Global Model Runs for W.Caribbean Early Season Development

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Duddy
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Re: Models Show Early Season Development? 00z GFS rolling in

#501 Postby Duddy » Sun May 25, 2008 11:11 pm

http://www.owsweather.com/tws.html

USA TROPICAL WEATHER STATEMENT...
ONTARIO WEATHER SERVICE
ONTARIO, CALIFORNIA
MAY 24, 2008 3:00pmPDT

Convergence zone in Central America is firing up for possible tropical storm / hurricane development for the early part of June.

Early indications of a hurricane to hit the United States by early June. Looks around or on June 3-4, 2008. The wind fields are suggesting a curve into the Western Florida area so anyone in Tampa Southward might serve a direct hit if trends continue. Stay tuned to the latest from OWSweather.

K. MARTIN
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Re: Models Show Early Season Development? 00z GFS rolling in

#502 Postby RL3AO » Sun May 25, 2008 11:13 pm

LOL at

Early indications of a hurricane to hit the United States by early June. Looks around or on June 3-4, 2008.


What a bunch of crap. So they know a storm will form and it will make landfall in the US as a hurricane 10 days in advance?
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Re: Models Show Early Season Development? 00z GFS rolling in

#503 Postby cycloneye » Sun May 25, 2008 11:13 pm

00z GFS at 114 Hours Here we go in the Caribbean!.
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Eyewall

Re: Models Show Early Season Development? 00z GFS rolling in

#504 Postby Eyewall » Sun May 25, 2008 11:14 pm

The fact that all the moisture right now is on the pacific side it looks like that is where the low will start to develop and then start to move east in to the southern caribbean. :P
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Re: Models Show Early Season Development? 00z GFS rolling in

#505 Postby Category 5 » Sun May 25, 2008 11:15 pm

RL3AO wrote:LOL at

Early indications of a hurricane to hit the United States by early June. Looks around or on June 3-4, 2008.


What a bunch of crap. So they know a storm will form and it will make landfall in the US as a hurricane 10 days in advance?



Seriously, I've never even heard of this agency.
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Re: Models Show Early Season Development? 00z GFS rolling in

#506 Postby senorpepr » Sun May 25, 2008 11:15 pm

Duddy wrote:http://www.owsweather.com/tws.html

USA TROPICAL WEATHER STATEMENT...
ONTARIO WEATHER SERVICE
ONTARIO, CALIFORNIA
MAY 24, 2008 3:00pmPDT

Convergence zone in Central America is firing up for possible tropical storm / hurricane development for the early part of June.

Early indications of a hurricane to hit the United States by early June. Looks around or on June 3-4, 2008. The wind fields are suggesting a curve into the Western Florida area so anyone in Tampa Southward might serve a direct hit if trends continue. Stay tuned to the latest from OWSweather.

K. MARTIN


WHAT?! I'd like to see what sort of meteorological sense this statement has for back up...
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Re: Models Show Early Season Development? 00z GFS rolling in

#507 Postby boca » Sun May 25, 2008 11:15 pm

Duddy wrote:http://www.owsweather.com/tws.html

USA TROPICAL WEATHER STATEMENT...
ONTARIO WEATHER SERVICE
ONTARIO, CALIFORNIA
MAY 24, 2008 3:00pmPDT

Convergence zone in Central America is firing up for possible tropical storm / hurricane development for the early part of June.

Early indications of a hurricane to hit the United States by early June. Looks around or on June 3-4, 2008. The wind fields are suggesting a curve into the Western Florida area so anyone in Tampa Southward might serve a direct hit if trends continue. Stay tuned to the latest from OWSweather.

K. MARTIN


How can they logically post something like that when as of right now theirs nothing there. How can make a public statement like that.
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Re: Models Show Early Season Development? 00z GFS rolling in

#508 Postby boca » Sun May 25, 2008 11:17 pm

It was posted on May 24th Friday's date.
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Re: Models Show Early Season Development? 00z GFS rolling in

#509 Postby Category 5 » Sun May 25, 2008 11:19 pm

Read this, that puts it to bed.

http://www.owsweather.com/kevinmartin.html

:D
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Re: Models Show Early Season Development? 00z GFS rolling in

#510 Postby Eyewall » Sun May 25, 2008 11:19 pm

What was that all about. They are really sticking their head on the chopping block. :spam:
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#511 Postby senorpepr » Sun May 25, 2008 11:19 pm

After some research, I'm inclined to say that post has no validity. It's basically a stab in the dark, without a sword to swing.
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Opal storm

Re: Models Show Early Season Development? 00z GFS rolling in

#512 Postby Opal storm » Sun May 25, 2008 11:20 pm

He's a student of greatone. :wink:
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Re: Models Show Early Season Development? 00z GFS rolling in

#513 Postby george_r_1961 » Sun May 25, 2008 11:22 pm

RL3AO wrote:LOL at

Early indications of a hurricane to hit the United States by early June. Looks around or on June 3-4, 2008.


What a bunch of crap. So they know a storm will form and it will make landfall in the US as a hurricane 10 days in advance?


All I want to know is who/what is the "Ontario Weather Service"?
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Re: Models Show Early Season Development? 00z GFS rolling in

#514 Postby RL3AO » Sun May 25, 2008 11:23 pm

george_r_1961 wrote:
All I want to know is who/what is the "Ontario Weather Service"?


Corona, California ( OWS ) January 17, 2008 - - Are current NWS forecasts enough to cover the entire population of Southern California is the question sought. Can private forecasters forecast just as good or better than the ones we seek today known as the National Weather Service? One man, with a disorder claims to be able to do just that. A disorder that has enabled him to latch onto mother nature, and forecast without needing a degree.
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Re: Models Show Early Season Development? 00z GFS rolling in

#515 Postby cycloneye » Sun May 25, 2008 11:24 pm

00z GFS at 144 Hours 1005 mb Low just off Yucatan.

00z GFS at 156 Hours Low is almost at the same place.

00z GFS at 168 Hours 1004 mb low inside Yucatan.
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Eyewall

Re: Models Show Early Season Development? 00z GFS rolling in

#516 Postby Eyewall » Sun May 25, 2008 11:31 pm

One thing is for sure when this disturbance becomes an invest we will be up all night. :bday:
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Eyewall

Re: Models Show Early Season Development? 00z GFS rolling in

#517 Postby Eyewall » Sun May 25, 2008 11:34 pm

This disturbance looks like it will be a slow mover which will give us plenty of time to prepare for a potential storm. 8-)
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Re: Models Show Early Season Development? 00z GFS rolling in

#518 Postby lebron23 » Sun May 25, 2008 11:35 pm

if i had to guess 00z looks like mobile to tampa..
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Re: Models Show Early Season Development? 00z GFS rolling in

#519 Postby rainydaze » Sun May 25, 2008 11:38 pm

Opal storm wrote:He's a student of greatone. :wink:


Yes, the king of the DISCO remember :lol:

As much as I like seeing TC's, I'm not ready for one! Moving day is June 7th for me and I don't need the craziness of anything tropical in the middle of it. Just moving a few miles north btw...all you Jupiter, Fl people can welcome me into your neghborhood soon, but not with a storm :D

Today, Miami NWS is calling for 'tropical moisture' to possibly stream in at the end of next week and into the beginning of the next.
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Eyewall

Re: Models Show Early Season Development? 00z GFS rolling in

#520 Postby Eyewall » Sun May 25, 2008 11:43 pm

With stormes in that location history has shown that the futher west the strom gets the better chance is has to come to the Louisiana coast . Man I can see our emergency management now in a panic state. :double: :double:
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