Texas Winter 2014-2015

[JDawg512]

Radar showing snow west/northwest of Fort Worth. Any confirmation of this?

[Ralph's Weather]

The front continues to race ahead of what the models are showing. There is a band of thunderstorms moving through western North Texas with temps below freezing in the area so there could be some surprises. This is supposed to weaken ad it heads east so we will see. The freeze line is already not far west of Fort Worth. Areas west of I-35 in DFW are forecasted to have rain and a low of 38, it is 35 or lower in these locations already with the freeze line racing east. These areas could see some accumulation of ice by daybreak which would wreak havoc on the morning commute at least on bridges. This will have to be watched closely. Yesterday models showed 60s at this time in DFW.

[Ralph's Weather]

Radar showing snow west/northwest of Fort Worth. Any confirmation of this?

It is freezing rain some of which looks to be affecting DFW proper now though they may barely escape it with temps in the 31- 34 range. This one was not supposed to be this close with guests calling for lows in the upper 30s.

[Ralph's Weather]

If I was FWD I would have at least mentioned the possibility of icing in DFW proper given current conditions.

[Texas Snowman]

Norman NWS forecast discussion:

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
319 AM CST MON FEB 16 2015

.DISCUSSION...
EXPECT MUCH OF THE PRECIP TO BE ALONG AND EAST OF I-35 BY MORNING.
PERHAPS SOME LIGHT SNOW ACROSS FAR NORTHERN/NORTHWESTERN OK. MOST
OF THE PRECIP THIS MORNING SHOULD BE LIGHT SNOW WITH PERHAPS SOME
PATCHY LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE. SOME SLEET STILL MAY OCCUR IN
SOUTHEAST OK. WILL BE REMOVING SEVERAL COUNTIES FROM THE ADVISORY
THIS MORNING... INITIALLY MUCH OF THE AREA WEST OF I-35.

OTHERWISE... BREEZY AND COLD TODAY. A BIT WARMER ON TUESDAY...
HOWEVER A FAST MOVING WAVE WILL DROP SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL
INTO SOUTHERN PLAINS... POSSIBLY PRODUCING SOME LIGHT RAIN OR EVEN
A BIT OF LIGHT SNOW ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA TUE AFTN.

CONT WITH MODEST WARMING TREND SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK BEFORE
ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM BRINGS ADDITIONAL CHANCES OF RAIN AND PERHAPS
MORE WINTRY PRECIP TO OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS BY THE
SECOND HALF OF NEXT WEEKEND.

[Texas Snowman]

Fort Worth NWS forecast discussion:

ANOTHER STRONG COLD
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND...MOST LIKELY ON
SATURDAY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS POSSIBLE LATE FRIDAY INTO EARLY
SUNDAY.

[Texas Snowman]

Freezing rain advisory to the west in Cooke County and Montague County along the Red River.

No ice here. Looks like we had an inch of rain overnight. Temp at 34 degrees right now.

Friend of mine in the Tulsa area reported heavy thundersleet there late last night.

[Ralph's Weather]

37 and we'll over an inch of rain overnight and still coming down good.

[horselattitudesfarm]

It could be a lot worse folks. Here is the NWS forecast for the top of Mount Washington, New Hampshire at the weather station up there


Today: Areas of blowing snow. Sunny and cold, with a high near -4. Strong and damaging winds, with a northwest wind 105 to 115 mph decreasing to 80 to 90 mph. Winds could gust as high as 145 mph.

Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around -11. Wind chill values as low as -52. Strong and damaging winds, with a northwest wind 60 to 70 mph decreasing to 20 to 30 mph. Winds could gust as high as 95 mph.

Tuesday: Increasing clouds and cold, with a high near -1. Wind chill values as low as -29. Southwest wind around 15 mph.

Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around -9. Wind chill values as low as -31. Windy, with a west wind 20 to 25 mph increasing to 25 to 30 mph after midnight.

Wednesday: Snow showers likely, mainly after 1pm. Mostly cloudy and cold, with a high near 4. Breezy, with a southwest wind 15 to 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Wednesday Night: Snow likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around -13. Very windy. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Thursday: A 30 percent chance of snow showers. Partly sunny and cold, with a high near -4. Very windy.
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around -22. Very windy.

Friday: Mostly sunny and cold, with a high near -9. Strong and damaging winds.

Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around -15. Strong and damaging winds.

Saturday: Partly sunny and cold, with a high near 6. Strong and damaging winds.

[wxman57]

Now the GFS is forecast snow in NE TX next Sun/Mon. Euro indicates 2-3 freezes but no snow. I don't see any major changes in the upper air flow. Anyone want to believe it this far out?

[TexasF6]

LOCAL METS TALKING ABOUT SNOW TONIGHT FOR AUSTIN....ICE ON RADAR IN SAN SABA COUNTY ALREADY....

[wxman57]

LOCAL METS TALKING ABOUT SNOW TONIGHT FOR AUSTIN....ICE ON RADAR IN SAN SABA COUNTY ALREADY...

Look at the graphic above from Tropical Tidbits. That tiny patch of light snow near Austin is not from next weekend it's from today. There isn't going to be much moisture available, through. A plot of the projected upper-air temps for Austin indicates moisture between 10,000 and 18,000 ft but dry below. Any precip would have to survive falling 10,000 ft without melting or sublimating. Not impossible, but don't look to build a snowman.

[Portastorm]

I'll say this much - helluva cold front this is. We've dropped 30 degrees here in Austin in 2 hours!

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Polar Vortex bruh!

No mention of the 1056 high in SD 168 hours out? And its coming down where we like it....

[Ralph's Weather]

Polar Vortex bruh!

No mention of the 1056 high in SD 168 hours out? And its coming down where we like it....

That sure looks good, guess we have all gotten fatigued by the false threats this season.

[srainhoutx]

Morning briefing from Jeff:

Impressive cold front moving across TX this morning.

700am temperatures ranged from 67 at La Grange to 46 at Giddings and 35 at Waco. Frontal passage will feature a solid 20 degree temperature drop. Radar data clearly shows the front nearly College Station and will be reaching the Houston metro area by 1100am to noon and off the coast by mid afternoon. Temperatures will rapidly fall into the 40’s behind the front and into the 30’s by late afternoon with strong north winds.

A line of showers is likely with the front as strong frontal lift encounters deeper moisture over SE TX. Not expecting much more than .25-.50 of an inch of rainfall. Showers and drizzle will linger into the overnight hours ahead of the main trough axis expected to cross the area early Tuesday. Again the main impact will be the significant temperature change.

Strong cold air advection and very cold upstream temperatures support lowering lows tonight a few degrees below guidance which may put the area from College Station to Huntsville near freezing. Could continue to see some light rain and drizzle overnight across the area and with temperatures up north falling to near freezing will need to keep an eye out for any minor impacts. Current thinking is that drizzle will be light and temperatures just near freezing…and given the warm ground from late do not think much if any impacts.

Clearing late Tuesday after a cold mid February day with highs in the 40’s. Lows Wednesday morning may fall to near freezing northeast of a line from College Station to Liberty.

Warming trend begins late Wednesday as southerly winds return and temperatures rebound into the 60’s on Thursday and 70’s Friday into the weekend. Moisture slowly increases Friday-Sunday with slight rain chances mainly for streamer showers moving inland from the Gulf of Mexico.

[BrokenGlassRepublicn]

Grade A miserable in DFW this morning. 32 degrees, mist, and biting winds.

[dhweather]

Now the GFS is forecast snow in NE TX next Sun/Mon. Euro indicates 2-3 freezes but no snow. I don't see any major changes in the upper air flow. Anyone want to believe it this far out?

Any takers? No way I would rip your heart out 59 times in a row.

[dhweather]

I'll say this much - helluva cold front this is. We've dropped 30 degrees here in Austin in 2 hours!

30 degrees in 7 hours here. 20 in the first couple of hours, and slowly since.

[gpsnowman]

Just drove home from Don Davis Nissan on I-20 and as I got closer to home, a little snow flurry greeted me. Stayed just long enough so my daughter could see some flakes. It's over now. What a tease.