ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALEX - MODELS

[Ivanhater]

You know rock, I dont know if I will be able to take it if the euro flips again.

[Ivanhater]

00z Nam

[Rainband]

it's the nam

[tailgater]

00z Nam

NOT GOOD

[Rainband]

plz the nam is the worst in the tropics

[tailgater]

I hope this one is just as bad, but!

[Ivanhater]

Interesting to see the trough break down the ridge on the Nam

[ROCK]

You know rock, I dont know if I will be able to take it if the euro flips again.

ha ha Ivan I got a feeling that this is just the beggining....you better stock up on some Redbulls...

Me? I am feeling good tonight...going to stay up for the 1:30am Euro...

[Ivanhater]

Current heading shown by xtrap is leaving some models behind lol

[Rockin4NOLA]

Current heading shown by xtrap is leaving some models behind lol

Are those BAMS models assuming a weaker 93L?

[ROCK]

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_078l.gif


GFS still ramming 93 into the Yucatan....seems I have see that before....

[Ivanhater]

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/00/images/gfs_ten_078l.gif


GFS still ramming 93 into the Yucatan....seems I have see that before....

Seems GFS doesnt want to see Darby either

[ROCK]

lets see thats about 5 runs in a row that the GFS doesnt see squat......either A) it has been right all along or B) its got some serious issues with it......I vote for B....

[brunota2003]

Current heading shown by xtrap is leaving some models behind lol

http://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images ... orm_93.gif

Are those BAMS models assuming a weaker 93L?

The BAMs models show the current steering for a Shallow, Medium, and Deep system (BAMS, BAMM, and BAMD respectively). Shallow would be where, according to the BAMS, 93L will go if it stays weak.

[Stormcenter]

It's been the most consistent and it's possible track is believable.

lets see thats about 5 runs in a row that the GFS doesnt see squat......either A) it has been right all along or B) its got some serious issues with it......I vote for B....

[ROCK]

It's been the most consistent and it's possible track is believable.

lets see thats about 5 runs in a row that the GFS doesnt see squat......either A) it has been right all along or B) its got some serious issues with it......I vote for B....

yeah I would agree there...but its not seeing Darby and we all know whats going on over there. Just dont know whats going on with it...

[Ivanhater]

It's been the most consistent and it's possible track is believable.

lets see thats about 5 runs in a row that the GFS doesnt see squat......either A) it has been right all along or B) its got some serious issues with it......I vote for B....

To be fair, I don't know if it will even be right if this does not develop or just be lucky. We have a developing major hurricane Darby in the EPAC, and the GFS sees nothing...

[brunota2003]

in the GFS' defense with Darby...that image was showing 66 hours out, and around 72 hours a bunch of the models (per latest discussion) were saying Darby will be torn to shreds by shear.

[Ivanhater]

Canadian...Houston

[ROCK]

You must have insider info...my CMC has not updated yet...cant really tell with those maps.