Ophelia Recon Reports

oceanguync · #561 Postby **oceanguync** » Tue Sep 13, 2005 9:30 pm

That was a cruel comment--sitting here on the coast of nc and facing a hurricane that is dropping in pressure--YES it is a big deal!!!!!!

Scorpion · #562 Postby **Scorpion** » Tue Sep 13, 2005 9:34 pm

Well yes, hurricanes can be a big deal even at Cat 1, but it won't be that bad. Theres no significant pressure drop so it looks like 80-85 mph will be landfall intensity. Its the flooding that might be a problem.

Website · #563 Postby **Brent** » Tue Sep 13, 2005 9:35 pm

Scorpion wrote:Well yes, hurricanes can be a big deal even at Cat 1, but it won't be that bad. Theres no significant pressure drop so it looks like 80-85 mph will be landfall intensity. Its the flooding that might be a problem.

Katrina caused a lot of problems in South Florida and it was "only" a strengthening Category 1...

#564 Postby **Andrew92** » Tue Sep 13, 2005 9:58 pm

People,

When anyone makes comments like Scorpion did, the best advice, in my opinion, is to ignore them. Yes, I would be offended too, but some people are insensitive about *just* a C1 hurricane. Never take even one of those lightly (and I've never even experienced a hurricane).

There is more I wanted to say, but it would probably get me banned.

-Andrew92

#565 Postby **seahawkjd** » Tue Sep 13, 2005 10:33 pm

Always take them seriously. I've been through at least 12 hurricanes that I can remember, a couple more that I can't because I was too young. Each one is different and none of them has ever completely done what was expected. Take Bertha for instance. I went to bed the night before it hit with everyone saying it was going into Charleston as a tropical storm. I woke up the next morning to find it hitting just south of me with much stronger winds. Isabell, even in her weakened state of a cat 2, managed to put a massive storm surge across the Eastern half of the county I was in, we're talking NOLA type flooding just on a smaller scale. Lots of people lost their homes and guess what, FEMA never even dropped by to offer aid. So yes, always take them seriously. In things like this, its better to be over cautious and prepare then to get caught off guard in a situation you can't control.

PS, sorry I know this stuff shouldn't even be in this thread since its a recon thread. Would be more then happy to move it elsewhere.

#566 Postby **Andrew92** » Tue Sep 13, 2005 10:51 pm

OK, back to recon, since this is what this thread is about.

JamesFromMaine2 · #567 Postby **JamesFromMaine2** » Wed Sep 14, 2005 2:58 am

980MB pressure and 75KT flight level winds!

329
URNT12 KNHC 140717
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 14/07:06:50Z
B. 33 deg 02 min N
078 deg 01 min W
C. 700 mb 2928 m
D. NA kt
E. NA deg nm
F. 055 deg 066 kt
G. 314 deg 039 nm
H. 980 mb
I. 9 C/ 3049 m
J. 15 C/ 3051 m
K. 8 C/ NA
L. OPEN SE
M. C50
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF300 2416A OPHELIA OB 08
MAX FL WIND 75 KT NE QUAD 06:03:10 Z
EYEWALL RAGGED EAST THROUGH SOUTH

Thunder44 · #568 Postby **Thunder44** » Wed Sep 14, 2005 4:18 am

303
URNT12 KNHC 140904
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 14/08:50:00Z
B. 33 deg 07 min N
077 deg 49 min W
C. 700 mb 2930 m
D. NA kt
E. NA deg nm
F. 114 deg 064 kt
G. 025 deg 047 nm
H. 980 mb
I. 9 C/ 3043 m
J. 14 C/ 3049 m
K. 8 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C50
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.03 / 1 nm
P. AF300 2416A OPHELIA OB 15
MAX FL WIND 77 KT SE QUAD 07:23:10 Z
EYE STILL RAGGED
STADIUM EFFECT VISIBLE IN MOONLIGHT SE QUADRANT

wxwatcher91 · #569 Postby **wxwatcher91** » Wed Sep 14, 2005 5:54 am

048
URNT11 KNHC 141049
97779 10414 40319 76100 30500 23047 07048 /3137
42240
RMK AF300 2416A OPHELIA OB 19

wxwatcher91 · #570 Postby **wxwatcher91** » Wed Sep 14, 2005 5:55 am

627
SXXX50 KNHC 141046
AF300 2416A OPHELIA HDOB 40 KNHC
1035 3138N 07600W 03049 0140 229 042 076 054 042 03234 0000000000
1035. 3136N 07559W 03048 0139 228 044 074 056 044 03233 0000000000
1036 3136N 07557W 03048 0140 225 042 072 066 042 03233 0000000000
1036. 3138N 07556W 03047 0137 222 041 072 066 042 03230 0000000000
1037 3140N 07555W 03047 0137 222 041 076 066 041 03230 0000000000
1037. 3142N 07554W 03051 0138 221 039 070 066 039 03234 0000000000
1038 3143N 07555W 03046 0137 223 041 072 056 041 03229 0000000000
1038. 3144N 07557W 03044 0136 222 041 072 056 041 03225 0000000000
1039 3145N 07558W 03049 0134 225 041 070 058 042 03228 0000000000
1039. 3146N 07600W 03046 0132 227 042 070 056 043 03224 0000000000
1040 3147N 07601W 03049 0131 228 043 070 056 044 03226 0000000000
1040. 3148N 07603W 03047 0131 229 044 070 056 045 03223 0000000000
1041 3149N 07604W 03050 0130 231 045 070 056 046 03225 0000000000
1041. 3150N 07605W 03047 0128 231 046 076 048 047 03220 0000000000
1042 3151N 07607W 03050 0127 231 048 074 044 048 03223 0000000000
1042. 3153N 07608W 03046 0126 232 048 074 054 048 03218 0000000000
1043 3154N 07609W 03047 0124 233 049 072 058 049 03217 0000000000
1043. 3155N 07611W 03052 0123 229 049 072 058 049 03221 0000000000
1044 3156N 07612W 03050 0124 226 048 074 058 048 03219 0000000000
1044. 3157N 07613W 03048 0124 227 047 080 054 048 03218 0000000000

Thunder44 · #571 Postby **Thunder44** » Wed Sep 14, 2005 6:29 am

010
SXXX50 KNHC 141116
AF300 2416A OPHELIA HDOB 43 KNHC
1105 3249N 07706W 03048 0030 229 067 084 084 068 03122 0000000000
1105. 3250N 07707W 03050 0026 229 069 088 082 069 03120 0000000000
1106 3251N 07709W 03048 0021 228 071 090 074 072 03114 0000000000
1106. 3252N 07710W 03048 0015 229 073 086 086 074 03108 0000000000
1107 3254N 07711W 03049 0009 229 076 082 082 077 03102 0000000000
1107. 3255N 07712W 03047 0003 230 076 088 088 076 03095 0000000000
1108 3256N 07714W 03048 5003 231 077 090 090 078 03090 0000000000
1108. 3257N 07715W 03049 5010 231 077 092 092 078 03084 0000000000
1109 3258N 07716W 03046 5017 229 077 102 092 077 03074 0000000000
1109. 3300N 07717W 03050 5024 227 079 098 098 079 03070 0000000000
1110 3301N 07719W 03047 5033 226 079 102 102 080 03059 0000000000
1110. 3302N 07720W 03048 5039 226 076 112 104 077 03054 0000000000
1111 3303N 07721W 03047 5045 229 066 112 106 071 03047 0000000000
1111. 3304N 07723W 03052 5050 227 050 114 110 055 03047 0000000000
1112 3306N 07724W 03044 5056 226 037 118 102 042 03033 0000000000
1112. 3307N 07726W 03047 5059 227 031 120 090 032 03032 0000000000
1113 3308N 07727W 03050 5062 226 031 120 088 031 03033 0000000000
1113. 3309N 07728W 03046 5064 224 026 126 090 026 03027 0000000000
1114 3310N 07730W 03047 5066 225 025 130 086 026 03025 0000000000
1114. 3312N 07731W 03049 5069 219 023 130 076 024 03025 0000000000

Highest Flight level winds 80kts in the SE Quad.

#572 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Sep 14, 2005 6:36 am

URNT12 KNHC 141134
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 14/11:19:10Z
B. 33 deg 21 min N
077 deg 48 min W
C. 700 mb 2927 m
D. 45 kt
E. 136 deg 104 nm
F. 226 deg 080 kt
G. 129 deg 032 nm
H. 980 mb
I. 9 C/ 3052 m
J. 14 C/ 3048 m
K. 10 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. E06/60/50
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF300 2416A OPHELIA OB 20
MAX FL WIND 80 KT SE QUAD 11:09:40 Z
EYE STILL SOMEWHAT RAGGED, BUT RADAR PRESENTATION IMPROVED FROM EARLIER FIXES. CENTER IS CLOUD FILLED BELOW FLIGHT LEVEL.

Thunder44 · #573 Postby **Thunder44** » Wed Sep 14, 2005 6:40 am

1126 3336N 07808W 03049 5044 042 049 110 110 052 03050 0000000000
1126. 3337N 07810W 03051 5039 042 057 112 112 061 03057 0000000000
1127 3338N 07811W 03044 5036 038 062 102 102 062 03052 0000000000
1127. 3339N 07812W 03050 5031 036 063 090 090 064 03064 0000000000
1128 3341N 07814W 03046 5026 037 064 086 086 065 03065 0000000000
1128. 3342N 07815W 03049 5019 039 062 084 084 062 03075 0000000000
1129 3343N 07816W 03049 5014 041 061 088 088 062 03079 0000000000
1129. 3344N 07818W 03046 5010 040 058 092 092 059 03081 0000000000
1130 3345N 07819W 03050 5005 042 056 088 088 058 03089 0000000000
1130. 3346N 07820W 03051 5001 052 060 084 084 062 03095 0000000000
1131 3348N 07822W 03048 0005 052 069 080 080 075 03097 0000000000
1131. 3349N 07823W 03044 0009 042 067 072 072 069 03098 0000000000
1132 3350N 07825W 03048 0012 035 063 068 068 063 03105 0000000000
1132. 3351N 07826W 03046 0018 033 063 066 066 065 03109 0000000000
1133 3352N 07827W 03050 0020 030 062 064 064 063 03115 0000000000
1133. 3353N 07828W 03052 0014 031 060 074 074 060 03111 0000000000
1134 3354N 07830W 03161 0012 031 059 076 076 060 03218 0000000000
1134. 3355N 07832W 03417 0043 030 058 060 060 058 03505 0000000000

Highest Flight Level winds 75kts in the NW Quad.

Derek Ortt · #574 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Wed Sep 14, 2005 6:57 am

extrap pressure is usually very accurate. Can be slightly low in cat 4's and 5's

#575 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Sep 14, 2005 8:06 am

843
URNT11 KNHC 141204
97779 11574 40339 80700 79200 36020 72793 /8045
RMK AF300 2416A OPHELIA OB 23
LAST REPORT

That is all for this mission.Next one will be after 10 AM EDT.

#576 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Sep 14, 2005 11:58 am

URNT12 KNHC 141625
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 14/1554Z
B. 33 DEG 44 MIN N
77 DEG 35 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2914 M
D. NA
E. NA
F. 141 DEG 74 KT
G. 053 DEG 30 NM
H. 980 MB
I. 10 C/ 3059 M
J. 15 C/ 3057 M
K. 10 C/ NA
L. POORLY DEFINED
M. C40
N. 12345/7
O. 1/1 NM
P. NOAA3 2516A OPHELIA OB 04
MAX FL WIND 75 KT SW QUAD 14481Z
RAGGED EYE, OPEN NE, CLOUDS OBSCURRING SFC CENTER

#577 Postby **feederband** » Wed Sep 14, 2005 2:13 pm

VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 14/1837Z
B. 33 DEG 57 MIN N
77 DEG 24 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2904 M
D. NA
E. NA
F. 175 DEG 75 KT
G. 085 DEG 27 NM
H. 979 MB
I. 10 C/ 3049 M
J. 15 C/ 2911 M
K. 11 C/ NA
L. POORLY DEFINED
M. C50
N. 12345/7
O. 1/1 NM
P. NOAA3 2516A OPHELIA OB 20
MAX FL WIND 79 KT SE QUAD 1736Z

#578 Postby **feederband** » Wed Sep 14, 2005 6:08 pm

I guess we are a little slow on these today....

URNT12 KNHC 142020
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 14/2005Z
B. 34 DEG 00 MIN N
77 DEG 20 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2899 M
D. NA
E. NA
F. 227 DEG 83 KT
G. 132 DEG 34 NM
H. 979 MB
I. 11 C/ 3108 M
J. 15 C/ 2899 M
K. 10 C/ NA
L. POORLY DEFINED
M. C50
N. 12345/7
O. 1/1 NM
P. NOAA3 2516A OPHELIA OB 28
MAX FL WIND 83 KT SE QUAD

#579 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Sep 14, 2005 7:44 pm

SUPPLEMENTARY VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
INBOUND
LAT LON jHHH TTDD ddfff
01333 10783 13098 11202 33056
02335 20781 23079 21007 33056
03336 30779 33059 30908 32057
04337 40776 43026 40909 32064
05339 50774 53978 51010 32074
06340 60771 63916 61311 33034
MF339 M0773 MF074
OBS 01 AT 23:17:00Z
OBS 06 AT 23:38:40Z
OBS 01 SFC WND 31035
OUTBOUND
LAT LON jHHH TTDD ddfff
01344 10767 13920 11310 16023
02346 20765 23971 20808 14074
03347 30762 33030 30808 14063
04349 40760 43068 40606 15065
05350 50757 53094 50606 14063
06352 60755 63117 60707 15053
MF346 M0764 MF077
OBS 01 AT 23:47:20Z
OBS 06 AT 00:09:00Z
OBS 06 SFC WND /////
AF305 2716A OPHELIA OB 07

#580 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Sep 14, 2005 8:11 pm

359
URNT11 KNHC 150043
97779 00404 50344 7470/ 30500 18046 0903/ /3120
RMK AF305 2716A OPHELIA OB 08

Ophelia Recon Reports

Yes it is a big deal

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