Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

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DrStorm

#4621 Postby DrStorm » Sun Oct 23, 2005 2:46 pm

jkt21787 wrote:Look at the bolded area, there is a 8nm tilt between the center of the storm at the surface versus the center at FL (700 mb). Thats quite the tilt...


To quote Joe Dirt, "Dang."
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jkt21787
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#4622 Postby jkt21787 » Sun Oct 23, 2005 2:46 pm

SFMR (within the NOAA Plane) is indicating 100 mph surface winds in the NE quad.
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#4623 Postby AZS » Sun Oct 23, 2005 2:48 pm

ED RAPPAPORT just said in CBS4 that NOAA plane found 100 mph surface winds in the NE.
He said that they were expecting higher winds in the SW
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#4624 Postby ronibaida » Sun Oct 23, 2005 2:48 pm

jkt21787 wrote:SFMR (within the NOAA Plane) is indicating 100 mph surface winds in the NE quad.


who told you that?? is there a link??
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#4625 Postby jkt21787 » Sun Oct 23, 2005 2:50 pm

ronibaida wrote:
jkt21787 wrote:SFMR (within the NOAA Plane) is indicating 100 mph surface winds in the NE quad.


who told you that?? is there a link??

The recon obs indicate that. Look at the thread there..
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#4626 Postby fasterdisaster » Sun Oct 23, 2005 2:50 pm

The Southern half might be the strongest, so maybe she's up to 105 mph.
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#4627 Postby jkt21787 » Sun Oct 23, 2005 2:51 pm

fasterdisaster wrote:The Southern half might be the strongest, so maybe she's up to 105 mph.

She could be. NOAA plane will go to the southern half shortly...
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#4628 Postby fasterdisaster » Sun Oct 23, 2005 2:56 pm

Woah. 111kts.
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#4629 Postby vaffie » Sun Oct 23, 2005 2:58 pm

fasterdisaster wrote:The Southern half might be the strongest, so maybe she's up to 105 mph.


That makes a lot of sense. If they found 100 mph winds on the north side and she's moving at 12 mph, that would mean that she might have have 124 mph winds on the south side.
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#4630 Postby jkt21787 » Sun Oct 23, 2005 2:59 pm

fasterdisaster wrote:Woah. 111kts.

No, that wasn't a wind report. Wrong column.
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#4631 Postby fasterdisaster » Sun Oct 23, 2005 3:00 pm

jkt21787 wrote:
fasterdisaster wrote:Woah. 111kts.

No, that wasn't a wind report. Wrong column.


Aaah. I see that now.
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#4632 Postby jkt21787 » Sun Oct 23, 2005 3:02 pm

Yeah, sorry again about that. Didn't know how to convert it. I should have known as the SFMR was nowhere near it.
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#4633 Postby O Town » Sun Oct 23, 2005 3:12 pm

http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/fl/hourly.html

Here is a link to hourly data, including pressure readings for all over Fla. if anyone is interested. :)
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#4634 Postby Stratosphere747 » Sun Oct 23, 2005 3:14 pm

Seems as if Wilma's movement is starting to speed up, and also a bit on a more southern track?

4PM discussion should be intresting.
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#4635 Postby Brent » Sun Oct 23, 2005 3:17 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:Seems as if Wilma's movement is starting to speed up, and also a bit on a more southern track?

4PM discussion should be intresting.


Yeah... this is looking like an Everglades landfall with an exit in Broward County. Miami and the Keys are going to get nailed.
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#4636 Postby linkerweather » Sun Oct 23, 2005 3:20 pm

Click on the vis link here then overlay trop forecast points and you will see it is right smack on top of the NHC 11 am track.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
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#4637 Postby El Nino » Sun Oct 23, 2005 3:21 pm

Exactly what I wanted to say Brent : Keys will "love" this one, and I really don't think there will be much weakening until landfall. A cat3 is really possible. Anyone has information about storm surge ? How high ?
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Rainband

#4638 Postby Rainband » Sun Oct 23, 2005 3:22 pm

linkerweather wrote:Click on the vis link here then overlay trop forecast points and you will see it is right smack on top of the NHC 11 am track.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
Josh glad you said it and not me. :lol: I was thinking the exact same thing. When we stare at a sat for so long our eyes play tricks on us.
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#4639 Postby tallywx » Sun Oct 23, 2005 3:22 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:Seems as if Wilma's movement is starting to speed up, and also a bit on a more southern track?

4PM discussion should be intresting.


Not necessarily a more southern track. Plot of recon. fixes:

Image

If anything, the latest fix showed a slight bump north (probably due to the increased tilt with height if anything else). All in all, straight down the NHC forecast track thus far.
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DrStorm

#4640 Postby DrStorm » Sun Oct 23, 2005 3:23 pm

The next 24 hours will be key in determining where landfall will happen in Florida.

:wink: LOL
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