fci wrote:
Never had a Hurricane Watch for the Keys and they did get Hurricane conditions (or really close to them).
No, the Keys did not have sustained hurricane winds. A TS warning was exactly the appropriate level for the conditions they eventually got.
Dade was at the bottom of the Hurricane Warning area and even local Mets predicted the "weaker south side" of the storm for their area.
Do I need to quote the official definition of a hurricane warning? There's nothing in there about it meaning any less simply because it's the "bottom" of the warning area.
It's not the fault of the NHC if local mets got it wrong.
They had it coming in at about 2 AM Saturday and it came in 8 hours earlier.
Now there's the one point on which I might somewhat agree in a criticism of the NHC performance on this storm. They were slow in recognizing that the forecast slowdown wasn't happening.
But the impacted area was under warning in good time, and bottom line, that's what matters.
NEVER publicly forecasted the turn to the SW. Mentioned in discussions which only weather-nuts like us read.
So you wanted them to jump on the GFDL idea, ignoring all the other guidance? What if that outlier had been wrong, and the other guidance right? Then, according to you, they would have "blown it" in the opposite direction?
Or is it that you want them to include all the info in the discussion into the public advisory? That would just introduce mass confusion, IMO.
I still believe that they blew it
Hey, it's my opinion and yours is different and is definitely respected by me but not agreed to.
Of course you're free to have your opinion, but in my opinion you're just dead wrong on this.
