? Blizzard Next Weekend For The East ?
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
Also the 0z GGEM has taking a track a bit further to the south than the 12z run... It will probably flip- flop until approx 4 days before the storm threatens. The 0z GFS has trended a bit to the south, but not by much as the bullseye looks to be southern NJ, SE PA and all point due E from there, of course this is just my interpretation of the model run. Looks like an interesting forecasting challenge ahead for us all.
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hurricanedude
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NWS WAKEFIELD VA
.EXTENDED...
STILL QUITE A BIT OF DISAGREEMENT BETWEEN SOURCES OF LONG RANGE GDNC
FOR WED/THU. WTH PIECE OF POLAR VORTEX EXITING SE CANADA...AND MEAN
ERN U.S. UPR TROF AXIS RLTVLY FAR E...UPR SYSTEM LUKS TO BE IN AND
OUT QUICKLY. TRAJ AND UPR PATN WUD SUGG BEST THREAT FOR ANY PTNL
SNOW WUD BE VA AND DELMARVA ON S. KPG SNOW IN FCST. BY
FRI/SATURDAY...ANOTHER PIECE OF THE POLAR VORTEX FCSTD TO SINK INTO
GREAT LAKES AND MEAN UPR TROF AXIS MAY CONT ITS GRDL RETROGRESSION...
WHCH IF IT HAPPENS...CUD LEAD TO BETTER CHCS FOR FUTURE UPR IMPULSES
TO INTERACT WTH GOM AND GULF STREAM...NEXT WEEKEND AND BEYOND.
STILL QUITE A BIT OF DISAGREEMENT BETWEEN SOURCES OF LONG RANGE GDNC
FOR WED/THU. WTH PIECE OF POLAR VORTEX EXITING SE CANADA...AND MEAN
ERN U.S. UPR TROF AXIS RLTVLY FAR E...UPR SYSTEM LUKS TO BE IN AND
OUT QUICKLY. TRAJ AND UPR PATN WUD SUGG BEST THREAT FOR ANY PTNL
SNOW WUD BE VA AND DELMARVA ON S. KPG SNOW IN FCST. BY
FRI/SATURDAY...ANOTHER PIECE OF THE POLAR VORTEX FCSTD TO SINK INTO
GREAT LAKES AND MEAN UPR TROF AXIS MAY CONT ITS GRDL RETROGRESSION...
WHCH IF IT HAPPENS...CUD LEAD TO BETTER CHCS FOR FUTURE UPR IMPULSES
TO INTERACT WTH GOM AND GULF STREAM...NEXT WEEKEND AND BEYOND.
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Guest
nywx wrote:Also the 0z GGEM has taking a track a bit further to the south than the 12z run... It will probably flip- flop until approx 4 days before the storm threatens. The 0z GFS has trended a bit to the south, but not by much as the bullseye looks to be southern NJ, SE PA and all point due E from there, of course this is just my interpretation of the model run. Looks like an interesting forecasting challenge ahead for us all.
Well here is the total qpf with this run of the gfs for this system. I like how it kinda follows what i say now. Hopefully it wont vary much on the next few runs. But my guess it will.
BTW i do agree Hurricanedude. Pretty good for that location.
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StormCrazyIowan
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StormCrazyIowan wrote:Ohhhh.....have a look at me getting the shaft!
Some things never change!!
Like I should complain, we still have a full blanket of snow!
Now now there my Jacki.
This has plenty of time to change. Which my guess is that it will. The finer details anyways.
No shafting yet!
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