ATL: HARVEY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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HurricaneEdouard
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4221 Postby HurricaneEdouard » Fri Aug 25, 2017 4:46 pm

Langinbang187 wrote:
hd44 wrote:Modt category 4 up to 145 mph is increasingly likely at this rate. Lets hope for the best , stay safe guys along the gulf coast.


Why? Pressure has pretty much held steady since the last pass. It may make minimal cat 4, but 145 is out of reach imo. Not nearly enough time for that.

Looks like it dropped 1mb according to last pass.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4222 Postby jaguars_22 » Fri Aug 25, 2017 4:46 pm

There is still a lot of bay water after rockport so it could
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4223 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Fri Aug 25, 2017 4:47 pm

Unreal.

Image
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4224 Postby artist » Fri Aug 25, 2017 4:47 pm

Don't think this one has been posted

000
URNT12 KNHC 252145
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL092017
A. 25/21:22:30Z
B. 27 deg 34 min N
096 deg 38 min W
C. 700 mb 2592 m
D. 113 kt
E. 318 deg 6 nm
F. 048 deg 117 kt
G. 316 deg 8 nm
H. 941 mb
I. 11 C / 3053 m
J. 24 C / 3044 m
K. 24 C / NA
L. CLOSED
M. C17
N. 12345 / 7
O. 0.02 / 0 nm
P. AF307 1909A HARVEY OB 20
MAX FL WIND 129 KT 081 / 14 NM 20:37:30Z
CNTR DROPSONDE SFC WIND 125 / 5 KT
;
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4225 Postby Ntxw » Fri Aug 25, 2017 4:47 pm

Mosaic of the southern plains, with Harvey

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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4226 Postby tarheelprogrammer » Fri Aug 25, 2017 4:47 pm

Why is this not a cat 4? Didn't they find multiple wind reports of 130 mph+?
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4227 Postby Kingarabian » Fri Aug 25, 2017 4:48 pm

Need pressure in the low 930s for a moderate Cat.4
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4228 Postby Kingarabian » Fri Aug 25, 2017 4:48 pm

tarheelprogrammer wrote:Why is this not a cat 4? Didn't they find multiple wind reports of 130 mph+?


SFMR was rain contaminated.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4229 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Fri Aug 25, 2017 4:48 pm

tarheelprogrammer wrote:Why is this not a cat 4? Didn't they find multiple wind reports of 130 mph+?


No, they've only just found evidence of Cat. 4. Position/intensity update will be out soon.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4230 Postby Kingarabian » Fri Aug 25, 2017 4:49 pm

Hypercane_Kyle wrote:Unreal.

[img]http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/09L/imagery/vis-animated.gif[img]


That last wobble to the WNW makes me fear for Corpus Christie.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4231 Postby tropicwatch » Fri Aug 25, 2017 4:49 pm

Think they might upgrade at 5 with that vortex message.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4232 Postby La Sirena » Fri Aug 25, 2017 4:49 pm

tarheelprogrammer wrote:Why is this not a cat 4? Didn't they find multiple wind reports of 130 mph+?

I'm not sure they were sustained winds.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4233 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Aug 25, 2017 4:49 pm

I would go with 115 kt right now based on that SFMR reading and earlier FL winds validating such. I sure hope this isn't wobbling west into Corpus Christi...
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4234 Postby AubreyStorm » Fri Aug 25, 2017 4:49 pm

Currently estimates ......cat-4 intensity.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4235 Postby OntarioEggplant » Fri Aug 25, 2017 4:50 pm

Kingarabian wrote:
tarheelprogrammer wrote:Why is this not a cat 4? Didn't they find multiple wind reports of 130 mph+?


SFMR was rain contaminated.


If the sfmr was rain contaminated, they wouldn't put it in the vdm
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4236 Postby Sanibel » Fri Aug 25, 2017 4:50 pm

I think those are intensification wobbles not course changes...
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4237 Postby BYG Jacob » Fri Aug 25, 2017 4:50 pm

La Sirena wrote:
tarheelprogrammer wrote:Why is this not a cat 4? Didn't they find multiple wind reports of 130 mph+?

I'm not sure they were sustained winds.

They were
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4238 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Aug 25, 2017 4:51 pm

Last 20 or so on radar it seems to have almost stalled
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Re: ATL: HARVEY: Observations,Web Cams, Local NWS Statements Texas / Louisiana

#4239 Postby tolakram » Fri Aug 25, 2017 4:52 pm

 https://twitter.com/iCyclone/status/901200087761682432


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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4240 Postby MrStormX » Fri Aug 25, 2017 4:52 pm

IMO, the category hardly matters at this point.

In post season analysis they can always upgrade it.
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