ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

[KWT]

I think the models should at least get a bit of a better grip after that mission hiflyer, as it should injest some decent upper information it seems.

[HURAKAN]

[Dean4Storms]

Looks to me on Radar that Fay is hugging the South coast still headed WEST! Don't go by the UL rotation you see on Sat imagery!

[artist]

Artist,,,,,

Exactly! The reason why this was pointed out to us,in particular, is that we do not have the all the "tools " you folks have back in the States to give us the immediate weather data we might like to have...the majority of the population here does not have access to internet, much less some of them....televisions...so...when it's back to the very basics...."watch the animals" so to speak .....

greels, that makes sense. Sometimes I think we do need to listen to the old timers (of which I am becoming ) and what their senses are telling them, such as the animal behaviour, etc.

[Dean4Storms]

My Moms name is Fay so this can't be good!

[KWT]

Yep Dean agreed the LLC seems to be on the southern side pretty close to the coast, I'd estimate 275 right now as a motion.

[bahamaswx]

Still a ways to go until she hits the most mountainous terrain.

[dolebot_Broward_NW]

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

This is not a real forecast, I'm not a real forecaster, please disregard this and listen to official sources.

My terribly unprofessional and even more ridiculously uneducated guessticast for Fay follows:

24 Hours - We see Fay at 21n, 76w 45kts
48 Hours - 23n,78w 50kts
72 hours - 24.5n, 80.5w 70kts

[HURAKAN]

[BensonTCwatcher]

was on the road today, just checked in, uh hhh Hello Fay. Guess I have my answer on what happened overnight huh? Don't like F-storms just don't like them. Not looking like Hisp, is doing much to the sytem at this point.

[HURAKAN]

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

That would bring 80 mph winds with gusts to 100 mph
up the west coast. The east coast including Miami would
see 60 mph winds gusts to 80 mph on that path of
Accuweather.
Key West would get 75-80 mph sustained winds with
gusts to 105 mph on that path.

[robbielyn]

baynews9 met mike clay said don't let our guard down and dismiss this. That isn't his style as far as hype so he is serious. He agrees nothing is written in stone but warnings could go up as soon as sunday night. If it crosses cuba it could get ripped apart if it goes south in the open waters then watch out and eventhough it's currently progged to be a ts we cant rule out this becoming a hurricane. so keep an eye and prepare.

[SouthFLTropics]

That would bring 80 mph winds with gusts to 100 mph
up the west coast. The east coast, Keys, Miami would
see 60 mph winds gusts to 80 mph on that path of
Accuweather.

Based on that track the Keys would get more than 60mph winds. They would take a direct hit...Let's hope the intensity forecasts are wrong and that this girl won't decide to get cranky when she gets her feet wet again.

Edit: I see you edited your post

SFT

[KWT]

Pretty similar track to the NHC, a touch further north at the start of the run but thats about it really, similar sort of thinking in terms of track.

[storms in NC]

The stronger she get the more to the north she will go? Is that right? And by the looks right now not going to be weak long. But then again there was Dean and went west

[Rainband]

STAY on topic Please. Posts will be deleted without Notice

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

What is the chance of it staying south of Cuba and bombing
to category 2+ and then crossing Cuba and heading towards FL
as a nasty hurricane? Or will the steering keep it over Cuba?
That is my concern regarding strength, because a category 2+
would be very bad surging and damage.

[Pearl River]

http://www.insmet.cu/asp/genesis.asp?TB0=PLANTILLAS&TB1=RADARES

I think this is as close as you will get to radar from Haiti.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

4pm pst/7pm est

My center est is near the black spot near 18.5/69.2 moving westward. This is based on surface obs and satellite.

Next update from me in 2 hours. In off topic news it is 100 degree's at my house. WOW hot!