ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION CLAUDETTE (04L)

[Frank P]

The models are starting it off right inbetween at 25.9 & 83.1 and ending up in the Biloxi if I am reading that right clfenwi

Looks more like just west of the NOLA area to me...

[Cainer]

SHIPS taking this up to an 85 MPH hurricane... Mind you, this is after 2 days over water which seems a little dubious. Still though, this is the type of storm that can be all the worse because people have very little time to prepare. I expect a STDS will be released by NHC sometime soon, or they will wait until 11 to announce it.

[Aric Dunn]

https://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/image ... orm_91.gif


lol they call that a model run... it looks funny..

[Nimbus]

The models are taking as far west as -90 so it could be a real problem for the panhandle area. Doubt we see too much along the central west coast unless it stalls.

[smw1981]

It looks to be moving between NNW/NW in my humble opinion. That wouldn't leave it much time in the gulf (depending on which way it decides to head) to strengthen. Even with the SSTs being so high right now in the gulf, I wouldn't think it could make it to TS, MAYBE Cat 1 before another landfall if it continues in it's current direction.

Disclaimer - I am not a pro met, nor do I pretend to be...just my opinion!!

[scogor]

Hey, Dixie, long time for us old time storm2ker's!! So much for a quiet season. Sounds like this investigation/TD wannabe will be more of a headache for the panhandle than for us central west coast floridians. Already made my first Publix run just in case our A or B storms pay a visit!

[dixiebreeze]

How well I remember Elena stalling along the Florida west coast! Days of destruction.

[Javlin]

The models are starting it off right inbetween at 25.9 & 83.1 and ending up in the Biloxi if I am reading that right clfenwi

Looks more like just west of the NOLA area to me...

You're right Frank had to go to Ham put in the zip we are 30.4N will be about 90m S at that point

[KWT]

Well it has about 36hrs probably over water if it can take a west enough route, which as we saw with Humberto can happen.

[dixiebreeze]

Hey, Dixie, long time for us old time storm2ker's!! So much for a quiet season. Sounds like this investigation/TD wannabe will be more of a headache for the panhandle than for us central west coast floridians. Already made my first Publix run just in case our A or B storms pay a visit!

Hey Scogor! How are you? Together again in the storm season. I don't dare make a Publix run yet -- I'd come home with a dozen hot, spicy wings. Just hope this thing doesn't stall the way Elena did.

[Frank P]

The models are starting it off right inbetween at 25.9 & 83.1 and ending up in the Biloxi if I am reading that right clfenwi

Looks more like just west of the NOLA area to me...

Tou're right Frank had to go to Ham put in the zip we are 30.4N will be about 90m S at that point

Ironic that I gassed up all my containers today, and resupplied the bottled water stock... all I have to do now is just roll down the shutters...

[ronjon]

Needs to have low pressure work down to the surface before we get too excited - so far, just a mid-level circulation.

[smw1981]

It depends on if it moves in the more NNW direction (catching the Panhandle) or if it moves more NW (towards Lousiana, or MS gulf coast as the one model calls for).

This is insane...last night I went to bed with not much going on...now there are 2 TS and another invest in the gulf. 24-36 hours and the tropics are now rockin!

[tolakram]

What's interesting to me is the way the sat loop looks.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t3/flash-ir4.html

All the convection blobs suddenly circling around the mid level center. That sure looks similar to TD development.

[smw1981]

Well it has about 36hrs probably over water if it can take a west enough route, which as we saw with Humberto can happen.

Right, and that definitely gives it a long enough time to get amped up. We will see...

[Aric Dunn]

Well it has about 36hrs probably over water if it can take a west enough route, which as we saw with Humberto can happen.

humberto went from nothing to hurricane in little over 12 hours.. lol

[Frank P]

Needs to have low pressure work down to the surface before we get too excited - so far, just a mid-level circulation.

You're absolutely right, but as we've experience over the years... expect the unexpected with these things.... might not do anything but be a big rain maker... ya never really know.... but its been organizing all day today... whose to say it's not going to continue... I think the first invest in the GOM warrants a little excitement....

[scogor]

Remember Elena (Labor Day weekend) like it was yesterday. My parents were down for one of my good friend's wedding and I had to call them in the middle of the night to get them out of the Hyatt and over to our home so they could hunker down with us.

Hopefully, whatever is developing out there won't be as indecisive as Elena. As I recall, those few days battered Cedar Key!

[dixiebreeze]

Dvorak: 15/2345 UTC 25.7N 82.9W T1.0/1.0 INVEST

[artist]

ever since this morning my dogs started sensing something going on. lol