ATL: HARVEY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[tolakram]

Eyewall getting very close. saved radar loop

[HurricaneEdouard]

Down to 940mb.

[tatertawt24]

There's a webcam streaming from Aransas Pass:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SOSDPhXrXgs

EDIT: Never mind, it just crashed.

[Airboy]

Staling a bit? Slowing down for sure.

[xironman]

Its wobbling

If it wobbles west too much that would put Corpus Christi in the western or southwest eyewall.

That dopey mayor mccomb didnt issue an evacuation order

They did not evacuate Corpus? If Harvey starts his loop early that would be an epic bad decision.

[DodgeDemon2018]

I heard that Harvey is forecast to make a second landfall near Houston and so the storm surge will move up the bayous at the same time the rainwater is moving down. They say the surge will basically block the bayous from draining and so make the flooding worse.

Is this accurate?

This is was part of the question I wanted answered. I think the GFS and Euro have shifted it well north of Houston at this time. So I assume this wouldnt happen but I dont know.

[Langinbang187]

Staling a bit? Slowing down for sure.

Seeing the same thing. Some of these storms seem to stall out and try to avoid land as long as possible it seems. Like they have a mind of their own lol.

[Cunxi Huang]

look at this W ring... holy cow.

[psyclone]

The only question I have now is how close to cat 5 this gets.

considering the size, relatively steady state nature of the cyclone and proximity to land, and the fact that the min for a cat 5 is 160mph (they go in 5 mph increments)...probably not very close at all. But it might touch the low end of a category 4. from a broader standpoint, there's too much knit picking over what category the storm is. the takeaway is this, the storm is a mature major cane and it is certain to do tremendous damage. think of it as a massive atmospheric crater. it took a long time to dig and it will take a long time to fill.

[Iune]

That dopey mayor mccomb didnt issue an evacuation order

No mandatory evacuations in Corpus Christie?

!

The Weather Channel showed a video of him saying he will not make evacuation mandatory but emergency workers will not be risking their lives to rescue those who decide to stay.

Btw... I have a friend who moved from here [Dallas] to North Padre Island. Her electricity goes out for hours at a time on good days.

.

So the worst of both worlds? I don't understand why evacuations weren't made mandatory in this situation.

[Kingarabian]

look at this W ring... holy cow.

[img]https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/TC/tc17/ATL/09L.HARVEY/ir/geo/1km_BD/20170825.2130.goes13.ir.BD.09LHARVEY.105kts-944mb.jpg[/mg]

T6.5?

[ROCK]

these dam mini tornados...had 3 already up here. I don't recall tornados with Ike...idk

[hd44]

Modt category 4 up to 145 mph is increasingly likely at this rate. Lets hope for the best , stay safe guys along the gulf coast.

[Langinbang187]

Modt category 4 up to 145 mph is increasingly likely at this rate. Lets hope for the best , stay safe guys along the gulf coast.

Why? Pressure has pretty much held steady since the last pass. It may make minimal cat 4, but 145 is out of reach imo. Not nearly enough time for that.

[Steve]

If it wobbles west too much that would put Corpus Christi in the western or southwest eyewall.

That dopey mayor mccomb didnt issue an evacuation order

They did not evacuate Corpus? If Harvey starts his loop early that would be an epic bad decision.

No knock on all my Texas people but that stubborn independent streak seems like it's engrained from an early age. I don't blame the mayor for not ordering a mandatory because a lot of people aren't going to listen anyway. As long as they did what they could to assist those who needed it and told the rest they were tsool if they stayed, I can respect that. Unfortunately there will be some number of preventable deaths.

[MrStormX]

Something not yet mentioned is that the predicted storm surge from Harvey is currently forecast to inundate the Braskem Seadrift Polypropylene refinery in Seadrift, Texas.

If the plant fails, I can't help but wonder how much environmental damage it would cause.

https://www.google.com/maps/place/Brask ... 95!5m1!1e1

[Cunxi Huang]

2017/08/25 21:36 31.3 324 38.8 25.2 987.1 -

well that's 70 mph winds + 85 mph gust near Aransas Pass.

[artist]

these dam mini tornados...had 3 already up here. I don't recall tornados with Ike...idk

We had them with either Jeanne or Frances. Hated them. The storms were within days of each other and became a blur!

[JGrin87]

Where is Cantore?

[lrak]

It's get loud and windy!