Texas Winter 2010-2011

#5741 Postby **txagwxman** » Wed Feb 02, 2011 10:54 am

12z GFS colder aloft now.

#5742 Postby **Portastorm** » Wed Feb 02, 2011 10:54 am

Kelarie wrote:
srainhoutx wrote:Our friends at Impact Weather have updated their video just now. Enjoy...

http://www.youtube.com/impactweather

Well according to these guys I am in the 1-3" snow range. Interesting.

Me too!

Hope their forecast verifies.

#5743 Postby **srainhoutx** » Wed Feb 02, 2011 10:55 am

txagwxman wrote:12z GFS colder aloft now.

Moisture has increased as well...

#5744 Postby **txagwxman** » Wed Feb 02, 2011 10:57 am

srainhoutx wrote:
txagwxman wrote:12z GFS colder aloft now.

Moisture has increased as well...

Gonna happen on our side of town...

I just hope Ercot doesn't have problems again...that would stink to lose power/heat.

#5745 Postby **srainhoutx** » Wed Feb 02, 2011 10:58 am

txagwxman wrote:
srainhoutx wrote:
txagwxman wrote:12z GFS colder aloft now.

Moisture has increased as well...

Gonna happen on our side of town...

I just hope Ercot doesn't have problems again...that would stink to lose power/heat.

Luckly, I'm on the same curcuit as a near by larger Hospital. That certainly helped during Ike.

severe · #5746 Postby **severe** » Wed Feb 02, 2011 10:59 am

Tireman4 wrote:Yep, Clear Lake. Why do I know? We were in Santa Fe and saw the clouds. We did not get anything, but thought it was weird that there was one patch of clouds and clear everywhere else.

Yeah, numerous days of sub-freezing temps and not one snowflake over Friendlywood.
Oh well.........the 04 Christmas miracle made up for that.........and the 08 snow, 09, and possibly the Feb 2011 event. :woo:

southerngale · #5747 Postby **southerngale** » Wed Feb 02, 2011 10:59 am

Portastorm wrote:
Kelarie wrote:
srainhoutx wrote:Our friends at Impact Weather have updated their video just now. Enjoy...

http://www.youtube.com/impactweather

Well according to these guys I am in the 1-3" snow range. Interesting.

Me too! Hope their forecast verifies.

Nooo. I hope it verifies for y'all, but that map has me in ICE. :eek:

Locals are saying sleet/snow.

iorange55 · #5748 Postby **iorange55** » Wed Feb 02, 2011 11:02 am

gfs 12z shows a widespread little event across Texas. I think it'll probably be heavier than it's currently showing.

#5749 Postby **Ntxw** » Wed Feb 02, 2011 11:02 am

Well, it's getting closer to the event and I don't see how this becomes a 04' event at least not that magnitude. I think the Euro has somewhat of a good idea. Probably a good 1-2 inches in southeast Texas (probably highest just north of I-10). and 3+ locally somewhere. Everyone else from S/central to NE Texas probably gets a dusting to maybe an inch. Just imo. CMC has backed off on it's doomsday qpf but still looks similar to the GFS.

And omg it is cold this morning!!!

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

#5750 Postby **txagwxman** » Wed Feb 02, 2011 11:04 am

[

I just hope Ercot doesn't have problems again...that would stink to lose power/heat.[/quote]

Luckly, I'm on the same curcuit as a near by larger Hospital. That certainly helped during Ike.[/quote]
U lucky---that should boost your property value!

#5751 Postby **txagwxman** » Wed Feb 02, 2011 11:05 am

Ntxw wrote:Well, it's getting closer to the event and I don't see how this becomes a 04' event at least not that magnitude. I think the Euro has somewhat of a good idea. Probably a good 1-2 inches in southeast Texas (probably highest just north of I-10). and 3+ locally somewhere. Everyone else from S/central to NE Texas probably gets a dusting to maybe an inch. Just imo.

And omg it is cold this morning!!!

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

GEM well above the NAM/GFS...NCAR WRF 5.5" NW of Houston.

djmikey · #5752 Postby **djmikey** » Wed Feb 02, 2011 11:06 am

Yup...I'm in the Beaumont area also...the video says ICE for us! I've heard many different things...I dont know what we're gonna get any more. NWS has Winnie, TX in the same 60% all snow as Houston, so, I'm sure it won't just come to hault there and spit ice on us...

#5753 Postby **Ntxw** » Wed Feb 02, 2011 11:06 am

txagwxman wrote:GEM well above the NAM/GFS...NCAR WRF 5.5" NW of Houston.

Locally 3+! :wink:

I'm questioning our high forecast today of 21...

#5754 Postby **Portastorm** » Wed Feb 02, 2011 11:09 am

txagwxman, do you have a sense yet on which model is capturing the pattern the best? Or is this one of those events where we won't have an accumulation idea until 12 hours before the event? There does seem to be a general trend of increasing moisture amounts albeit a trend I would consider "slight."

#5755 Postby **txagwxman** » Wed Feb 02, 2011 11:11 am

We need wxman57 in here...i am lousy at precip forecasting.

Kelarie · #5756 Postby **Kelarie** » Wed Feb 02, 2011 11:11 am

Portastorm wrote:
Kelarie wrote:
srainhoutx wrote:Our friends at Impact Weather have updated their video just now. Enjoy...

http://www.youtube.com/impactweather

Well according to these guys I am in the 1-3" snow range. Interesting.

Me too! Hope their forecast verifies.

Well in our forecasts it talks about slight chance, yada yada yada, but this seems more like a maybe gonna happen. I will be a happy girl. Will be doing the Snoopy Snow Dance

#5757 Postby **Tireman4** » Wed Feb 02, 2011 11:12 am

txagwxman wrote:We need wxman57 in here...i am lousy at precip forecasting.

He is at the KHOU Weatherboards.....

#5758 Postby **gboudx** » Wed Feb 02, 2011 11:12 am

I just read the DFW AFD from this morning, and the part below stuck out to me. Are they suggesting that we leave every faucet dripping even if all of our pipes are underground?

THIS COLD SNAP IS VERY SIGNIFICANT AND SOME INFRASTRUCTURE IN NORTH TEXAS ARE NOT
BUILT TO HANDLE TEMPERATURES OF THIS MAGNITUDE. RESIDENTS ARE
URGED TO TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTIONS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
PROTECT PLANTS...PIPES AND PEOPLE. IT IS A GOOD IDEA TO LEAVE
FAUCETS DRIPPING DURING THIS PROLONGED COLD SNAP. COLD AND HOT
WATER LINES SHOULD BE DRIPPING ON ALL FAUCETS...ESPECIALLY FAUCETS
WHICH ARE BUILT ON EXTERIOR WALLS.

setxwxgurl · #5759 Postby **setxwxgurl** » Wed Feb 02, 2011 11:17 am

gboudx wrote:I just read the DFW AFD from this morning, and the part below stuck out to me. Are they suggesting that we leave every faucet dripping even if all of our pipes are underground?

THIS COLD SNAP IS VERY SIGNIFICANT AND SOME INFRASTRUCTURE IN NORTH TEXAS ARE NOT
BUILT TO HANDLE TEMPERATURES OF THIS MAGNITUDE. RESIDENTS ARE
URGED TO TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTIONS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
PROTECT PLANTS...PIPES AND PEOPLE. IT IS A GOOD IDEA TO LEAVE
FAUCETS DRIPPING DURING THIS PROLONGED COLD SNAP. COLD AND HOT
WATER LINES SHOULD BE DRIPPING ON ALL FAUCETS...ESPECIALLY FAUCETS
WHICH ARE BUILT ON EXTERIOR WALLS.

People please take care of your pets too!!!!!!!!!!!!!! :wink:

#5760 Postby **srainhoutx** » Wed Feb 02, 2011 11:18 am

Corpus 10AM Update:

WILL BE LOOKING THROUGH THE LATEST 12Z MODEL DATA BUT LIKELIHOOD
FOR WINTER STORM WATCH IS GOING UP FOR WINTRY MIX AND CONCERN FOR
ICE ACCUMULATIONS FOR THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY. A BIT DISCONCERTING
IN LIGHT OF THE FACT THE MODELS HAVE DONE SO POORLY WITH CURRENT
CLOUD DECK OVER REGION.

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