ATL: HARVEY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[CrazyC83]

Based on the dropsonde and all the data I agree with 110 kt. Mention that it might reach cat 4 before landfall.

[Frank P]

The eye has really become majestic this afternoon.

This things making landfall within three hours at this rate.

this thing is still intensifying as it approaches the coast.. the last frame of that eye on that loop looks just about perfect....

[NDG]

I think we are seeing it start pressing on its brakes as I type this.

[wxman57]

Still no new NHC advisory. I'm expecting a westward shift after Monday. Perhaps inland near Matagorda Bay then northward.

[SunnyThoughts]

the northwestern eyewall will be reaching the coast in about 2 hours or so. Seidel is in port Lavaca on TWC and he is going to get rocked. we should get some great footage from him before dark.

Yeah, he shows the hotel they are staying in, I can just about guarantee water will be up to the first floor at some point. It is apparently built up to the point where the first floor is like 10 ft high...or up quite a few feet off the ground anyway.

[DodgeDemon2018]

So I have been reading that the loop shown in the EURO and GFS have shifted more west causing the storm to go well north of the South East Texas area. So is this final or is it still coming as NOAA still has it headed towards Galveston? I guess nobody will really know until it gets closer as these things are changing so fast, but it seems to be a complete miss of Houston right?

[Happy Pelican]

Oh my goodness. These poor people. My Sandy PTSD is off the charts just watching and reading all of this yet I can't look away. I pray they have a fair sho at a successful recovery

[Rail Dawg]

Trying to judge exactly where to go to get the eye.

We won't help you try to deliberately drive into the eye of a major hurricane.

Good point. I'll stop asking.

Will report in later.

[RL3AO]

Still no new NHC advisory. I'm expecting a westward shift after Monday. Perhaps inland near Matagorda Bay then northward.

Probably debating 110 vs 115 knots.

[wkwally]

People in the Houston area need to calm down Just watched a fist fight over a pack of batteries. There is no need for this and I know and understand the need to prepare but the media needs to calm down a little as they are starting to cause panic buying and raised anxiety with the public. My understanding that Houston will not be getting hurricane force winds and the rain event will be spread out over the week and not at one time.

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Up to 125mph now.

...MAJOR HURRICANE HARVEY BEARING DOWN ON THE TEXAS COAST... ...CATASTROPHIC FLOODING EXPECTED DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL AND STORM SURGE...
4:00 PM CDT Fri Aug 25
Location: 27.5°N 96.5°W
Moving: NW at 10 mph
Min pressure: 941 mb
Max sustained: 125 mph

[SunnyThoughts]

http://www.kristv.com/category/292861/live-stream Great live stream out of corpus

[Hurricane Andrew]

I believe this thing may hit 135mph before landfall...look at it!

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?pa ... o1-13-48-1

[MBryant]

I'm in Orange and do not expect most effects for a few days. But I do recall several storms stalling right at the coastline and maintaining strength due to the flat geography of the Texas Coastline and warm water at the coastline feeding energy into the system. Is this still possible or even likely?

[Raebie]

So I have been reading that the loop shown in the EURO and GFS have shifted more west causing the storm to go well north of the South East Texas area. So is this final or is it still coming as NOAA still has it headed towards Galveston? I guess nobody will really know until it gets closer as these things are changing so fast, but it seems to be a complete miss of Houston right?

I guess, if you consider several feet of rain to be a "complete miss".

[FLpanhandle91]

Dropsonde 7 just measured 120 knot winds just above the surface

[Rail Dawg]

For the record this is my 12th chase.

But I do understand the moderation of posts.

I will report what I see.

[Langinbang187]

Dropsonde 7 just measured 120 knot winds just above the surface

Thankfully it's just about out of time.

[Callista]

So I have been reading that the loop shown in the EURO and GFS have shifted more west causing the storm to go well north of the South East Texas area. So is this final or is it still coming as NOAA still has it headed towards Galveston? I guess nobody will really know until it gets closer as these things are changing so fast, but it seems to be a complete miss of Houston right?

I guess, if you consider several feet of rain to be a "complete miss".

It's enough to cause a lot of trouble, but even if Houston gets only a "complete miss" with a couple feet of rain and some flooding, I'll feel they've dodged a bullet.

Red Cross has set up shelters and is preparing to respond, of course, as usual.

[Wx_Warrior]

I'm in Orange and do not expect most effects for a few days. But I do recall several storms stalling right at the coastline and maintaining strength due to the flat geography of the Texas Coastline and warm water at the coastline feeding energy into the system. Is this still possible or even likely?

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