Invest 92L,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

[cycloneye]

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... =Animation

Loop of GFS at 144 hours.

[gatorcane]

thanks Luis

[cjrciadt]

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.cgi?time=2005083106&field=850mb+Vorticity&hour=Animation

Loop of GFS at 144 hours.

Also looks like we get TD 15(Maria?) as well in the coming week or longer.

[Andrew92]

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.cgi?time=2005083106&field=850mb+Vorticity&hour=Animation

Loop of GFS at 144 hours.

Also looks like we get TD 15(Maria?) as well in the coming week or longer.

No, I think 92L may become Maria....because I think TD 13 becomes Lee tonight or early tomorrow (TD 13 should be a fish no matter what).

If TD 15 comes in a week, it may be Nate instead, unfortunately. But anyway, I will definitely be watching 92L if it develops, which I think it will.

-Andrew92

[cycloneye]

But Andrew remember that 91L is out there too and can be TD14/Maria.

[cycloneye]

31/1800 UTC 7.8N 23.9W T1.0/1.0 92 -- Atlantic Ocean

[Andrew92]

But Andrew remember that 91L is out there too and can be TD14/Maria.

Almost forgot about 91L! But I think 92L will develop faster than 91L, but we'll see.

If what cjrciadt and the GFS say is true about next week, and 91L develops as well, we could then have *gulp* Ophelia next week?

Don't wanna sound any alarms, but we shall see what happens!

-Andrew92

[MBismyPlayground]

But Andrew remember that 91L is out there too and can be TD14/Maria.

EEEWWW are you saying we are getting close to hurricane O??????
That one also gives me a very sick feeling in my gut(again).........

[Canelaw99]

91L is which one again? LOL It's not the same as TD13 correct? So, we currently have 91L, TD13, AND 92L?

[cjrciadt]

We reached "I" Ivan last year on Sept 2nd last year, were flying by that if anything forms in the next week. I'm taking an Alaskan vacation next summer.

[Brent]

91L is which one again? LOL It's not the same as TD13 correct? So, we currently have 91L, TD13, AND 92L?

Yep... not unusual for August 31st. Last year at this time, Category 4 Frances was bearing down on the Southeastern Bahamas.

[Canelaw99]

Yep, I remember....just trying to suppress I think lol

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (AL922005) ON 20050831 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050831 1800 050901 0600 050901 1800 050902 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 7.9N 23.7W 7.8N 26.4W 7.7N 29.0W 7.9N 31.3W
BAMM 7.9N 23.7W 7.8N 26.1W 7.9N 28.5W 8.2N 30.7W
A98E 7.9N 23.7W 7.4N 26.5W 7.2N 29.4W 7.1N 32.1W
LBAR 7.9N 23.7W 7.3N 26.8W 7.1N 29.8W 7.5N 32.7W
SHIP 20KTS 22KTS 25KTS 31KTS
DSHP 20KTS 22KTS 25KTS 31KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050902 1800 050903 1800 050904 1800 050905 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 8.3N 33.4W 9.5N 36.7W 11.4N 39.6W 13.2N 41.9W
BAMM 8.8N 32.9W 10.1N 37.2W 11.8N 41.9W 13.6N 47.0W
A98E 7.0N 34.6W 7.6N 38.9W 8.5N 43.1W 10.3N 47.3W
LBAR 8.0N 35.6W 9.2N 41.2W 9.6N 45.8W 11.3N 49.6W
SHIP 39KTS 55KTS 63KTS 68KTS
DSHP 39KTS 55KTS 63KTS 68KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 7.9N LONCUR = 23.7W DIRCUR = 255DEG SPDCUR = 14KT
LATM12 = 8.4N LONM12 = 20.9W DIRM12 = 255DEG SPDM12 = 15KT
LATM24 = 9.5N LONM24 = 18.3W
WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM



Lesser Antilles threat according to the 18:00z Tropical Models.

[Brent]

Why does it remind me of Ivan???

Extremely low latitude...

[Canelaw99]

Do ya have a graphic for us long./lat. challenged types?

[gatorcane]

Luis do you have the latest model runs (graphics) and a link to them?Thanks.

[cycloneye]

The graphic has not been updated yet but refresh it constantly until you see the 18:00z run.

[cinlfla]

The graphic has not been updated yet but refresh it constantly until you see the 18:00z run.

Why does the Ukmet show twice and one is way off?

[cycloneye]

Oh 91L is the blue line at the top.

[tracyswfla]

All I can say is I am praying for a fish!