ATL: KATIA - Post Tropical - Discussion

[ROCK]

talk about crawling at 8 days she is barley at 65W....ugh long time...not much room in that ridge right there....

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M

[SouthFLTropics]

talk about crawling at 8 days she is barley at 65W....ugh long time...not much room in that ridge right there....

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M

I told you it looked slow...I thought my eyes were playing tricks on me. Glad I'm not going crazy!

SFT

[ROCK]

talk about crawling at 8 days she is barley at 65W....ugh long time...not much room in that ridge right there....

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M

I told you it looked slow...I thought my eyes were playing tricks on me. Glad I'm not going crazy!

SFT

yeah she must be moving about 10knts or less....sheeshs....we will be watching this thing into mid-Sept....

[maxintensity]

yet another trough comes down to save the day for the east coast after 204 hours. Is it 2010 again?

[SouthFLTropics]

Looks to start heading out at about 200 hours...Might come pretty close to Bermuda.

Bottom line I got from this run is that anyone is fair game because the situation looks to be pretty complex when it gets north of the islands. Who wins the fight...Trough or Ridge???

SFT

[cycloneye]

But it oliberates Bermuda.

[ROCK]

she is up and out at 215hr.....enough of a break to take off....interesting though it is further west this run...GFS is known to break down a ridges to soon also

if I was an islander I would be watching closely....then FL then EC....maybe JB is right about teleconnections...


up next is the GFDL, HWRF, CMC and KING EURO....

[cycloneye]

up next is the GFDL, HWRF, CMC and KING EURO....

Have love with NOGAPS.

[tolakram]

Looks pretty good on the latest loop:

Loop: http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... _floater_1

[SouthFloridawx]

Anyone have the link to the nogaps site?

[BigA]

Anyone have the link to the nogaps site?

See if this works.

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/index.html

[SouthFloridawx]

Anyone have the link to the nogaps site?

See if this works.

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/index.html

Thanks Chrome wouldn't accept the cert...

[SouthFloridawx]

Does anyone know why the SFWMD has the 00Z CMC on the graphic, when they don't even release the model till after 1am... ?

[BigA]

Here's the 180 hour image, then. Looks like a recurve between Bermuda and the east coast.



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[SouthFloridawx]

Looks like it's gaining a little bit of Latitude.

[Zarniwoop]

I don't know my elbow from my ankle, but that doesn't look at cut and dried as it did 24 hours ago.

[ROCK]

oh yeah the NOGAPS....that is my favorite....developes a nice TS over FL and moves it all the way to Texas.....


here is the full run

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical

[Meteorcane]

I don't know my elbow from my ankle, but that doesn't look at cut and dried as it did 24 hours ago.

Although it still looks like it will be difficult for this to reach the East Coast the trough that picks it up seems to change every run and seems to be farther west, could mean bad news for the Northern Islands and Bermuda.

[meriland23]

[b] Hello everyone, I am a newbie here. Nice to meet you guys. I don't have nearly the experience you all seem to have on these storms, but I do keep a eye on things and love to learn as I go along. It will be a interesting week to a week and a half talking with you guys about this IMPRESSIVE system forming from the Cape Verde islands! Seems to me that this TD was born to become a major hurricane.

[meriland23]

Here's the 180 hour image, then. Looks like a recurve between Bermuda and the east coast.

[img]http://img855.imageshack.us/img855/9196/nogaps180.gif[/ img]

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That is something ugly man..it is so hard to pay attention to anything but those incredible dark colors.