ATL: HERMINE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Blown Away]

This system proves what amateur's most of us are... It's like a moving target trying to figure this out...

This puts the islands on alert even more now...

[p1nheadlarry]

99L remains pretty disorganized on satellite. Anybody know when ascat passes by?

watching this carefully in the NE Caribbean on the island of St Maarten. Even a strong tropical wave could bring us flooding

Blijf maar voorzichtig hoor

[SouthFLTropics]

I guess the increase to 60% has to do in part to the ECMWF.

Maybe they just saw the latest HWRF!!!

[cycloneye]

I guess the increase to 60% has to do in part to the ECMWF.

Maybe they just saw the latest HWRF!!!

Is very possible.

[p1nheadlarry]

Even the NHC is cautious about the favorable conditions in the Bahamas with saying 'they could become favorable.'

It's not organized, but progressing little by little. Dry air is being pushed aside as it treks westward. They obviously see a window for it to really get going once it hits the sweet spot north of the Antilles - if it doesn't track over them, that is.

[gatorcane]

If it is anything like the past couple of nights, popcorn convection should get going in the new few hours. Probably will see a resurgence in convection again tonight, typical of systems in the seminal stages of development.

[Hammy]

Looks like NHC is tossing the most recent GFS solutions.

[tolakram]

Live ir

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20HURRICANE&lat=17&lon=-55&info=ir&zoom=2&width=1024&height=768&type=Animation&quality=92&palette=ir2.pal&numframes=10&mapcolor=gray

[TheStormExpert]

Isn't it diurnal minimum?

[pgoss11]

Isn't it diurnal minimum?

I think Diurnal Minimum was 5 PM if I'm not mistaken.

[Blown Away]

TAFB...

[JtSmarts]

Interesting, if this does become Hermine and becomes a hurricane it will be the first.

[Javlin]

I'm feel this cat is trying to sneaking in the back door have to see if it adds more thunder storms tonight.

[deltadog03]

My first initial thoughts...come on by and say hello and please like and share my page...thank you everyone!
https://www.facebook.com/ChriswxmanSimmons/

[floridasun78]

let hope it not strong in bahamas

[gatorcane]

Popcorn convection is back:

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... display=12

[Blown Away]

Popcorn convection is back:

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... display=12

Very active TW... 99L has looked very healthy all day... The models initial points don't reflect a tropical low this healthy...

[JaxGator]

Popcorn convection is back:

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... display=12

Very active TW... 99L has looked very healthy all day... The models initial points don't reflect a tropical low this healthy...

They might be underestimating it in its current healthy state.

[Hammy]

Popcorn convection is back:

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... display=12

Very active TW... 99L has looked very healthy all day... The models initial points don't reflect a tropical low this healthy...

They might be underestimating it in its current healthy state.

I wouldn't say healthy, latest ASCAT pass shows there's little to no circulation left and it's flattened out quite a bit since yesterday.

[AutoPenalti]

Yeah, this is starting to die real quick. DMAX is coming soon, however.