ATL: MATTHEW - Models

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5421 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Mon Oct 03, 2016 5:00 pm

SunnyThoughts wrote:On the full resolution, is that 930 or 980? colors are bright here ( I need new glasses too)

930 :double:
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5422 Postby tolakram » Mon Oct 03, 2016 5:00 pm

913mb

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5423 Postby SunnyThoughts » Mon Oct 03, 2016 5:00 pm

Probably ride the coast up all 4 states, like it did before.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5424 Postby Alyono » Mon Oct 03, 2016 5:01 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:Not surprised on the shift with the GIV out there doing the synoptic flight east of the bahamas finding a stronger ridge.. also notice its not that strong.. it spends more time over cuba.


what? It's a strong cat 4 near Florida
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5425 Postby tolakram » Mon Oct 03, 2016 5:01 pm

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5426 Postby tolakram » Mon Oct 03, 2016 5:02 pm

4 run trend

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5427 Postby Jevo » Mon Oct 03, 2016 5:03 pm

The latest GFS, UKMET, NAM, and FIM appear to be in collusion to ruin my vacation.. What a difference 12 hours makes.

9 hours till the EURO boys... who's staying up?
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5428 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Oct 03, 2016 5:03 pm

Alyono wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:Not surprised on the shift with the GIV out there doing the synoptic flight east of the bahamas finding a stronger ridge.. also notice its not that strong.. it spends more time over cuba.


what? It's a strong cat 4 near Florida


yeah I couldn't read the thing lol. it is over cuba longer though.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5429 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Oct 03, 2016 5:03 pm

Hurricane david

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5430 Postby SouthDadeFish » Mon Oct 03, 2016 5:04 pm

That trend is rather impressive considering the time frame. This should be watched very closely by those along the SE U.S.

It's quite possible TS watches go up for FL within the next 12 hours.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5431 Postby Ken711 » Mon Oct 03, 2016 5:05 pm

If it slows more would there be any hope the trough in the Rockies could push it east.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5432 Postby tolakram » Mon Oct 03, 2016 5:05 pm

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5433 Postby Evil Jeremy » Mon Oct 03, 2016 5:05 pm

Jevo wrote:The latest GFS, UKMET, NAM, and FIM appear to be in collusion to ruin my vacation.. What a difference 12 hours makes.

9 hours till the EURO boys... who's staying up?


I'll be here... I'm in full storm-tracking mode now.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5434 Postby northjaxpro » Mon Oct 03, 2016 5:06 pm

Yeah the set up is eerily reminding me of David '79 being here in Jax. But, Matthew obviously is much worse being a potential Cat 4 impacting the region.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5435 Postby jhpigott » Mon Oct 03, 2016 5:06 pm

Son of a . . .

1 block east of US 1 in North Palm Beach. To put up the shutters or not put up the shutters . . .

If this dang west modeling trend doesn't stop, and like right now, I know what I'll be doing tomorrow evening.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5436 Postby Alyono » Mon Oct 03, 2016 5:07 pm

SouthDadeFish wrote:That trend is rather impressive considering the time frame. This should be watched very closely by those along the SE U.S.

It's quite possible TS watches go up for FL within the next 12 hours.


Probably hurricane watches will be needed, not TS watches
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5437 Postby tolakram » Mon Oct 03, 2016 5:07 pm

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5438 Postby Sanibel » Mon Oct 03, 2016 5:08 pm

GFDL "GTOO" model landfalls Ft Lauderdale, crosses Orlando, and exits Jacksonville...
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5439 Postby tolakram » Mon Oct 03, 2016 5:09 pm

933mb

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5440 Postby SouthDadeFish » Mon Oct 03, 2016 5:10 pm

Alyono wrote:
SouthDadeFish wrote:That trend is rather impressive considering the time frame. This should be watched very closely by those along the SE U.S.

It's quite possible TS watches go up for FL within the next 12 hours.


Probably hurricane watches will be needed, not TS watches


It's quite possible. I just don't know how conservative NHC wants to go. They can always start with TS watches and upgrade to cane watches if model trends persist.
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