Texas Summer 2025
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- Texas Snowman
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Re: Texas Summer 2025
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The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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Re: Texas Summer 2025
104 dead and still so many people missing ugh
This is gonna kill more than Harvey did which seems unfathomable
This is gonna kill more than Harvey did which seems unfathomable
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#neversummer
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Re: Texas Summer 2025
Wishing nothing but the worst for the ghouls who just have to go get their disaster drone footage for clout.
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Re: Texas Summer 2025
Brent it truely is amazing how this all came from a very weak system that made landfall hundreds of miles well south of the texas border , i think the mountainous terrain of mexico can also be to blame here as that moisture basically got forced to funnel north into central texas as it couldnt go over the mountains that make up most of central mexico
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Re: Texas Summer 2025
Stratton23 wrote:Brent it truely is amazing how this all came from a very weak system that made landfall hundreds of miles well south of the texas border , i think the mountainous terrain of mexico can also be to blame here as that moisture basically got forced to funnel north into central texas as it couldnt go over the mountains that make up most of central mexico
I mean it's an area that's been known for this before and then you throw in the middle of the night and a holiday weekend at the peak of the summer when it was probably overcrowded
Yeah it was a recipe for worst case scenario
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- storm_in_a_teacup
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Re: Texas Summer 2025
Brent wrote:104 dead and still so many people missing ugh
This is gonna kill more than Harvey did which seems unfathomable
Yeah I think it has already surpassed the toll of Harvey in Texas.
I never lived in the Hill Country, but my family would go there on vacation a lot. I loved always how blue and clear the water in the rivers are, such that you could see all the fish. It breaks my heart to see it in such a state. Some people might fault people for living there, but I've seen how beautiful it is there. So I can understand why people would live by these rivers.
Why do all the most beautiful places have to be prone to natural disasters?
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I know I can't straddle the atmosphere...just a tiny storm in your teacup, girl.
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Re: Texas Summer 2025
storm_in_a_teacup wrote:Brent wrote:104 dead and still so many people missing ugh
This is gonna kill more than Harvey did which seems unfathomable
Yeah I think it has already surpassed the toll of Harvey in Texas.
I never lived in the Hill Country, but my family would go there on vacation a lot. I loved always how blue and clear the water in the rivers are, such that you could see all the fish. It breaks my heart to see it in such a state. Some people might fault people for living there, but I've seen how beautiful it is there. So I can understand why people would live by these rivers.
Why do all the most beautiful places have to be prone to natural disasters?
It's just like how the camp has been there for 100 years despite being in a flood plain and named one of the most dangerous rivers in the country. It's crazy to think about
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#neversummer
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Re: Texas Summer 2025
Brent wrote:storm_in_a_teacup wrote:Brent wrote:104 dead and still so many people missing ugh
This is gonna kill more than Harvey did which seems unfathomable
Yeah I think it has already surpassed the toll of Harvey in Texas.
I never lived in the Hill Country, but my family would go there on vacation a lot. I loved always how blue and clear the water in the rivers are, such that you could see all the fish. It breaks my heart to see it in such a state. Some people might fault people for living there, but I've seen how beautiful it is there. So I can understand why people would live by these rivers.
Why do all the most beautiful places have to be prone to natural disasters?
It's just like how the camp has been there for 100 years despite being in a flood plain and named one of the most dangerous rivers in the country. It's crazy to think about
Then, to find out that local officials have been asking for help from
Austin for a robust warning system multiple times in the past - only to get denied repeatedly - makes my stomach turn.
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Re: Texas Summer 2025
https://youtu.be/lbz4lIv4YNs?si=wsmm9Mh3i1CZ4GPK
Interesting video, he specifically mentions a previous flood in the 80s and they installed a NOAA weather radio tower just for this very event that happened.
I hate to say it but I think people are really looking for political blame on a certain person or party it in this case. Seems to happen any time something tragic happens. That's what we've come too as a county.
Interesting video, he specifically mentions a previous flood in the 80s and they installed a NOAA weather radio tower just for this very event that happened.
I hate to say it but I think people are really looking for political blame on a certain person or party it in this case. Seems to happen any time something tragic happens. That's what we've come too as a county.
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Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
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Re: Texas Summer 2025
HockeyTx82 wrote:https://youtu.be/lbz4lIv4YNs?si=wsmm9Mh3i1CZ4GPK
Interesting video, he specifically mentions a previous flood in the 80s and they installed a NOAA weather radio tower just for this very event that happened.
I hate to say it but I think people are really looking for political blame on a certain person or party it in this case. Seems to happen any time something tragic happens. That's what we've come too as a county.
Oh yeah some of the stuff I've read on social media since Friday has made me question our country's future and I'm not being sarcastic or funny either. It's quite embarrassing
Last edited by Brent on Tue Jul 08, 2025 12:10 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#neversummer
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Re: Texas Summer 2025
Are my eyes deceiving me? Is that actually a pretty decent cold front for july standards that i see on the 00z GFS and CMC runs in the 8-10 day window?
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Re: Texas Summer 2025
Stratton23 wrote:Are my eyes deceiving me? Is that actually a pretty decent cold front for july standards that i see on the 00z GFS and CMC runs in the 8-10 day window?
Yeah this has been a crazy start to summer for sure. I mean we haven't even been close to 100 yet and there's no sign of it anytime soon. The GFS never even ends the active pattern. Tick tock ...
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#neversummer
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Re: Texas Summer 2025
Brent wrote:Stratton23 wrote:Are my eyes deceiving me? Is that actually a pretty decent cold front for july standards that i see on the 00z GFS and CMC runs in the 8-10 day window?
Yeah this has been a crazy start to summer for sure. I mean we haven't even been close to 100 yet and there's no sign of it anytime soon. The GFS never even ends the active pattern. Tick tock ...
We can all thank our stars that the EPAC has a monopoly on cyclogenesis thus far this year, because with this open door policy we've had along the Gulf Coast, we'd have all been walloped by now.
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Re: Texas Summer 2025
Pas_Bon wrote:Brent wrote:Stratton23 wrote:Are my eyes deceiving me? Is that actually a pretty decent cold front for july standards that i see on the 00z GFS and CMC runs in the 8-10 day window?
Yeah this has been a crazy start to summer for sure. I mean we haven't even been close to 100 yet and there's no sign of it anytime soon. The GFS never even ends the active pattern. Tick tock ...
We can all thank our stars that the EPAC has a monopoly on cyclogenesis thus far this year, because with this open door policy we've had along the Gulf Coast, we'd have all been walloped by now.
Yeah makes me wonder what peak season will bring because if we keep this weakness over us the Gulf is gonna be wide open eventually
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- txtwister78
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Re: Texas Summer 2025
It appears our region will be sandwiched in between two high pressure systems in medium range and as a result this active/unsettled pattern may very well continue for the next week or two before we finally see a shift to a drier pattern late July into August.
In the meantime, enjoy the "cooler" afternoons while dodging the mosquitos that are starting to look like house flies in the morning and at night.
In the meantime, enjoy the "cooler" afternoons while dodging the mosquitos that are starting to look like house flies in the morning and at night.
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Re: Texas Summer 2025
txtwister78 I wouldnt mind drier weather for a change, problem is the models have consistently over done ridging this summer. I dont know why, but anytime they have shown some sort of big heat ridge really setting up over texas in the medium range, its ended up being more wetter and not as hot.
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- wxman22
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Re: Texas Summer 2025
Stratton23 wrote:txtwister78 I wouldnt mind drier weather for a change, problem is the models have consistently over done ridging this summer. I dont know why, but anytime they have shown some sort of big heat ridge really setting up over texas in the medium range, its ended up being more wetter and not as hot.
The models may be underestimating the effects of evaporation due to the widespread saturated soils.
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- Texas Snowman
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Re: Texas Summer 2025
Governor Abbott says there are 109 dead and 161 still missing. I had not seen anything previously that indicated such a large number are still missing.
https://x.com/chron/status/1942692215802757418

https://x.com/chron/status/1942692215802757418
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The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- Texas Snowman
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Re: Texas Summer 2025
This was already a staggering disaster. I don’t even know what to say at this point…
https://x.com/billbishopkhou/status/1942695441562243456
https://x.com/billbishopkhou/status/1942695441562243456
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The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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Re: Texas Summer 2025
Texas Snowman wrote:This was already a staggering disaster. I don’t even know what to say at this point…
https://x.com/billbishopkhou/status/1942695441562243456
This is horrific. That’s the only way to put it.
According to KSAT, as of today, this would be the 4th deadliest flood in Texas history.
https://www.ksat.com/weather/2025/07/08 ... s-history/
Kerrville PD also stated that their last “live rescue” was made on Friday.
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