Caribbean - Central America Weather

[KWT]

Looks like there is quite a lot of rain yet to come for the area, won't help the flooding issues.

[cycloneye]

Justin, do you have some rainfall totals so far from the areas being affected?

[Gustywind]

Ok Folks, here's the skinny on Vieques (as of now).

We were having lunch on the south side of the island at Tradewinds and at about 12.30ish it started pouring down the rain. Wow is all I can say. The lightning over the Caribbean was spectacular to say the least.

For those on the island. Power has been restored to the north side of the island. The south side and Pilon was still out when we left there about 20 minutes ago. 997 has 3 trees down but one has already been cut apart and moved to the side of the road and the 2 others are doable. ALL of the quebradas are over there banks. The worst is the bridge at Papa Kike's old tire shop. We were not sure if we could make it but we did.

Our quebrada is overflowing its banks by about 5' and our pool is obviously flooded.

We have received 1.93" so far and it is eerily looking at the radar, it is starting to look a lot like Jeanne in 2004 when we received 33 inches in a day and a half.

More later.

Wow! Stay safe everyone in the islands!!

[Gustywind]

Radar of Meteo-France Guadeloupe : http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... C_car.html

[Gustywind]

[Gustywind]

Suspicious lightnings are coming in my area, one has just bright my face nicely! Thunder is rumbling too. Clouds are becoming menacing, sky is very grey, tstorms should begin to spread my area. I will continue to keep your informed if anything happens.

[knotimpaired]

Let me clarify something.

Our quebrada is approximately 30 feet lower than where our house is so we are not in any way threatened by that.

Our acre is bordered on 2 sides by quebradas and when they join to create 1 that flows to the beach and into the ocean it backs up and floods because there is not enough width in the final creek to hold the water because it is only about 12-15' wide and has approx. 20' banks of rock on each side.

Picture an inverted Y.

We still have light rain with a total right now of 2.17". If you add that to yesterday's we have a total of 3.47".

Luis, look at our local area radar and close in around Cayey. Do you see that swirl? What do you think that is?

[Gustywind]

And another one in my..face brrrr

[Gustywind]

Let me clarify something.

Our quebrada is approximately 30 feet lower than where our house is so we are not in any way threatened by that.

Our acre is bordered on 2 sides by quebradas and when they join to create 1 that flows to the beach and into the ocean it backs up and floods because there is not enough width in the final creek to hold the water because it is only about 12-15' wide and has approx. 20' banks of rock on each side.

Picture an inverted Y.

We still have light rain with a total right now of 2.17". If you add that to yesterday's we have a total of 3.47".

Luis, look at our local area radar and close in around Cayey. Do you see that swirl? What do you think that is?

Thanks Karen for all these nice infos we other islanders we appreciate frankly! But the situation is really impressive with all that water under your head my friend! Yeah good catch Karen, i saw that suspicious swirl but i'd prefered to wait the analysis "de los talentos de la caso": Cycloneye , etc. Be safe and dry. Looks like the southern side of this twave is flaring up a bit this afternoon on my area. Lightnings and thunder are making a steady "show" just in front of my face. Hope that the rain won't add to this show for now...
Gustywind

[knotimpaired]

Here is the link for our local radar

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

[Gustywind]

Here is the link for our local radar

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

[cycloneye]

SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
AMZ710-192345-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.MA.W.0033.100719T2146Z-100719T2345Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
546 PM AST MON JUL 19 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR...
ATLANTIC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10 NM TO 19.5N...

* UNTIL 745 PM AST

* AT 537 PM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS 37 KNOTS OR GREATER
FROM 47 NM NORTH OF CABO SAN JUAN TO 35 NM NORTH OF CABO SAN
JUAN...MOVING WEST AT 15 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS CAN EXPECT GUSTY WINDS...HIGH WAVES...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...
AND HEAVY RAINS. BOATERS SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR IMMEDIATELY...UNTIL
THIS STORM PASSES. IF CAUGHT ON THE OPEN WATER STAY BELOW DECK IF
POSSIBLE...KEEP AWAY FROM UNGROUNDED METAL OBJECTS.

THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE SUDDEN WATERSPOUTS. WATERSPOUTS CAN EASILY
OVERTURN BOATS AND CREATE LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SEAS. SEEK SAFE HARBOR
IMMEDIATELY.

[Gustywind]

Rain rain rain is spreading on the Lesser Antilles, especially PR, the BVI and much of the Leewards...

[Gustywind]

000
AWCA82 TJSJ 192056
RWSVI

WEATHER SUMMARY FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
456 PM AST MON JUL 19 2010

SKIES WERE MOSTLY CLOUDY ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS THIS
AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING
STRIKES...CONTINUED TO DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS THE REGION...BOTH
LAND AND OCEAN AREAS RESULTING IN AN EXTREMELY ACTIVE WEATHER
PATTERN. WINDS WERE GENERALLY FROM THE SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 20 MPH
AND TEMPERATURES WERE IN THE LOW TO MID 80S.

A TROPICAL WAVE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS
ACROSS THE REGION FROM THE EAST. THE SHOWERS WILL PRODUCE PERIODS
OF LIGHT TO MODERATE HEAVY RAINFALL...GUSTY WINDS...AND OCCASIONAL
LIGHTNING. URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING WILL ALSO BE LIKELY IN
ISOLATED AREAS.

ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS...MARINERS SHOULD EXPECT WINDS OF 21 KNOTS
OR LESS AND SEAS OF 9 FEET OR LESS AT LEAST THROUGH TONIGHT. SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR OFFSHORE ATLANTIC AND
CARIBBEAN WATERS...AS WELL AS THE ANEGADA PASSAGE.

$$

[Gustywind]

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT MON JUL 19 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED NEAR PUERTO RICO CONTINUES TO PRODUCE
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SURFACE PRESSURES ARE NOT
FALLING SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE AREA...AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AS THE
DISTURBANCE MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS A
LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS COULD BECOME MORE
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AFTER THAT TIME. REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT...GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL COULD AFFECT
THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO
RICO...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...HAITI...EASTERN CUBA...THE TURKS
AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
749 PM AST MON JUL 19 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS REISSUED A

* SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR...
ATLANTIC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10 NM TO 19.5N...
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM...

* UNTIL 945 PM AST

* AT 745 PM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM...PRODUCING SEVERE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 KNOTS OVER
ATLANTIC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10 NM TO 19.5N...OR
ABOUT 24 NM NORTH OF CULEBRA...MOVING WEST AT 5 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS CAN EXPECT GUSTY WINDS...HIGH WAVES...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...
AND HEAVY RAINS. BOATERS SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR IMMEDIATELY...UNTIL
THIS STORM PASSES. IF CAUGHT ON THE OPEN WATER STAY BELOW DECK IF
POSSIBLE...KEEP AWAY FROM UNGROUNDED METAL OBJECTS.

THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE SUDDEN WATERSPOUTS. WATERSPOUTS CAN EASILY
OVERTURN BOATS AND CREATE LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SEAS. SEEK SAFE HARBOR
IMMEDIATELY.

[abajan]

According to our meteorologist on the evening newscast, some "tornadic activity" was reported just off the north coast of Barbados today.

[cycloneye]

SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
AMZ710-715-200345-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.MA.W.0035.100720T0143Z-100720T0345Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
943 PM AST MON JUL 19 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR...
ATLANTIC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10 NM TO 19.5N...
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM...

* UNTIL 1145 PM AST

* AT 935 PM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS 34 KNOTS OR
GREATER OVER ATLANTIC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10 NM TO
19.5N...OR ABOUT 37 NM NORTH OF CABO SAN JUAN...MOVING NORTHWEST AT
5 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS CAN EXPECT GUSTY WINDS...HIGH WAVES...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...
AND HEAVY RAINS. BOATERS SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR IMMEDIATELY...UNTIL
THIS STORM PASSES.

THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE SUDDEN WATERSPOUTS. WATERSPOUTS CAN EASILY
OVERTURN BOATS AND CREATE LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SEAS. SEEK SAFE HARBOR
IMMEDIATELY.

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1028 PM AST MON JUL 19 2010

.UPDATE...ACTIVE NIGHT ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA. NUMEROUS SHOWERS
CONTINUED ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF PUERTO RICO. HOWEVER...LATE
TONIGHT...MOST SHOWER ACTIVITY DISSIPATED...LEAVING ONLY LIGHT
SHOWERS ACROSS EASTERN PUERTO RICO. RADAR IMAGES ALSO SHOWED A MID
LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WAS EVIDENT NEAR 50 MILES NORTHEAST OF
SAN JUAN. SEVERAL SMW WERE ISSUED DUE TO STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AND
GUSTY WINDS OVER 35KT IN THIS AREA. LET EXPIRED ALL FLS`S AND
FFW`S SINCE RIVER LEVELS RETURNED TO NORMAL LEVELS. HOWEVER...A
FFA STILL IN EFFECT FOR ALL PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS THROUGH AT LEAST 2 PM AST. PLENTY OF MOISTURE WILL COMBINE
WITH FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS AND LOCAL
EFFECTS TO PRODUCE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH
THUNDERSTORMS ONCE AGAIN TUESDAY. MADE MINOR CHANGES TO POPS...AND
WEATHER OVERNIGHT...TO ADJUST FORECAST WITH ONGOING WEATHER
SITUATION.

&&

.AVIATION...A TROPICAL WAVE WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD CLOUDS AND
SHRA ACROSS THE LOCAL REGION FROM THE EAST...DURING NEXT 12 HOURS.
TEMPO MVFR OR EVEN IFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS SHOWER
ACTIVITY. LLVL WINDS AT 10-20 KNOTS MAINLY FROM EAST NORTHEAST WILL
SHIFT TO EAST SOUTHEAST AROUND 20/12Z.