

Been calling them that for decades. Been to the two story one in Corpus Christi after a night at the clubs. Been to the WaterBurger in Lafayette, LA, which I suspect is the Easternmost one in America.