Texas Spring 2026

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HockeyTx82
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#481 Postby HockeyTx82 » Thu Apr 02, 2026 8:17 am

1.08" IMBY last night.
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Ntxw
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#482 Postby Ntxw » Thu Apr 02, 2026 9:59 am

In the world of ENSO, El Nino is starting to take hold with low frequency signal in the tropics. Pretty evident with the MJO looking like it will set over the Pacific again and again. It's coming, and it's going to control everything weather soon for us.

Image
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#483 Postby txtwister78 » Thu Apr 02, 2026 10:46 am

wxman22 wrote:
txtwister78 wrote:
wxman22 wrote:
The Enhanced Risk looks to be verifying to me the whole line is severe warned.What were you expecting? Tornado warning issued now also We have warnings on top of warnings here.Right now the storm chaser for one of the local news station is reporting winds of 75 mph live.


And you don't need a lot of instability up here due to the large amount of shear we get. It meets enhanced risk criteria to me. And enhanced risk is more about quantity of severe storms ( Numerous severe thunderstorms) and that is verifying. We weren’t talking about a moderate risk outbreak lol. I do agree with you though on Friday being interesting.

https://i.postimg.cc/7Zk8zBsv/IMG-0729.png
https://i.postimg.cc/43H6T5gS/IMG-0730.gif


Well for one, I wasn't talking about the enhanced risk (yes I know what it means) or coming into today with an "expectation" of anything other than parts of the state getting some much needed rain. This was never a day that screamed "big severe weather outbreak" hence my instability comment (lol). I was reacting to the Tornado Watch issued by SPC and basically saying good thing things aren't going in that direction (radar/real-time wise).

The instability comment wasn't meant to suggest there wouldn't be severe weather today. Of course instability alone doesn't negate the prospect of severe weather (obviously) but it certainly can impact the range storms have to work with dynamically when parameters are higher than they were today as we saw?

Thus far we've had one very large hail report and one high wind report and no tornadoes. So yeah, I'd say that's a pretty good indicator again as severe weather days can go in Texas and witb a Tornado Watch posted of a "more bark than bite" end result and btw that's also why I said "that's a good thing". Take that comment as a positive one my friend. That's all. More to track going forward.


Boo! I want a tornado LOL joking of course. :) Sorry if I came across “gruff” last night.


No worries and unfortunately they're too many people on the web/social media world these days not joking when it comes to the Tornado aspect. That's so odd/cringe to me (definitely not like wanting/hoping for snow Lol)?Anyway don't get me started on that one...lol

Just glad folks are cashing in on some much needed rain up north. Much more to come across the state from the looks of things.
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#484 Postby wxman22 » Thu Apr 02, 2026 12:12 pm

Most of the CAMS shows another round of storms here tomorrow evening.
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#485 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Apr 02, 2026 2:36 pm

HockeyTx82 wrote:1.08" IMBY last night.

I had around an inch as well, rain gauge said .6, but the wind was crazy
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#486 Postby wxman22 » Thu Apr 02, 2026 2:56 pm

The HRRR looks very wet tomorrow evening/night.

Image
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#487 Postby Ntxw » Thu Apr 02, 2026 3:29 pm

wxman22 wrote:The HRRR looks very wet tomorrow evening/night.

https://i.postimg.cc/j2r37xNQ/floop-hrrr-2026040218-refcmp-us-sc.gif


I noticed the Euro since a few runs ago was sending 2 rounds of linear activity, beautiful! It's been a beautiful day today, something about a warm day after rain everything is lush. I'm ready for things to be different with many opportunities for rain.

About this time next week the flow will be directly out of the EPAC with a highway of mid level moisture streaming in from the Pacific. The pineapple express looks like it may be arriving!

Excessive rainfall may become a concern.

Image
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HockeyTx82
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#488 Postby HockeyTx82 » Thu Apr 02, 2026 3:55 pm

Ntxw wrote:
wxman22 wrote:The HRRR looks very wet tomorrow evening/night.

https://i.postimg.cc/j2r37xNQ/floop-hrrr-2026040218-refcmp-us-sc.gif


I noticed the Euro since a few runs ago was sending 2 rounds of linear activity, beautiful! It's been a beautiful day today, something about a warm day after rain everything is lush. I'm ready for things to be different with many opportunities for rain.

About this time next week the flow will be directly out of the EPAC with a highway of mid level moisture streaming in from the Pacific. The pineapple express looks like it may be arriving!

Excessive rainfall may become a concern.

https://i.imgur.com/MfyA2KN.png


Well that might put a dent into camping that weekend at Lake Bridgeport.....
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