ATL: Tropical Depression Dolly

WmE · #5041 Postby **WmE** » Mon Jul 21, 2008 7:02 am

srainhoutx wrote:Looking like we still have a mid level system this morning. Still see no indications from RECON of surface LLC at this time.

Yeah that's strange. Still a system without LLC is no tropical cyclone.

Derek Ortt · #5042 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Mon Jul 21, 2008 7:04 am

there was a SW wind reported...

this is also right on the Yucatan

Chacor · #5043 Postby **Chacor** » Mon Jul 21, 2008 7:05 am

Merida Airport (77 mi SW of 8 am position) reporting 5 kt west winds.

Bane · #5044 Postby **Bane** » Mon Jul 21, 2008 7:06 am

it continues to look like crap.

Chacor · #5045 Postby **Chacor** » Mon Jul 21, 2008 7:26 am

Structurally perhaps, but convection wise that's fairly deep convection (colder than -80C) for the Atlantic. It's not often storms produce tops that cold in the Atlantic...

#5046 Postby **HURAKAN** » Mon Jul 21, 2008 7:36 am

TexasStooge · #5047 Postby **TexasStooge** » Mon Jul 21, 2008 7:45 am

"Hello, Dolly!" OK, I just had to say that. :lol:

It looks like some of that moisture might fling into the DFW area, depending on where Dolly goes.

HouTXmetro · #5048 Postby **HouTXmetro** » Mon Jul 21, 2008 7:50 am

I'm guessing the entire TX coast will be atleast under a Tropical Storm Watch.

Frank2 · #5049 Postby **Frank2** » Mon Jul 21, 2008 7:58 am

The good news is that Dolly is still moving rapidly westward (it should cross 90W by Noon today), so, it's beginning to run out of room:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-vis.html

#5050 Postby **Stormcenter** » Mon Jul 21, 2008 8:00 am

Bane wrote:it continues to look like crap.

That unfortunately can change quickly for the worse.
As we all know these things have a way of getting their act together
pretty quickly.

Frank2 · #5051 Postby **Frank2** » Mon Jul 21, 2008 8:03 am

Yes, but, it's important to note that Dolly is beginning to move underneath a high now located over TX, so, that should continue the rapid W movement...

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huwvloop.html

hurricanefloyd5 · #5052 Postby **hurricanefloyd5** » Mon Jul 21, 2008 8:05 am

Watch the gas prices go up again because of Dolly in the GOM!!!!!!!! Not like it was painfull enought as it is at the gas Station!!!!!

#5053 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Jul 21, 2008 8:06 am

hurricanefloyd5 wrote:Watch the gas prices go up again because of Dolly in the GOM!!!!!!!! Not like it was painfull enought as it is at the gas Station!!!!!

There is a thread in off-topic forum about that theme.

BobHarlem · #5054 Postby **BobHarlem** » Mon Jul 21, 2008 8:08 am

Frank2 wrote:Yes, but, it's important to note that Dolly is beginning to move underneath a high now located over TX, so, that should continue the rapid W movement...

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huwvloop.html

At this rate I think the track will shift left (south further into Mexico) and remain remarkably weak in it's usual 94L fashion. The wave off Africa is rapidly looking more interesting, at least to me.

HouTXmetro · #5055 Postby **HouTXmetro** » Mon Jul 21, 2008 8:09 am

Several models have shifted north this AM.

ronjon · #5056 Postby **ronjon** » Mon Jul 21, 2008 8:10 am

Actually an upper level high is building over Dolly as we speak. Now that the "apparent center" has moved off the coast, look for rapid development and we should have a mature tropical cyclone in 24 hrs. Latest models sensing a slightly larger weakness in the ridge in 48 hrs - now focusing landfall somewhere between BRO and CORPUS. Depending on utimately how large she gets, Dolly could bring squally weather all the way up to the upper TX coast.

DESTRUCTION5 · #5057 Postby **DESTRUCTION5** » Mon Jul 21, 2008 8:10 am

Frank2 wrote:Yes, but, it's important to note that Dolly is beginning to move underneath a high now located over TX, so, that should continue the rapid W movement...

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huwvloop.html

Someone better print this because Im going to agree with Frank..LOL

And I also think Mexico is more likely ATM..

HouTXmetro · #5058 Postby **HouTXmetro** » Mon Jul 21, 2008 8:12 am

ronjon wrote:Actually an upper level high is building over Dolly as we speak. Now that the "apparent center" has moved off the coast, look for rapid development and we should have a mature tropical cyclone in 24 hrs. Latest models sensing a slightly larger weakness in the ridge in 48 hrs - now focusing landfall somewhere between BRO and CORPUS. Depending on utimately how large she gets, Dolly could bring squally weather all the way up to the upper TX coast.

That's what I'm thinking. A coastal Tropical Storm watch may be instore up to High Island. Just my Guess right now.

CYCLONE MIKE · #5059 Postby **CYCLONE MIKE** » Mon Jul 21, 2008 8:14 am

Agrre with you frankp. She is looking like a flattened pancake. High pressure vise pushing down on her. Probably want see much north movement today. I will be the first to say I that thought she would be going a lot further north today
- throughout the day yesterday. Unless something significant changes the models did a good job on this one, landfall wise. Yes I know it is not over but the high is pretty strong.

sphelps8681 · #5060 Postby **sphelps8681** » Mon Jul 21, 2008 8:17 am

When is the high expected to move out?

ATL: Tropical Depression Dolly

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