SE TX weather thread #4 - Severe weather Fri/Sat

[Bunkertor]

It´s getting really dark in Waco




*edited by southerngale - fixed image link

[CrazyC83]

Can't find any live coverage.

[jasons2k]

There are several tornado warnings in NC Texas and already a report from Coryell county

Seen that, along with a warning for Crawford. Not sure if Bush is still at the ranch...

You have access to the GR images Jason?

Working on it - there are a lot of warnings

and 5 sightings thus far

[CrazyC83]

Breaking: SPC just went Moderate Risk!!!

I would have done the same seeing the unexpected severity.

[southerngale]

Breaking: SPC just went Moderate Risk!!!

I would have done the same seeing the unexpected severity.

Where did you see that? It's still showing SLIGHT here:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

[Stratosphere747]

The proverbial -- "All hell is breaking loose"

Must say that this is a heck of a developing event, especially with actual confirmed sightings already...

[CrazyC83]

Breaking: SPC just went Moderate Risk!!!

I would have done the same seeing the unexpected severity.

Where did you see that? It's still showing SLIGHT here:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

On the home page it says "Moderate Risk of Severe Storms" but no details yet.

[southerngale]

Breaking: SPC just went Moderate Risk!!!

I would have done the same seeing the unexpected severity.

Where did you see that? It's still showing SLIGHT here:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

On the home page it says "Moderate Risk of Severe Storms" but no details yet.

Ok, thanks.

[wxman22]

!!!!!!!

It's been allmost 2YEARS sence southeast texas has been in a moderate risk.............

[jasons2k]

Some images starting with this morning. You may need to click up to 3X for full resolution:

[Bunkertor]

+++++++++++++ OFF TOPIC ++++++++++++++++++

Just in.

Saddam Hussein to hang within next hour.

[southerngale]

51mph gust at Lamar in Beaumont. And the storms aren't even here yet!

[MiamiensisWx]

Just a question here. Does GRLevel3 radar have graphics deciphering current instability levels and convergence and divergence within a region where a severe outbreak is occurring? If so, I would love some information.

Back on the topic, based on the synoptic setup, I wouldn't rule out an isolated longer-tracked tornadic cell featuring an F-2 (maybe F-3) touchdown due to the divergence outflow setup favoring formation of additional new cells.

[jasons2k]

http://www.grlevelx.com/gr2analyst/

[Stratosphere747]

Good stuff with the GR images Jason.

Thanks in advance...

Scott

[jasons2k]

Good stuff with the GR images Jason.

Thanks in advance...

Scott

No Prob, glad you like them!

[Stratosphere747]

This is a very rare event for this late in December!

[MiamiensisWx]

Moisture feed looks good out of the south, potentially aiding in feeding the northern cells. Instability is widespread, but ideal conditions for singular cells appears localized, especially on the far eastern and far western sides. The southerly flow at various levels is impressive, as partially evidenced here and at the surface to degrees. The surface low over interior Texas is currently aiding in the process, as evidenced here and here, in which southwesterly divergence is also evident, aiding in more ideal surroundings for individual cell development. Classic ULL to mid-level setup.

[Extremeweatherguy]

check out the sustained winds at IAH (as of 3pm):

SE 31 G 38 MPH

[double D]

The front is heading through the hill country now without a well defined squall line. The dew point in Fredericksburg went from 66 to 52 in just minutes of the front passing through. I guess once the front hits more moisture and instability the squall line will intensify.