Texas Winter 2010-2011

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Tejas89
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#4661 Postby Tejas89 » Mon Jan 31, 2011 2:58 pm

With the models for next week this is taking me back to December '83. Obviously less intense, but similar with the reinforcing shots. Once you get below 25 with these winds it will fill all the same. :cold: + We didn't get a ton of precip during that event either.
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Re: Re:

#4662 Postby cctxhurricanewatcher » Mon Jan 31, 2011 2:58 pm

Ivanhater wrote:
wxman57 wrote:
Portastorm wrote:The meteorologist is Bob Rose who is the main meteorologist for the Lower Colorado River Authority. Their service area extends from the northern Hill Country down to the middle Texas coast.


I know Bob. He was at A&M at the same time I was there (1977-1980).

Euro does look even colder for us next week (no precip).

I want my boring mild, sunny, dry La Nina winter back, Ivanhater!


I hear ya Wxman. I have to say, this cold is getting a bit old...bring on beach season!


Eh, let's enjoy it while we can. We'll be back to humidity and 90's in a couple of months unless we have a cooler than normal spring like last year. It was the first baseball season since my now soon to be 13 year old start playing baseball at age 5 I had to wear a light jacket to games in late April. Usually I'm in shorts and hooked up to a water bottle in an almost IV like fashion.
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Re: Re:

#4663 Postby iorange55 » Mon Jan 31, 2011 2:59 pm

gpsnowman wrote:And then Dallas County! :froze:


They'll probably go down from Denton to Tarrant just to mess with Dallas county, and be as detailed as can be.
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Re: Re:

#4664 Postby gpsnowman » Mon Jan 31, 2011 3:01 pm

iorange55 wrote:
gpsnowman wrote:And then Dallas County! :froze:


They'll probably go down from Denton to Tarrant just to mess with Dallas county, and be as detailed as can be.

Thats just cruel.
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Re:

#4665 Postby Tireman4 » Mon Jan 31, 2011 3:02 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:Once the leading edge of the "main push" of arctic air enters Oklahoma, the OK mesonet will be a good source to use to watch as the airmass progresses southward toward the Red River.

Here is the link to the OK mesonet homepage: http://www.mesonet.org/index.php

Also, here are a few good links to individual sections of the webpage:

Temperature: http://www.mesonet.org/index.php/weathe ... emperature

Wind Speed and direction: http://www.mesonet.org/data/public/meso ... tbarbs.gif


Thank you EWG./..we miss you on the KHOU weatherboards.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#4666 Postby cctxhurricanewatcher » Mon Jan 31, 2011 3:02 pm

Image
One Corpus Christi TV's stations take!
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#4667 Postby Ntxw » Mon Jan 31, 2011 3:02 pm

18z NAM = A foot between Gainesville and the Falls. 1-3 DFW closer to 3 NW and 1 SE.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#4668 Postby Kelarie » Mon Jan 31, 2011 3:04 pm

Ntxw wrote:18z NAM = A foot between Gainesville and the Falls. 1-3 DFW closer to 3 NW and 1 SE.


So it will be sunny and 80? That is what you are saying? :cheesy:
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#4669 Postby brewskymc » Mon Jan 31, 2011 3:04 pm

It would appear to me that the front has now passed through Guyman, OK...
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#4670 Postby iorange55 » Mon Jan 31, 2011 3:05 pm

Ntxw wrote:18z NAM = A foot between Gainesville and the Falls. 1-3 DFW closer to 3 NW and 1 SE.


Overall snowline went further south it looks like too. If we can get one more push. Maybe we'll squeeze out 3-5 here.
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Re: Re:

#4671 Postby txagwxman » Mon Jan 31, 2011 3:08 pm

Eh, let's enjoy it while we can. We'll be back to humidity and 90's in a couple of months unless we have a cooler than normal spring like last year. It was the first baseball season since my now soon to be 13 year old start playing baseball at age 5 I had to wear a light jacket to games in late April. Usually I'm in shorts and hooked up to a water bottle in an almost IV like fashion.[/quote]

We have our first practice this Wednesday...
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#4672 Postby txagwxman » Mon Jan 31, 2011 3:10 pm

GEM 2m temps are below freezing in Houston on Friday with the precip...even though 850 mb temps > 0C.
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#4673 Postby gboudx » Mon Jan 31, 2011 3:11 pm

From jeff. Goes along with what txagwxman is saying about the temps being colder than forecasted up north.

...

Arctic boundary moving into the TX panhandle where Amarillo has fallen to 27 versus 62 at Lubbock. Upstream temperatures over KS are running about 5-10 degrees colder than model guidance was suggesting. Expect the freezing line will progress rapidly southward into TX tonight and early Tuesday which may result in a southward adjustment of winter precip. on Tuesday. For now best estimate is to keep the freezing rain line north of all of SE TX, but will be watching the trends very close this evening.

Also per SPC there will be a risk of severe thunderstorms late tonight and early Tuesday ahead of the arctic boundary. Severe hail and wind damage will be possible mainly along and N of I-10.

12Z guidance now coming in continues the winter storm threat Thursday/Friday for coastal Texas.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#4674 Postby Ntxw » Mon Jan 31, 2011 3:11 pm

iorange55 wrote:
Ntxw wrote:18z NAM = A foot between Gainesville and the Falls. 1-3 DFW closer to 3 NW and 1 SE.


Overall snowline went further south it looks like too. If we can get one more push. Maybe we'll squeeze out 3-5 here.


It will be hard to know until the precip/freeze line sets up, mesoscale. That's probably on top of some intense sleet. But the air seems to get cold deep pretty fast. Given how tight the baroclinic zone is lol 0c to -10c in a relatively short distance.
Last edited by Ntxw on Mon Jan 31, 2011 3:12 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re:

#4675 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Mon Jan 31, 2011 3:11 pm

txagwxman wrote:GEM 2m temps are below freezing in Houston on Friday with the precip...even though 850 mb temps > 0C.


Not good, cold enoguh for sleet or FRZ RAIN?
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Re: Re:

#4676 Postby DentonGal » Mon Jan 31, 2011 3:12 pm

txagwxman wrote:Eh, let's enjoy it while we can. We'll be back to humidity and 90's in a couple of months unless we have a cooler than normal spring like last year. It was the first baseball season since my now soon to be 13 year old start playing baseball at age 5 I had to wear a light jacket to games in late April. Usually I'm in shorts and hooked up to a water bottle in an almost IV like fashion.


We have our first practice this Wednesday...[/quote]
My high school daughter has her first softball game tomorrow night...LOL!
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#4677 Postby WacoWx » Mon Jan 31, 2011 3:16 pm

Arctic boundary moving into the TX panhandle where Amarillo has fallen to 27 versus 62 at Lubbock. Upstream temperatures over KS are running about 5-10 degrees colder than model guidance was suggesting. Expect the freezing line will progress rapidly southward into TX tonight and early Tuesday which may result in a southward adjustment of winter precip. on Tuesday. For now best estimate is to keep the freezing rain line north of all of SE TX, but will be watching the trends very close this evening.


Still holding out for some extreme increase in speed with this front resulting in Winter WX for Waco when I wake up. I'm not even on the line yet, but i can hope. :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#4678 Postby downsouthman1 » Mon Jan 31, 2011 3:17 pm

WacoWx wrote:
Arctic boundary moving into the TX panhandle where Amarillo has fallen to 27 versus 62 at Lubbock. Upstream temperatures over KS are running about 5-10 degrees colder than model guidance was suggesting. Expect the freezing line will progress rapidly southward into TX tonight and early Tuesday which may result in a southward adjustment of winter precip. on Tuesday. For now best estimate is to keep the freezing rain line north of all of SE TX, but will be watching the trends very close this evening.


Still holding out for some extreme increase in speed with this front resulting in Winter WX for Waco when I wake up. I'm not even on the line yet, but i can hope. :lol:


You are on the line. People just aren't talking about it because there will be more significant weather even further North & West.
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#4679 Postby txagwxman » Mon Jan 31, 2011 3:20 pm

Going on a limb...Houston schools will be close Fri.
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Re:

#4680 Postby Tireman4 » Mon Jan 31, 2011 3:20 pm

gboudx wrote:From jeff. Goes along with what txagwxman is saying about the temps being colder than forecasted up north.

...

Arctic boundary moving into the TX panhandle where Amarillo has fallen to 27 versus 62 at Lubbock. Upstream temperatures over KS are running about 5-10 degrees colder than model guidance was suggesting. Expect the freezing line will progress rapidly southward into TX tonight and early Tuesday which may result in a southward adjustment of winter precip. on Tuesday. For now best estimate is to keep the freezing rain line north of all of SE TX, but will be watching the trends very close this evening.

Also per SPC there will be a risk of severe thunderstorms late tonight and early Tuesday ahead of the arctic boundary. Severe hail and wind damage will be possible mainly along and N of I-10.

12Z guidance now coming in continues the winter storm threat Thursday/Friday for coastal Texas.



YIKES>...man oh man....
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