Model Consensus Shifting West Bigtime

otowntiger · #41 Postby **otowntiger** » Wed Sep 22, 2004 3:51 pm

I think the big question is how strong will she be? The NHC seems to think some shear will keep her in check, if not weaken the hurricane. What is your take on that at this time?

Coastal-GA · #42 Postby **Coastal-GA** » Wed Sep 22, 2004 4:31 pm

Wow....SouthernWx :lightning:

.....thanks for the Savannah Hurricane history....mine certainly doesn't go back that far.....my reasoning goes with the local Savannah lore...."Haven't seen a bad hurricane in 100 years." But I ALWAYS watch. Just in case...thanks for the updated info!!

SouthernWx · #43 Postby **SouthernWx** » Wed Sep 22, 2004 4:38 pm

Here's some interesting reading....the HURDAT hurricane re-analysis project.
Check out #4....toward the bottom of the page...regarding landfalling Georgia hurricanes between 1850 and 1900.
http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/hurdat/

The October 1898 cat-4 was as intense as Hugo (120 kt)...and caused a 19' foot storm surge near Brunswick (downtown Brunswick was innundated...offshore barrier islands were obliterated).

Anonymous · #44 Postby **Anonymous** » Wed Sep 22, 2004 4:46 pm

weatherwoman wrote:why does everyone keep talking about florida north carolina is the place being talked about by the models and thc and twc time to get off of florida sounds like you guys want it to hit you again

...ahhh but this childish bunk again. Weatherwoman you better learn what trends are in forecasting weather, they don't play favorites to fit someones little image.
model trends, weather patterns, & storms don't play favorites so why don't you sit down with a good book on weather or better yet do some searching and read up, a lot available on the net - then come back and talk about something interesting such as models or theories why you predict what the weather will do?

Mike

Doc Seminole · #45 Postby **Doc Seminole** » Wed Sep 22, 2004 5:55 pm

NativeFloridaGirl wrote:I can't even imagine another tropical system here. We had over 10 inches of rain yesterday (from Ivans ghost) after the aproximately 7 from Frances just a couple weeks ago.
~Beth~

Roger dogder on the rain...... sheesh, we have had 30+ inches here since Charley...... 8-)

#46 Postby **TampaFl** » Wed Sep 22, 2004 6:07 pm

Weatherwomen, with all due respect be very carefull what you wish for!. At this time Jeanne is not a Florida , GA, SC, or NC hurricaneproblem. It is currently a Southeast US problem to be. Lets all hope not. I for one do not want another hurricane or tropical storm to hit Florida, 4 for the year is enough!. As for NC, you all have been hit/affected by 6 storms already!. Just pay attention to it. The models will change several more times before it is all said and done with.

Robert 8-)

#47 Postby **LSU2001** » Wed Sep 22, 2004 6:15 pm

Just a hunch and only a hunch but watch out for a Betsy repeat.
Tim

#48 Postby **TampaFl** » Wed Sep 22, 2004 6:48 pm

#49 Postby **Deenac813** » Wed Sep 22, 2004 6:57 pm

lsu2001 wrote:Just a hunch and only a hunch but watch out for a Betsy repeat.
Tim

shhh dont say that too loud.. Jeanne might hear you! :wink:

#50 Postby **ncbird** » Wed Sep 22, 2004 7:01 pm

I feel so sorry for you all in Florida... but thanks but no thanks... don't send it our way... we here in NC don't want it either.

Bane · #51 Postby **Bane** » Wed Sep 22, 2004 7:02 pm

yoda wrote:
jlauderdal wrote:
yoda wrote:Don't forget GA!

jeanne doesnt like peaches...sorry.

And why not? It may not like oranges either...

Well, hopefully she is a non-smoker as well.

Bane · #52 Postby **Bane** » Wed Sep 22, 2004 7:04 pm

otowntiger wrote:I think the big question is how strong will she be? The NHC seems to think some shear will keep her in check, if not weaken the hurricane. What is your take on that at this time?

Shear isn't expected to be a factor. They're hoping dry air and SSTs will keep her in check. If it doesn't, she could definitely become a major pain in our butts.

Model Consensus Shifting West Bigtime

Who is online