Texas Winter 2013-2014

[davidiowx]

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/WRF_12z/wrfloop.html

12 nam is rolling

Looks like the 12z NAM is bringing quite the ice storm to SE Texas

[cctxhurricanewatcher]

I leave Texas for a couple of days in winter and see what happens? Hopefully I can make it back to Houston by late tomorrow afternoon and stop all this winter weather nonsense.

Ha. The ball is rolling. The wheels are in motion.

I think you mean, the ball is teed up and Porta Brown is ready to start running.

Better happen this time around before Roger Goodell gets rid of the extra point. Portastorm will have to find something else to kick... Perhaps his neighbors cat?

[stormlover2013]

yeah and towards beaumont area

[cctxhurricanewatcher]

Interesting set up. In a small way, it kind of reminds me of our Christmas snow miracle of 2004. Slowly things fell into place for what some weather forecasters thought was going to be a small sleet and ice even mainly to the north of us and a trace here in the immediate Corpus area. Then bang, I got seven inches of snow in my yard and Victoria got up to a foot. Not saying this will happen this time around, but the uncertainty is certainly there with our on the air Mets.

And it seems like the Mets are ignoring next weeks cold....

[jerryh421]

Can someone post a image of the nam? Is it showing a fair amount of ice north of the Houston area?

[dhweather]

NWS Fort worth is now saying that a lot of the metroplex could receive a dusting of snow!

Don't count on it. The column is really dry.

[Red Raider fan]

ok here in schertz san antonio area, have been down graded from winter storm watch to winter weather advisory. guess that means nothing of great significance will happen here after all. boo Guess Wxman57 has made it home to turn off the water works and shut the refrigerator door.

[downsouthman1]

ok here in schertz san antonio area, have been down graded from winter storm watch to winter weather advisory. guess that means nothing of great significance will happen here after all. boo

Ye of little faith. It's not really a downgrade when going from Winter Storm Watch to Winter Weather Advisory as the Watch meant winter weather is possible & the Advisory means it's imminent. It's just that the accumulations will likely not meet any Warning criteria, which is not a bad thing for your area as meeting such criteria possibly would've been met due to freezing rain, not snow.

[dhweather]

[Ntxw]

If you have not checked out the -EPO forecast you should take a look. It is phenomenal, off the charts and stays way down low. We're going to see a barrage of big highs (as if we haven't already) nothing I can find really compares.

[Tireman4]

If you have not checked out the -EPO forecast you should take a look. It is phenomenal, off the charts and stays way down low. We're going to see a barrage of big highs (as if we haven't already) nothing I can find really compares.

So you are saying this "Might" not be our last winter weather event?

[Ntxw]

So you are saying this "Might" not be our last winter weather event?

I don't know about winter weather events but the -PNA does support digging shortwaves. My comment was towards the EPO sending high pressure after high pressure of Arctic/Siberian air masses through the 1st week of February at least. -EPO does not fail to do so. Models most likely are underestimating them next week.

[Red Raider fan]

Thanks downsouthman 1, i thought winter weather advisory was a down grade from a strm watch, goe's to show why im not a meteorologist. good to know these things. I'm trying to have faith, but everytime i do it dwindeles away as the event begins to unfold.

[TheProfessor]

Well hopefully this event at least moistens are dry air column for the next event.

[dhweather]

NAM 48 hour total accumulated precip

[Red Raider fan]

what next event?

[Red Raider fan]

checked accuweather, weather bug, and local news stations on weather for next week, they're not mentioning any events, just the cold and they're being bullish on that.

[ThunderSleetDreams]

NAM 48 hour total accumulated precip

WHOAAAAAA

[Red Raider fan]

Actually accuweather showes it to be really cold here next tuesday but no moisture.

[ronyan]

Ntxw's point is that with a tanking -EPO forecast, it's inevitable that we will get more cold air dumps south out of Canada. Models will probably be playing catch up. The main limiting factor to how cold we get will be the source region temps. If NW Canada gets loaded with cold Siberian air then look out because it's coming.