Northern GOM

[Miami Storm Tracker]

Everyone keeps talking about the Gulf, we have had a constant blow up of Thunder storms south west of Cuba for days now. They pulse down then regenerate, from what I can tell wind sheer does not seem to bad in that location. Maybe some thing might form down there and move north.

[Dean4Storms]

Everyone keeps talking about the Gulf, we have had a constant blow up of Thunder storms south west of Cuba for days now. They pulse down then regenerate, from what I can tell wind sheer does not seem to bad in that location. Maybe some thing might form down there and move north.

LOL.... Well I could have sworn the title of this thread was "Northern GOM!" But I am getting older!

[Dean4Storms]

NWS Mobile on this Low in afternoon Marine Discussion.....

.MARINE...A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES
WESTWARD ACROSS THE MARINE AREA THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. A WEAK
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF
AND MOVE NORTHWARD INTO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST LATE IN THE WEEK. THIS
WILL RESULT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING IN COVERAGE THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEK. A LIGHT AND VARIABLE FLOW PATTERN WILL BECOME
ONSHORE AND INCREASE LATER IN THE WEEK AS THE LOW MOVE NORTHWARD.
SEAS WILL GRADUALLY BUILD THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AS WELL. /13

[Miami Storm Tracker]

Everyone keeps talking about the Gulf, we have had a constant blow up of Thunder storms south west of Cuba for days now. They pulse down then regenerate, from what I can tell wind sheer does not seem to bad in that location. Maybe some thing might form down there and move north.

LOL.... Well I could have sworn the title of this thread was "Northern GOM!" But I am getting older!

Lol Dean you are correct, just an observation, of course as soon as I posted that I see the storms weakening.

[Dean4Storms]

NWS Tallahassee discussion.

Good Lord, some 1 to 2 Feet of Rain????


The global models forecast plenty of deep layer
Q-G forcing tonight, and the various Convection Allowing Models
(CAM) show plenty of convective bands as well, though we may see a
bit of a decrease (albeit temporary) in rain between 06 UTC and
12 UTC. Based on some of the new CAM runs (which show
extraordinary but believable isolated QPF bulls eyes of 1-2 feet
of rain from tonight through Thursday), we bumped up our previous
storm total QPF a bit. See the "HYDROLOGY" discussion below for
details.

[LaBreeze]

Local met is mentioning tonight that the models are backing off on the amount of moisture for northwestern Gulf Coast and pushing it more to the north and northeastern Gulf Coast. Anyone else seeing this trend?