ATL: IKE Discussion

[tolakram]

[LaBreeze]

Thanks stormspotter - I do appreciate the thoughts and prayers.

[fasterdisaster]

See what I meant by him not going inland yet was that his landfall is on that tiny peninsula I guess you could call it there and he's moving 275 or so in the latest frames so he will only be hugging the coast for a few hours.

[Brent]

[carversteve]

ummmm....is he not over land?

[HURAKAN]

A lengthwise track of a strong hurricane will strip Cuba of economically important crops like tobacco and sugar cane.

At the moment Cuba's strongest economic asset is not tobacco or sugar, it's tourism.

[Texashawk]

Geez, that was a fast 11 PM forecast track post - 25 minutes early!!!

[cycloneye]

[El Nino]

Houston, we have a problem !

[MBryant]

My mom was joking that last time it was Katrina for Louisiana and Rita for Texas (although, wasn't that technically a LA landfall? Oh well, she lives in Beaumont so to her it was a Texas storm) so since Louisiana had Gustav it would be Texas getting a big one soon. I hope she isn't right but Louisiana doesn't want yet another one. If this one hits around Cameron then it will be quite ironic.

Both Audrey and Rita hit Cameron, La. It may come as a shock to some, but Cameron is actually south of Orange, Texas due to the meanders of the Sabine River. Orange has seen the eye of a couple of Louisiana landfall hurricanes.

[randge]

wxman57 wrote:
00Z plots. Pretty good consensus on Matagorda Bay to mid LA coast:

I'm right curious about the two-letter coded blocks in the GOM shown red-lined in the 00Z plot map.

I've never seen those before. What the heck do they represent??

Been bouncing back and forth between web pages and see that this question has been answered previously.

Also noticed that sinced I was last browsing here that we're now right in the bullseye in H-town. All my tanks and generators are still full from Gustav preparations. We're A.J. squared away from the last alert, and if it hits hard inland
all I've got to do is load up, lock the door and skedadel.

[HouTXmetro]

West bend is gone in the latest track update. Extrap would be Galveston.

[tolakram]

[HURAKAN]

Banes reported a gust of 121 mph according to the NHC.

[LaBreeze]

Cameron (the town) is actually southeast of Orange, TX. Part of western Cameron Parish is south of Orange, TX. Cameron is south of Westlake and Sulphur, LA. Granted, Rita did come in at an angle and that's why you got the eye.

[HURAKAN]

I think if Ike remains 36 hours over land it will likely be a TS or TD when it enter the GOM.

[Wx_Warrior]

SWLA would have to evac as well.

[HURAKAN]

Clearly shows landfall.

[HarlequinBoy]

I think if Ike remains 36 hours over land it will likely be a TS or TD when it enter the GOM.

If it takes the forecast track from the NHC I just can't see it remaining a hurricane.

[BigB0882]

Will another LSU football game be postponed? Sheesh. I know Baton Rouge isn't nextdoor to Galveston but if the storm is big and makes landfall Saturday afternoon or evening then Baton Rouge could certainly have sloppy weather. We had a ton of rain with Rita and had gusts of around 40 mph. That is enough to cancel a game. My parents were supposed to come in for it.

One thing worrying me is that I think if the track shifts at all, it will probably shift East because of the trough. This is going to be another very long week.