EPAC: PATRICIA - Post-Tropical

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
supercane4867
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4966
Joined: Wed Nov 14, 2012 10:43 am

#521 Postby supercane4867 » Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:14 am

Unflagged 178kt from SFMR. This is nuts
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Yellow Evan
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 16143
Age: 27
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2011 12:48 pm
Location: Henderson, Nevada/Honolulu, HI
Contact:
Contact Yellow Evan

#522 Postby Yellow Evan » Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:15 am

I'd go 175 knts based on the SFMR.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
northjaxpro
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8900
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Jacksonville, FL

#523 Postby northjaxpro » Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:16 am

This is also the best timed Recon flight mission I think we can ever had asked for. They are literally right in Patricia as she is attaining her peak intensity at this time. Kudos to the Hurricane Hunters for escalating their schedule to be in sampling the storm during what is now a very historic mission we are all witnessing this early morning 10/23/15. this ranks right up there with Wilma for me as the most fascinating Recon mission I have observed .
Last edited by northjaxpro on Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:19 am, edited 2 times in total.
0 likes   
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!

________________________________________________________________________________________

Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
Top
tatertawt24
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 309
Joined: Wed Oct 24, 2012 12:57 pm

#524 Postby tatertawt24 » Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:16 am

I'm always skeptical of readings that high but I make exceptions for tiny storms that are explosively deepening like this. If this were making landfall right now we would likely be getting photographic proof of whether winds that strong could sandblast the bodies of the Keys residents.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
Hurricaneman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7351
Age: 45
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:24 pm
Location: central florida

Re: EPAC: PATRICIA - Hurricane

#525 Postby Hurricaneman » Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:17 am

Based on wind speed recorded this may now hold the world record :eek:

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
0 likes   
Top
Chris_in_Tampa
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5075
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Jun 21, 2007 11:06 pm
Location: Tampa, Florida, USA
Contact:
Contact Chris_in_Tampa

#526 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:18 am

890mb, 40 knots of surface wind
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
northjaxpro
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8900
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Jacksonville, FL

#527 Postby northjaxpro » Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:18 am

Patricia is closing in on Wilma's pressure record! Can she do it. It is going to be close folks.
0 likes   
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!

________________________________________________________________________________________

Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
Top
hurricaneCW
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1794
Joined: Wed Mar 03, 2010 6:20 am
Location: Toms River, NJ

Re: EPAC: PATRICIA - Hurricane

#528 Postby hurricaneCW » Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:19 am

Very close to Wilma's intensity now. She's likely peaking and will begin to weaken after this point but it'll be an extremely dangerous storm no matter how you slice it.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
galaxy401
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2419
Age: 30
Joined: Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:04 pm
Location: Casa Grande, Arizona

#529 Postby galaxy401 » Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:19 am

If that wind speed and pressure are confirmed, this storm will be stronger than Haiyan though that didn't have recon...
0 likes   
Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
Top
User avatar
Kingarabian
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15981
Joined: Sat Aug 08, 2009 3:06 am
Location: Honolulu, Hawaii

Re:

#530 Postby Kingarabian » Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:20 am

northjaxpro wrote:Patricia is closing in on Wilma's pressure record! Can she do it. It is going to be close folks.


Hopefully we get one more pass.
0 likes   
RIP Kobe Bryant
Top
User avatar
bahamaswx
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1542
Joined: Sat Sep 13, 2003 1:11 am
Location: Georgetown, Bahamas

#531 Postby bahamaswx » Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:20 am

So 886mb? It sure dropped a lot in a single pass. Jeez
0 likes   
Top
supercane4867
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4966
Joined: Wed Nov 14, 2012 10:43 am

Re: EPAC: PATRICIA - Hurricane

#532 Postby supercane4867 » Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:21 am

Now it surpassed Gilbert...what's next
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Yellow Evan
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 16143
Age: 27
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2011 12:48 pm
Location: Henderson, Nevada/Honolulu, HI
Contact:
Contact Yellow Evan

#533 Postby Yellow Evan » Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:21 am

I'd be very surprised if we got another pass.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
EquusStorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1649
Age: 34
Joined: Thu Nov 07, 2013 1:04 pm
Location: Jasper, AL
Contact:
Contact EquusStorm

#534 Postby EquusStorm » Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:22 am

Second strongest storm in the western hemisphere on record. Absolutely beyond belief.
0 likes   
Colors of lost purpose on the canvas of irrelevance

Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
Top
User avatar
Kingarabian
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15981
Joined: Sat Aug 08, 2009 3:06 am
Location: Honolulu, Hawaii

#535 Postby Kingarabian » Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:23 am

40kts of surface wind on that drop. Dang.
0 likes   
RIP Kobe Bryant
Top
User avatar
northjaxpro
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8900
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Jacksonville, FL

Re: EPAC: PATRICIA - Hurricane

#536 Postby northjaxpro » Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:23 am

supercane4867 wrote:Now it surpassed Gilbert...what's next


Yelp!! Going to be close to Wilma's 882 mb record. Just insane!!
0 likes   
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!

________________________________________________________________________________________

Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
Top
User avatar
Hammy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5849
Age: 41
Joined: Fri May 25, 2012 5:25 pm
Contact:
Contact Hammy

Re:

#537 Postby Hammy » Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:23 am

Yellow Evan wrote:I'd be very surprised if we got another pass.


They're west of the storm headed south, it would seem wasteful not to do one more as they head back.
0 likes   
The above post is not official and should not be used as such. It is the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
northjaxpro
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8900
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Jacksonville, FL

#538 Postby northjaxpro » Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:25 am

:uarrow: They will do one more knowing how historic this mission has been.
0 likes   
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!

________________________________________________________________________________________

Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
Top
User avatar
brunota2003
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9476
Age: 34
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:56 pm
Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
Contact:
Contact brunota2003

Re:

#539 Postby brunota2003 » Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:25 am

Yellow Evan wrote:I'd be very surprised if we got another pass.

They've been doing 3. Likely an immediate turn around to come in from the NW, then turn to the E in the eye, if they can.

Also, saw they did a sonde in the eyewall. If it was inbound, I could imagine the 40 knots is due to them trying to reload the tube and launch in about a 30 second window, with a lot of bumps! Difficult at best!
0 likes   
Just a small town southern boy helping other humans.
Top
supercane4867
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4966
Joined: Wed Nov 14, 2012 10:43 am

#540 Postby supercane4867 » Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:28 am

182kt SFMR wind confirmed by VDM
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2015”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 5 guests