Global Models Thread for 90L

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Extremeweatherguy
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Re:

#421 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Aug 11, 2007 5:41 pm

KFDM Meteorologist wrote:Need 500 at 216 HRS. It's coming in slow where i am.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_216l.gif
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Re: Models Thread for 90L

#422 Postby Wx_Warrior » Sat Aug 11, 2007 5:42 pm

Well well well....GOM here he is!
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#423 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Sat Aug 11, 2007 5:44 pm

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#424 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Aug 11, 2007 5:44 pm

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#425 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Sat Aug 11, 2007 5:44 pm

I wasn't far off on saying the 18Z would be back in Texas. :D I'll be willing to bet the 0Z is back to FL.
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Re: Models Thread for 90L

#426 Postby Brent » Sat Aug 11, 2007 5:45 pm

Houston, we have a problem.

Really deepens it in the Gulf.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_276l.gif

:eek:
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Re:

#427 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Aug 11, 2007 5:45 pm

KFDM Meteorologist wrote:500 on the 23rd.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_288l.gif

:eek:
:eek:

Can you say Carla?

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_288l.gif

Luckily this should change with each new run (I hope)!
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Re: Models Thread for 90L

#428 Postby Brent » Sat Aug 11, 2007 5:46 pm

On another note... look east of the islands!
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Re: Models Thread for 90L

#429 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Aug 11, 2007 5:47 pm

Brent wrote:On another note... look east of the islands!
Looks like 2 more storms in the making. Could be a really rough end of August if this whole scenario were to pan out.
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Re: Models Thread for 90L

#430 Postby Wx_Warrior » Sat Aug 11, 2007 5:49 pm

I'll try 1 @ a time alex
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Re:

#431 Postby ROCK » Sat Aug 11, 2007 5:52 pm

KFDM Meteorologist wrote:I wasn't far off on saying the 18Z would be back in Texas. :D I'll be willing to bet the 0Z is back to FL.



I still don't see it making it into the GOM. That ridge is going to hold for 12 days? I am not betting with you KFDM. I am still thinking PR, FL then up the EC.....sorry PR, FL, and Ecoastdians....nothing against you guys....JMO....
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#432 Postby storms in NC » Sat Aug 11, 2007 5:53 pm

What would happen if there was a TC in the gulf next week? What would this do with 90L?
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#433 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Aug 11, 2007 5:53 pm

Alex I'll take "5 hurricanes" for $300.

alarms alarms sounds .. Its todays 'daily Double" what year did we have five hurricanes at one time?

my wager is $1500
Last edited by Aric Dunn on Sat Aug 11, 2007 5:54 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Models Thread for 90L

#434 Postby Wx_Warrior » Sat Aug 11, 2007 5:54 pm

Do you SMEEEELLLLLLLALALALA what the ROCK is cooking? Here's to you my friend...But I like my KFDM chances...
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Re: Models Thread for 90L

#435 Postby bvigal » Sat Aug 11, 2007 5:55 pm

KFDM Meteorologist wrote:Remember again this is the 18Z run. 0Z later this evening will have something completely different.

Right. I'll wait for new data in 0z.
Meanwhile, this little site everyone here uses for wind/wave info (marine), imagine everyone's surprise to see this (12z GFS model + noaa's wave model) for the Friday night forecast: 74kt winds, 32ft seas, 13second swell period - YIKES :eek: (I'm posting as a screen shot, because it will change with new model releases)
Image
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Re: Re:

#436 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Sat Aug 11, 2007 5:56 pm

ROCK wrote:
KFDM Meteorologist wrote:I wasn't far off on saying the 18Z would be back in Texas. :D I'll be willing to bet the 0Z is back to FL.



I still don't see it making it into the GOM. That ridge is going to hold for 12 days? I am not betting with you KFDM. I am still thinking PR, FL then up the EC.....sorry PR, FL, and Ecoastdians....nothing against you guys....JMO....
Good point! In fact the 12Z GFS from this morning had FL and E Coast. The 0Z tonight will probably be back there again.
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Re: Models Thread for 90L

#437 Postby Opal storm » Sat Aug 11, 2007 5:57 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:
Brent wrote:On another note... look east of the islands!
Looks like 2 more storms in the making. Could be a really rough end of August if this whole scenario were to pan out.
I doubt it...this is 280+ hours out and usually this is when the GFS starts to overhype everything.
Last edited by Opal storm on Sat Aug 11, 2007 5:59 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#438 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Aug 11, 2007 5:59 pm

I feel like we need another "parade of storms"
:darrow: :darrow: :darrow: :darrow:
Image


A satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean on August 24 including Humberto, Iris, Jerry, and two waves that would ultimately become Karen and Luis
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Re: Models Thread for 90L

#439 Postby southerngale » Sat Aug 11, 2007 6:02 pm

Brent wrote:Houston, we have a problem.

Really deepens it in the Gulf.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_276l.gif

:eek:


I doubt it. It'll change a gazillion times before deciding upon somewhere else. 8-)
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Re: Models Thread for 90L

#440 Postby Wx_Warrior » Sat Aug 11, 2007 6:02 pm

What time does 0Z come out?
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