Hurricane FELIX: Caribbean-Discussions

[CrazyC83]

I wonder how intense Felix will get before levelling off?

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

As long as it stays near south America the TCHP is not super high. I don't expect this to become more then a cat3 as long as it stays out of the line of fire in the middle and upper caribbean. But who knows cyclones are something to be amazed at.

[MusicCityMan]

I love how it says 75 and 70.. maybe they should have leveled off and said winds were 72 1/2. lol

[Ed Mahmoud]

My opinion is that 98L/future Gabrielle is the one that might have the USA's name on it. Although it was looking awfully sheared this afternoon, and the cloud tops are warming on it now. Maybe the potential homebrew not yet designated 99L will be Gabrielle.


But w/ Euro showing 500 mb ridge on Friday holding strong into the East Pac, this thing would have an awfully tough time gaining latitude.

Now, if Euro and GFS 8 to 10 day 500 mb means are correct, the next Caribbean storm might cross the Yucatan and head for South Texas, but that is rather far in the future.


It needs to gain latitude to feel any trough weakness, in my unoffical opinion, and 13ºN seems like a ceiling it can't break through.

[Hello32020]

I love how it says 75 and 70.. maybe they should have leveled off and said winds were 72 1/2. lol

NHC rounds up to 75

[jhamps10]

looking at AVN sat loop, I am noticing a bit more of a WNW wobble going on right now.

it is not much at all, but it looks like it may be wanting to take another swing at crossing 13N.
will watch for further trends.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/sloop-avn.html

[HURAKAN]

[Derek Ortt]

its due west

[HurricaneHunter914]

It looks very rounded right now. Maybe 85-90 MPH at the 11 PM Advisory?

[jaxfladude]

Formation of an eye (the blue-ish color) in the center of Felix?

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Nope that is high cloud tops.

[CrazyC83]

It looks very rounded right now. Maybe 85-90 MPH at the 11 PM Advisory?

I'd say they will either hold it at 75 mph or maybe bump to 80 mph.

[HURAKAN]

[HurricaneRobert]

Felix the cat. The wonderful, wonderful cat!

Not so much as a hurricane.

[El Nino]

Trying to wrap up around the center ?

[cheezyWXguy]

Trying to wrap up around the center ?

You kidding? the center isnt exposed at all...it appears to be in the deepest of convection

[windstorm99]

[A1A]

Should pass north of Aruba by 50 or 60 miles. Even if Hurricane force winds extend out double the current radius of 15 miles it should not be too bad on the weak side of the storm.

Is the "weak side" that much weaker if it is essentially almost all over water?

[El Nino]

Trying to wrap up around the center ?

You kidding? the center isnt exposed at all...it appears to be in the deepest of convection

Sorry, I'm only a novice, just learning. Would you mind to accept that ?

[Brent]

Hurricane Watch for the Netherland Antilles(no clue why it's not a warning)



Track looks a little more north.