Tropical Storm Chris

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DESTRUCTION5
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#4581 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:06 pm

miamicanes177 wrote:We have some saying this is a wave with no closed circulation and others saying it is still closed. So which is it?


LOL..Depends who you ask..
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#4582 Postby AJC3 » Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:06 pm

miamicanes177 wrote:We have some saying this is a wave with no closed circulation and others saying it is still closed. So which is it?


The recon flight that's in there will make that determination.
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#4583 Postby JonathanBelles » Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:06 pm

i think it is still closed
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#4584 Postby WindRunner » Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:06 pm

They should be through the center in the next set, *IF* there is one.
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#4585 Postby stormie_skies » Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:06 pm

Keep an eye on recon ... we are about to find out :wink:
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#4586 Postby Stormavoider » Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:07 pm

miamicanes177 wrote:We have some saying this is a wave with no closed circulation and others saying it is still closed. So which is it?


Recon should tell shortly
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#4587 Postby Stratosphere747 » Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:07 pm

Canelaw99 wrote:I'm gonna post this here since it goes along with my snippet a couple of posts ago, and it's more likely to be seen in here:

sunnyday wrote:In reading the update, a mention is made that the Keys and So. Fla. should keep an eye on Chris. Isn't the path over Cuba ow? If its winds are only 35 and it is virtually dissipated, why should we keep an eye on it?
Thanks for your replies. 8-)


Just in case conditions change....
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#4588 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:08 pm

WindRunner wrote:They should be through the center in the next set, *IF* there is one.


Man that pokadot thing has got to go...LOL
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#4589 Postby jasons2k » Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:08 pm

Air Force Met wrote:
fact789 wrote:COL?


http://www.theweatherprediction.com/habyhints/171/


What does the Acronym stand for? Thanks.
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#4590 Postby x-y-no » Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:08 pm

miamicanes177 wrote:We have some saying this is a wave with no closed circulation and others saying it is still closed. So which is it?


We'll know soon enough ... recon will have crossed into the SW quadrant by the next set of obs.
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#4591 Postby Air Force Met » Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:08 pm

One more reason the convection has been kicking up more...the atmosphere is moistening.

http://amsu.cira.colostate.edu/gpstpw/

The dry slot of low PW's that have been following Chris is slowly shrinking.
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Re: Td Chris Advisory--2pm EDT advisory

#4592 Postby Brent » Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:08 pm

sunnyday wrote:In reading the update, a mention is made that the Keys and So. Fla. should keep an eye on Chris. Isn't the path over Cuba ow? If its winds are only 35 and it is virtually dissipated, why should we keep an eye on it?
Thanks for your replies. 8-)


Well, with any tropical system, there's always a bit of uncertainty, so they are just being on the safe side. It could always intensify a little and South FL is still in the cone...
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#4593 Postby MississippiHurricane » Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:08 pm

Ok I just got back from some task I had to do. Is Chris getting better or is he still in the ER room about to die?
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#4594 Postby jasons2k » Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:09 pm

jschlitz wrote:OK, question about the infrared:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-avn.html

-- It looks like a boundry (I thought it was shear) moves SW through the system and as it passes the core, the convection seems to fire along the boundry as it moves SW 'through' Chris as if some convergence is taking place. What's up wit' 'dat? I don't think I've seen that before in a TC.


From a few pages back......Bueller.......Bueller?
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#4595 Postby stormernie » Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:09 pm

This is being shreed by northerly shear, evident by blow off to the south of thunderstorms. Also in the last 2 frames of the high resolution the LLC seems to disolved. So I would have to say that Chris has difinetly open up and is no longer a depression and we will see this at 5PM.
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#4596 Postby AJC3 » Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:10 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:
Canelaw99 wrote:I'm gonna post this here since it goes along with my snippet a couple of posts ago, and it's more likely to be seen in here:

sunnyday wrote:In reading the update, a mention is made that the Keys and So. Fla. should keep an eye on Chris. Isn't the path over Cuba ow? If its winds are only 35 and it is virtually dissipated, why should we keep an eye on it?
Thanks for your replies. 8-)


Just in case conditions change....


Also the projected path of the center is over Cuba. So even on that path, the wind circulation and associated weather (i.e. squalls) will likely affect the Keys/Straits and perhaps south Florida in some manner.
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Re: Td Chris Advisory--2pm EDT advisory

#4597 Postby ConvergenceZone » Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:10 pm

sunnyday wrote:In reading the update, a mention is made that the Keys and So. Fla. should keep an eye on Chris. Isn't the path over Cuba ow? If its winds are only 35 and it is virtually dissipated, why should we keep an eye on it?
Thanks for your replies. 8-)



They just mention this in case anyone has any loose papers in their backyard or perhaps a bird feeder hanging up that might sway a bit in the wind.
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#4598 Postby Air Force Met » Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:10 pm

jschlitz wrote:
Air Force Met wrote:
fact789 wrote:COL?


http://www.theweatherprediction.com/habyhints/171/


What does the Acronym stand for? Thanks.


I'm not sure it stands for anything...it might be latin or something...not sure.
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#4599 Postby AJC3 » Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:10 pm

jschlitz wrote:
Air Force Met wrote:
fact789 wrote:COL?


http://www.theweatherprediction.com/habyhints/171/


What does the Acronym stand for? Thanks.


It's not an acronym
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#4600 Postby Wthrman13 » Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:11 pm

Looks to me like it may be starting to outrun some of the northerly shear, and it still looks to me like it has a small closed circulation with it, but just barely. There are some cirrus on the NW side of the circulation that are actually moving NW. That UL to it's east is hot on its heels though. It's certainly not in a favorable UL environment to say the least, but it may be just good enough to keep it a marginal TC until it gets closer to Cuba at least.
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