Strong Wave with low in Eastern Atlantic

[windstorm99]

Wave in the eastern atlantic really has my attention as there is some serious model support out in the eastern atlantic.With now the SAL almost gone from the entire altlantic september has the potential to be very busy in 07.

[punkyg]

Well does any one have the latest pic of this wave?

[windstorm99]

Well does any one have the latest pic of this wave?

[Gustywind]

Absolutely windstorm99 , and nice upper level conditions right now to support this next feature...interresting to monitor in the next few days!!!:uarrow:
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... m7sht.html
Shear tendency really on the decrease with very light low shear 0 to 10 kts on the area 20 w to 60w.....
http://www.wunderground.com/data/640x480/atlm_shear.gif

[punkyg]

Does this wave have a low with it.

[Gustywind]

no low right now punkyg... or my are deceiving me , too early should wait to see more on this once it emerges

[punkyg]

Wonder where mister Meso at to answer my questions.
I like you Gustywind you not like every one else.

any ways do you think this wave will survive til tomorrow or fall apart and get absorbed by the ITCZ?

[Sanibel]

Looks like we have a system here folks. Stepping off Africa with weak convection but good form.

[caneman]

Meso or Mod please change title of thread to wave in East Atlantic. I almost didn't spot this thread and nearly started a new one. Looks good as it in the East Atlantic now.

[cycloneye]

Still the wave has not emerged in its entierly,but being so organized,it was appropiated to put that in title.

[punkyg]

Can some one pull up the latest models runs.

[caneman]

Thanks Cyc

[cycloneye]

Steve Lyons talked about this wave saying that "We are going to have to watch this wave in the comming days as it has a well defined circulation".

[HurricaneMaster_PR]

Steve Lyons talked about this wave saying that "We are going to have to watch this wave in the comming days as it has a well defined circulation".

Thats right, and also its interesting to note how thunderstorms begin to get stronger as it moves off the coast...

[punkyg]

Really man i really didn't notice that maybe this is another Dean like storm.
you know gets it act together starting at the coast of africa.

[BigA]

Thats right, and also its interesting to note how thunderstorms begin to get stronger as it moves off the coast...

From my thoroughly unprofessional experience, it seems that systems that actually gain convection as they leave Africa tend to be likely to development, and I would give this one good odds, given that it is September 5/6, and that their is little SAL, high moisture, and low shear.

A bit off topic, but I've never entirely understood why tropical waves often lose most of their convection upon moving off Africa. When a hurricane that has moved over land moves back from land to water, its convection refires, but for a tropical wave, it appears the opposite.

[cycloneye]

LSU Image



This image updates every three hours.

[BigA]

Looks solid, with developing convection to the west of the center.

[punkyg]

So the image i'm looking at is the latest? if so then this baby don't look half bad. cycloneye doe you think this will turn into anything like dean and felix, but this time move a little more north then the both.

[HURAKAN]