ATL: MILTON - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[ConvergenceZone]

Looks to be slowing down a little. Heading directly for Tampa Bay.

Perhaps 6 hours left to reintensify a little.

I think landfall in closer to 3 hrs. It's doing the opposite of intensifying now. Plane found only 85 ks (100 mph) in NE quadrant. Wind field is larger. Not an optimal angle for max surge into Tampa Bay. Wind remains out of the NE in Tampa Bay. That's good. The number of tornadoes was a surprise today. I'm liking the long-range models better now, showing a fairly strong cold front making it all the way to the NW Caribbean by late next week.

landfall in 3 hours? Wow, the forecast really goofed on that one!

[NDG]

Based on the latest Recon fix Milton is still moving very fast, near 20 mph, on a 35 deg heading in the last hour.

[chaser1]

I recommend watching Ryan hall on TV while being on the internet. The tornado aspect of this storm is greater than I would have thought based on SPC outlooks yesterday. They were on it early today with ENH and hatched SigTor.

Orlando area now has warnings.

Nope, no tornado warnings here. I first checked radar and saw no semblance of Tornado signiture. Then checked local forecast office and there was only watches in effect.

[psyclone]

I don't know if the center is coming to tampa bay but it looks like the worst weather is...I really think we're going to get hammered here

[Poonwalker]

This thing is coming in too fast. I don’t care about a time measured sustained wind speed making it into some categorical construct. I don’t want the bloody surge!

[TR772]

Can someone post the link to the best quality radar ? Looking to see potential tornado activity over here Palm Beach/Martin County. Thanks.

[chaser1]

and there's our first tornado warning...til 4:45! (eastern Orlando)

That's strange? Am monitoring local warnings yet not being posted at Melbourne NWS office?

[Travorum]

I recommend watching Ryan hall on TV while being on the internet. The tornado aspect of this storm is greater than I would have thought based on SPC outlooks yesterday. They were on it early today with ENH and hatched SigTor.

Orlando area now has warnings.

Nope, no tornado warnings here. I first checked radar and saw no semblance of Tornado signiture. Then checked local forecast office and there was only watches in effect.

It's just to the east of MCO, up through Azalea Park.
 https://x.com/NWStornado/status/1844107888056467529

[CronkPSU]

and there's our first tornado warning...til 4:45! (eastern Orlando)

That's strange? Am monitoring local warnings yet not being posted at Melbourne NWS office?

SE Orange County til 4:45

saying it will be near me around 4:20 in Avalon Park

[psyclone]

I don't know if the center is coming to tampa bay but it looks like the worst weather is...I really think we're going to get hammered here

[tolakram]

saved loop

[grapealcoholic]

Can someone post the link to the best quality radar ? Looking to see potential tornado activity over here Palm Beach/Martin County. Thanks.

https://moe.met.fsu.edu/~mnissenbaum/Ra ... /loop.html

[TomballEd]

I recommend watching Ryan hall on TV while being on the internet. The tornado aspect of this storm is greater than I would have thought based on SPC outlooks yesterday. They were on it early today with ENH and hatched SigTor.

Orlando area now has warnings.

Nope, no tornado warnings here. I first checked radar and saw no semblance of Tornado signiture. Then checked local forecast office and there was only watches in effect.

Orange County, not the actual city. I lived in Orlando for a year in 1983 and 1984.

Same way I consider Montgomery and Fort Bend counties to be Houston area.

[kassi]

I recommend watching Ryan hall on TV while being on the internet. The tornado aspect of this storm is greater than I would have thought based on SPC outlooks yesterday. They were on it early today with ENH and hatched SigTor.

Orlando area now has warnings.

Ryan is fantastic when it comes to Tornadoes. I watch him alot during severe season. His knowledge and accuracy on hurricanes is really bad though, but when it comes to tornadoes, he's one of the best.

I had never watched him before, but thanks to whoever mentioned him several pages back as I've had him on my Chromebook for a while now. It's been very informative. He's got over 300,000 currently watching. I can't speak for the hurricane knowledge, but the insane amount of tornado warnings constantly coming through have kept them pretty busy on those. I don't think I've ever seen so many in such a short time and they're still coming.

[psyclone]

Sorry for the dupe post gang...I'm medicated

[ElectricStorm]

Drop has 948mb just a 1mb increase since last pass. However winds are way down. I'd go 85kts/948mb

[tolakram]

saved loop

[CronkPSU]

I recommend watching Ryan hall on TV while being on the internet. The tornado aspect of this storm is greater than I would have thought based on SPC outlooks yesterday. They were on it early today with ENH and hatched SigTor.

Orlando area now has warnings.

Nope, no tornado warnings here. I first checked radar and saw no semblance of Tornado signiture. Then checked local forecast office and there was only watches in effect.

Orange County, not the actual city. I lived in Orlando for a year in 1983 and 1984.

Same way I consider Montgomery and Fort Bend counties to be Houston area.

i live in Orlando (out past the airport) and we are under a tornado warning

[NDG]

Looks to be slowing down a little. Heading directly for Tampa Bay.

Perhaps 6 hours left to reintensify a little.

I think landfall in closer to 3 hrs. It's doing the opposite of intensifying now. Plane found only 85 ks (100 mph) in NE quadrant. Wind field is larger. Not an optimal angle for max surge into Tampa Bay. Wind remains out of the NE in Tampa Bay. That's good. The number of tornadoes was a surprise today. I'm liking the long-range models better now, showing a fairly strong cold front making it all the way to the NW Caribbean by late next week.

landfall in 3 hours? Wow, the forecast really goofed on that one!

I agree with wxman57, landfall in about 3-4 hours if it doesn't slow down in the next few minutes or hits on its break right before landfall.

[tolakram]

longer saved radar loop

source: https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=s ... =undefined