TD Ernesto Satellite,Analysis and Models Thread #8

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Normandy
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#421 Postby Normandy » Wed Aug 30, 2006 6:52 am

^ Look at IR and u can see the rotation, but basically I think the new center is near Everglades City.
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#422 Postby Stormavoider » Wed Aug 30, 2006 6:53 am

Normandy wrote:^ NO NO my center is not 40 miles offshore if that swhat you mean.

Buy yes, Ernesto is getting organized FAST....
Here, go to the GHCC GOES and run a 30 frame IR and watch how quick he came together.


No, I was guessing you meant near Naples.
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#423 Postby storms in NC » Wed Aug 30, 2006 6:54 am

Normandy wrote:^ Look at IR and u can see the rotation, but basically I think the new center is near Everglades City.


That is where I seen it going north. The Everglades well help this stay together.
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#424 Postby Stormavoider » Wed Aug 30, 2006 6:56 am

Either way, It's west of track.
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#425 Postby Normandy » Wed Aug 30, 2006 6:56 am

I am flabergasted.

How on Earth is Ernesto deepening while over land. I quit.
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#426 Postby storms in NC » Wed Aug 30, 2006 6:58 am

Well it is all wet land there. And as far as track it is right on NHC track. all flat and nothing there but a few home here and there.
Last edited by storms in NC on Wed Aug 30, 2006 6:59 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#427 Postby benny » Wed Aug 30, 2006 6:59 am

The Everglades don't do much to tropical storms.. in fact I have seen a couple deepen (like this one). It is windy as heck here this morning.
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#428 Postby Stormavoider » Wed Aug 30, 2006 7:03 am

On this radar loop,

http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/radamx.html

Is the purple line the forecast track?
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#429 Postby Normandy » Wed Aug 30, 2006 7:03 am

Wow the new center is strong, look at Miami's radar where the "Everglades City" marker is.
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#430 Postby Stormavoider » Wed Aug 30, 2006 7:07 am

Normandy wrote:Wow the new center is strong, look at Miami's radar where the "Everglades City" marker is.


To me, the center appears to be just west of that new blow-up.
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#431 Postby cinlfla » Wed Aug 30, 2006 7:09 am

Is the center on land or is it over water? I've been reading and tring to locate it but I'm not seeing it.
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#432 Postby Normandy » Wed Aug 30, 2006 7:10 am

I see a couple of interesting things about Ernesto and its future and I want pro mets to confirm....

The trough, will it provide QG enhancement ala Charley and Wilma, thus further helping Ernesto to stay intact over FL?

Its track, the trough is approaching fast, and shouldn't Ernesto beging to move NNE soon?
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#433 Postby boca » Wed Aug 30, 2006 7:12 am

Here in Boca Raton it rained for an hour and that was it. I think I got about an inch.
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#434 Postby storms in NC » Wed Aug 30, 2006 7:21 am

Normandy wrote:I see a couple of interesting things about Ernesto and its future and I want pro mets to confirm....

The trough, will it provide QG enhancement ala Charley and Wilma, thus further helping Ernesto to stay intact over FL?

Its track, the trough is approaching fast, and shouldn't Ernesto beging to move NNE soon?


Not a promet but it will start to move off to the nne soon.
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#435 Postby Deb321 » Wed Aug 30, 2006 7:26 am

According to our Met here in JAX we probably won't see that much rain. He said most of the feeder bands will be off shore. He said we may see some wind gusts up to 35 mph.
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#436 Postby jabber » Wed Aug 30, 2006 7:27 am

Boynton Beach

Last night around 2:00 am a good feeder went by. Thats been about it.

boca wrote:Here in Boca Raton it rained for an hour and that was it. I think I got about an inch.
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#437 Postby storms in NC » Wed Aug 30, 2006 7:27 am

If you look at this radar you can see a NNE turn in the last few frames

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes
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#438 Postby cinlfla » Wed Aug 30, 2006 7:29 am

If I'm looking at the correct center on that radar it looks as though ernesto is barely moving.
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#439 Postby Normandy » Wed Aug 30, 2006 7:29 am

^Agreed...Looks like the trough might be showing its muscle
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rnbaida

#440 Postby rnbaida » Wed Aug 30, 2006 7:32 am

how long until ernesto moves off the coast?
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