ATL: LAURA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[gfsperpendicular]

The only thing intensifying faster than Laura is this thread. I was unable to check up on Ms. Laura for about 14 hours, and every time I'd read back through one page of the thread there'd be another 5-10 posts!

[eastcoastFL]

[NDG]

122 knots at flight lever on the northern eyewall by NOAA recon.

130300 2651N 09128W 7519 02274 9753 +156 //// 110114 118 084 057 01
130330 2649N 09128W 7456 02316 9719 +156 //// 118114 122 089 050 01

[dantonlsu]

Does anyone have a loop that has the forecast plots on it as well?

[tolakram]

Laura is in a league of her own with this rate of deepening and the size of the eye

You ain’t kidding. The speed at which she’s developed is simply amazing.

Also looks pretty annular. If it was a buzzsaw shape before, there's definitely way more symmetry now.

Hi cfisher.

It's not annular, not even close. It has clear banding and doesn't fit any of the actual annular indexes. Symmetrical <> annular, annular is a very unique type of hurricane.

[Fancy1001]

If this deepening pattern continues or intensifies, I give Laura a 50% chance of reaching category 5 strength by landfall.

[Extratropical94]

959 mb, 97 kt SFMR in the southern (!) eyewall

[artist]

859
URNT12 KNHC 261250
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL132020
A. 26/12:25:30Z
B. 26.46 deg N 091.54 deg W
C. 700 mb 2766 m
D. 960 mb
E. 125 deg 7 kt
F. CLOSED
G. C28
H. 71 kt
I. 237 deg 8 nm 12:23:00Z
J. 323 deg 91 kt
K. 231 deg 20 nm 12:19:00Z
L. 101 kt
M. 051 deg 17 nm 12:30:30Z
N. 138 deg 107 kt
O. 050 deg 20 nm 12:31:30Z
P. 10 C / 3061 m
Q. 18 C / 3050 m
R. 11 C / NA
S. 12345 / 07
T. 0.02 / 1.5 nm
U. AF301 2113A LAURA OB 22
MAX FL WIND 107 KT 050 / 20 NM 12:31:30Z
;

[catskillfire51]

not sure how to make a loop but heres a still image

[NevadaFan18]

If this deepening pattern continues or intensifies, I give Laura a 50% chance of reaching category 5 strength by landfall.

Given how the eye size is actually UNFAVORABLE for strengthening fast, and we’re seeing 3-4mb per hour drop rates, this thing can actually get stronger in a shorter amount of time than most people think. You might be right...

[cfisher]

You ain’t kidding. The speed at which she’s developed is simply amazing.

Also looks pretty annular. If it was a buzzsaw shape before, there's definitely way more symmetry now.

Hi cfisher.

It's not annular, not even close. It has clear banding and doesn't fit any of the actual annular indexes. Symmetrical <> annular, annular is a very unique type of hurricane.

noted

[BobHarlem]

122knot flight level winds? Really? We may have a cat 4 at the 11am at this rate

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1298609530717298688

[wx98]

Pressure pushing low 950s. FL winds higher, SFMR higher. Supports maybe 120 mph intensity.

[cfisher]

As surface winds increase, WISHE allows quicker strengthening over the warm SSTs

[FixySLN]

I'll be the sacrificial lamb...looks like she's starting her turn.

[catskillfire51]

I'll be the sacrificial lamb...looks like she's starting her turn.

the image I just posted she seems west of the track which to me would mean she's not turning yet but recon shows it turning

[eastcoastFL]

As surface winds increase, WISHE allows quicker strengthening over the warm SSTs

What is wishe?

[hurricaneCW]

It'll likely steadily intensify from this point on and peak around 140-145mph.

It appears that a lot of the energy is expanding outward and we'll likely see a broader wind field as a result. I think the surge impacts will be particularly bad.

[HoustonFrog]

Any idea how accurate this is? Surprised by the high maximum wind speeds so far west in Houston