Hurricane Ernesto - Cat. 1

[dizzyfish]

URNT11 KNHC 241929
97779 19274 50135 60008 03100 14031 22229 /0011
41125
RMK AF303 01GGA INVEST OB 17


I'm gonna guess this is 13.5n 60.0w 1010mbs

Someone please correct me if I'm wrong.

[Josephine96]

Could be...If Debby strengthens a little more, we'd have 2.. but Debby's only gonna swim with the fish..

[craptacular]

I think it's 1011 mbs.

[brunota2003]

I think it has more to do with nobody bothering to post them...

Too much excitement now, eh?

yep...

[brunota2003]

980
SXXX50 KNHC 241937
AF303 01GGA INVEST HDOB 29 KNHC
1929. 1337N 05958W 00305 5005 136 032 216 216 034 00311 0000000000
1930 1339N 05958W 00305 5004 136 037 216 216 038 00311 0000000000
1930. 1340N 05958W 00306 5004 137 038 216 216 039 00312 0000000000
1931 1342N 05957W 00303 5004 141 038 212 212 040 00310 0000000000
1931. 1344N 05957W 00305 5003 146 033 212 212 034 00313 0000000000
1932 1345N 05956W 00305 5002 145 034 210 210 035 00313 0000000000
1932. 1347N 05956W 00305 5001 144 035 212 212 035 00314 0000000000
1933 1349N 05956W 00304 5000 144 037 210 210 038 00315 0000000000
1933. 1350N 05955W 00305 0001 144 038 206 206 039 00317 0000000000
1934 1352N 05956W 00306 0001 142 037 206 206 039 00318 0000000000
1934. 1354N 05956W 00304 5000 147 036 210 210 038 00314 0000000000
1935 1355N 05957W 00306 0001 143 037 220 220 037 00318 0000000000
1935. 1356N 05959W 00303 0000 137 035 208 208 036 00314 0000000000
1936 1357N 06001W 00306 5000 126 032 204 204 035 00317 0000000000
1936. 1357N 06003W 00304 5001 128 039 204 204 039 00313 0000000000
1937 1357N 06004W 00305 5002 126 038 208 208 040 00314 0000000000
1937. 1356N 06005W 00305 5004 116 036 200 200 037 00311 0000000000
1938 1354N 06007W 00307 5005 111 036 208 208 039 00313 0000000000
1938. 1353N 06008W 00302 5005 115 029 206 206 039 00308 0000000000
1939 1352N 06009W 00306 5005 121 025 204 204 026 00312 0000000000

[Scorpion]

What's the flight level reduction?

[dwg71]

What's the flight level reduction?

If its 80 its 32Kts
If its 75 its 30Kts

Based on 40KT flight level winds

[jwayne]

What's the flight level reduction?

thought it was 10%, which would make this a ts

[Scorpion]

I think it is 80%, but am not positive.

[Lowpressure]

I think here it is .8 which makes this just shy of a TS.

[brunota2003]

903
SXXX50 KNHC 241947
AF303 01GGA INVEST HDOB 30 KNHC
1939. 1351N 06011W 00303 5005 125 026 204 204 029 00309 0000000000
1940 1350N 06012W 00306 5005 116 026 202 202 027 00311 0000000000
1940. 1349N 06013W 00308 5007 106 027 204 204 029 00312 0000000000
1941 1348N 06014W 00305 5007 131 020 204 204 025 00309 0000000000
1941. 1346N 06014W 00300 5006 153 019 214 214 020 00304 0000000000
1942 1345N 06015W 00308 5006 141 021 226 224 022 00312 0000000000
1942. 1345N 06016W 00304 5007 133 021 224 220 021 00307 0000000000
1943 1345N 06018W 00304 5008 130 019 222 222 020 00307 0000000000
1943. 1344N 06020W 00307 5008 124 017 220 220 018 00310 0000000000
1944 1343N 06021W 00303 5008 122 016 224 224 017 00305 0000000000
1944. 1342N 06022W 00306 5008 130 018 226 226 018 00308 0000000000
1945 1341N 06023W 00305 5009 132 018 226 226 019 00307 0000000000
1945. 1340N 06024W 00304 5009 137 019 224 224 020 00305 0000000000
1946 1338N 06025W 00307 5009 150 019 220 220 021 00308 0000000000
1946. 1337N 06026W 00301 5011 152 025 208 208 026 00300 0000000000
1947 1337N 06028W 00307 5011 155 025 216 216 026 00307 0000000000
1947. 1337N 06029W 00305 5011 155 025 226 226 026 00305 0000000000
1948 1336N 06031W 00305 5012 150 024 224 224 024 00304 0000000000
1948. 1336N 06032W 00304 5012 144 022 218 218 023 00303 0000000000
1949 1335N 06034W 00307 5011 145 021 218 218 021 00306 0000000000

[SouthFloridawx]

This one can be the advisory thread as I changed the title of mine.

[benny]

In general at 1000 ft the reduction should be 80%.. but we already have 33 kt report (usually of 10 min ave) from Barbados.. so it looks a little low in this case. It is just hard for me to believe that Barbados got the peak and there are no 34 kt winds to make this a TS... seems a little dodgy to me.

[Josephine96]

what's the current winds based on recon..?

[cycloneye]

Yes this will be for advisorys only.

[Lowpressure]

The highest I have seen is 40kts at flight level, with probably an 80% reduction being used.

[Josephine96]

Convert knts to mph for me please

[brunota2003]

Convert knts to mph for me please

look over on the right side and you will see the knots to MPH conversion bar: http://www.hurricanetrack.com/

[Lowpressure]

Convert knts to mph for me please

40kts x .8 = 32kts at the surface or right at 35 mph.

[gopherfan21]

KT*1.15 = MPH

MPH/1.15 = KT