TD #4 East Atlantic,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #2

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Brent
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#421 Postby Brent » Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:34 pm

Scorpion wrote:Should be a TS at 5 with this...


It's not, though the NHC says it should be very soon.
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#422 Postby Lowpressure » Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:34 pm

Scorpion wrote:Should be a TS at 5 with this...


I am with you, convection continuing to fire. Stacking was the issue at 11 see if it is better at 5, I say TS at 5 too.
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#423 Postby Cyclenall » Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:35 pm

all_we_know_is_FALLING wrote:Not this we. Even a TD can kill someone.

A Tropical Depression in the Wpac in 2004 killed 1404 people.
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#424 Postby Windsurfer_NYC » Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:36 pm

C'mon, can't we just all agree that we are weather enthusiasts who want to see and learn from wild storms, but don't wish death and destruction on anyone AND BE DONE WITH IT????
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#425 Postby benny » Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:37 pm

Windsurfer_NYC wrote:C'mon, can't we just all agree that we are weather enthusiasts who want to see and learn from wild storms, but don't wish death and destruction on anyone AND BE DONE WITH IT????


totally agree. have my vote. the hyper sensitives should just kiss the storm freaks and make up ;)
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#426 Postby GeneratorPower » Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:37 pm

Well isn't that special. No upgrade.
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#427 Postby wxman57 » Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:38 pm

Still a TS but just barely at 4pm CDT. 99.99999% fish. This one will likely pass well east of Bermuda.
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#428 Postby Lowpressure » Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:38 pm

GeneratorPower wrote:Well isn't that special. No upgrade.


Focus may be better placed on system preparing to enter the Carib. 97L, I believe.
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#429 Postby bob rulz » Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:38 pm

Windsurfer_NYC wrote:C'mon, can't we just all agree that we are weather enthusiasts who want to see and learn from wild storms, but don't wish death and destruction on anyone AND BE DONE WITH IT????


I think people are just getting frustrated at will, who just keeps going "we want this storm to hit land!!!!" when in fact only he wants any hurricanes to hit land, and many people here are sensitive about this issue.
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#430 Postby Andrew92 » Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:39 pm

wxman57 wrote:Still a TS but just barely at 4pm CDT. 99.99999% fish. This one will likely pass well east of Bermuda.


You mean still a TD, right?
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#431 Postby Trugunzn » Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:40 pm

It lookes like all the convection is on the southside
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#432 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:43 pm

5 PM Track.

Image
Last edited by cycloneye on Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:45 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#433 Postby StormWarning1 » Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:45 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:we dont want this depression coming toward land.

We want it to stay out to sea

The United States does not need another destructive hurricane season

we do not need $6 dollar per gallon gas prices

Keep fishing TD 4, keep on fishing


We do to need 6 dollar gas, the sooner the better, we need demand destruction (high prices) to transition off liquid fuels to more electric light rail.
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storms in NC
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#434 Postby storms in NC » Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:46 pm

They moved it to the right of last forcast. HHHHUUUUUMMMMMMMMM :?:
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#435 Postby Trugunzn » Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:46 pm

shifted east by the looks of it
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#436 Postby bob rulz » Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:46 pm

StormWarning1 wrote:
Derek Ortt wrote:we dont want this depression coming toward land.

We want it to stay out to sea

The United States does not need another destructive hurricane season

we do not need $6 dollar per gallon gas prices

Keep fishing TD 4, keep on fishing


We do to need 6 dollar gas, the sooner the better, we need demand destruction (high prices) to transition off liquid fuels to more electric light rail.


$6 a gallon gas coming on so suddenly wouldn't do that...it's not like the transition can suddenly occur in one week.
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#437 Postby Air Force Met » Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:48 pm

gatorcane wrote:
storms in NC wrote:I think the UK has a better handle on this. TD4 will be to weak for the weak ridge and will go on a more west movement in a few days. IMO


I've been saying this all along. Let's see if it happens. 8-)


Well...latest track now more RIGHT and all the models are more RIGHT.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS 300/16...OR ABOUT 15 DEGREES TO THE RIGHT OF
THIS TIME YESTERDAY. RECENT MICROWAVE PASSES SUGGEST A BETTER
CO-LOCATION OF THE MID AND LOW-LEVEL CENTERS. THERE HAS BEEN
SIGNIFICANT CONVERGENCE IN HOW THE GLOBAL MODELS HANDLE THE
DEPRESSION...WITH THE 12Z RUNS OF THE UKMET AND ECMWF NOW
MAINTAINING THE SYSTEM AND SHIFTING THEIR TRACKS TO THE RIGHT.
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#438 Postby storms in NC » Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:51 pm

Seen that. Not understanding it But you have go by what they say. I guess not all ways true about a weakness of a storm going more to the west.
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#439 Postby storms in NC » Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:55 pm

I said a few days ago that Debby's were nice and loved to go fishing. If it is going to be named after me it will go fishing Like I love to do so well.
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#440 Postby Hybridstorm_November2001 » Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:56 pm

When I stated the "pull an Andrew" thing, it was this morning. Right now (as stated earlier in another thread) I see less than a 20% chance of this not being a fish; the facts are now quite clear, this baby is goin' fishin'.
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