Strong wave near Leeward Islands - Is Invest 97L

[HURAKAN]

TWD:

TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE E CARIBBEAN ALONG 62W/63W S OF 20N
MOVING W NEAR 20 KT. BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW ENCOMPASSES THE WAVE
AXIS EVIDENT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY. A LARGE AREA OF DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE ALSO ACCOMPANIES THE WAVE AS SEEN IN TOTAL PRECIPITABLE
WATER IMAGERY. GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE
AFFECTING THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION ARE FROM 16N-22N BETWEEN 60W-70W.

[HURAKAN]

499
ABNT20 KNHC 190542
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON JUL 19 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDING NORTHWARD ACROSS THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND
ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15
MPH. SURFACE PRESSURES HAVE FALLEN OVER THIS AREA...AND SHOWER
ACTIVITY HAS BECOME A MORE CONCENTRATED JUST NORTH OF THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS. HOWEVER...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE
AND ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR.
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT...GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED
WITH THE DISTURBANCE COULD AFFECT THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...
THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...
HAITI...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS.

ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE IS PRODUCING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER
MUCH OF THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA...JAMAICA...AND THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS. ALTHOUGH SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED AND BECOME A LITTLE
MORE CONCENTRATED SOUTH OF JAMAICA...THERE ARE CURRENTLY NO SIGNS
OF A SURFACE CIRCULATION IN THIS AREA. HOWEVER...SOME SLOW
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS STILL POSSIBLE AS IT MOVES
GENERALLY WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

[Florida1118]

would this make it a invest?

[chzzdekr81]

Both 20%... Lets see if they become invests

[xcool22]

keep check navy sites

[SouthFloridawx]

You can also check here...

You can sort by last modified...

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/

[AdamFirst]

Will be watching this one though the week. Looks interesting and it's in the Herbert Box. But will it be a rainy day or something more? Only time will tell.

[Scorpion]

Should be an invest tomorrow IMO

[floridasun78]

let see more forecast model pick up this area on monday

[Wx_Warrior]

not too much activity with this one on EURO

[xcool22]

AL, 97, 2010071906, , BEST, 0, 191N, 624W, 25

[weatherwindow]

AL, 97, 2010071906, , BEST, 0, 191N, 624W, 25

couldnt find it at nrl...where, link?

[xcool22]

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/tcweb/cgi-bin/tc_home.cgi

[brunota2003]

Hello there, 97L...goodbye this thread!

[cycloneye]

The thread is closed as this system is now invest 97L. Go to Active Storms forum to continue the discussions and to get the latest about it.