ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION CLAUDETTE (04L)

[smw1981]

bands are setting up nicely now based on this last radar image...

[KWT]

Looks like its slowing down yet further to me and this gives it even more time over water if that is the case before landfall.

[Ivanhater]

Not seeing much movement. Ridge building?

[vacanechaser]

Looks like its slowing down yet further to me and this gives it even more time over water if that is the case before landfall.

i agree... it almost looks like it wobbled southward to me... unsure just yet though about that...
could just be the rotation and pattern of the banding


Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

[smw1981]

IF it slows down and a ridge is building, would that push it farther west (maybe more towards Pensacola - sorry Ivanhater!!)? Just wondered...I really don't think it will be a Mobile Bay/Baldwin County storm as some have said on previous pages, but I do wonder if it may go even more west than Destin..

[Frank P]

I was just getting ready to post the south wobble... sure looks likes its not in a hurry to go anywhere at the moment.. can't tell squat on radar ... looks like its just sitting there...

[paintplaye]

Looks like its slowing down yet further to me and this gives it even more time over water if that is the case before landfall.

i agree... it almost looks like it wobbled southward to me... unsure just yet though about that...
could just be the rotation and pattern of the banding


Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

The convection is at least building to the south. I guess the ridge is building.... Hmmm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/flash-avn.html

[smw1981]

Looks like its slowing down yet further to me and this gives it even more time over water if that is the case before landfall.

i agree... it almost looks like it wobbled southward to me... unsure just yet though about that...
could just be the rotation and pattern of the banding


Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

It does look like it has wobbled a little south during the last 2 frames...you gotta love Mother Nature! We will see...

[KWT]

Thats certainly odd motion on the radar though it may just be some convection that is moving, we could do with recon reports which would give a perfect picture of what the center is doing right now.

[MGC]

Hopefully this is some king of illusion and Claudette has not stalled. A stall could be bad news. Heaven forbid the storm starts drifting westward.....MGC

[tolakram]

I've lost the center. It might still be moving in the same direction but filling in. The near shore buoys are showing some rising pressures.



I suppose it could be a center relocation under the convection?

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... height=768

Need an pro to chime in.

[paintplaye]

Hopefully this is some king of illusion and Claudette has not stalled. A stall could be bad news. Heaven forbid the storm starts drifting westward.....MGC

Watch it stall and head over to mexico

Just a joke

[paintplaye]

I've lost the center. It might still be moving in the same direction but filling in. The near shore buoys are showing some rising pressures.



I suppose it could be a center relocation under the convection?

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... height=768

Need an pro to chime in.

I have it on my Grlevel 3, and it is moving to the south. Ill try to post a video.

[KWT]

The LLC is probably right no the edge of the convection thats why its not showing as well on the radar now. IMO of course!

Very interesting to watch this, far from the straightforward track we were expecting!

[tropicwatch]

Since it is such weak system it is hard to really tell movement from a radar image. I think it is still following the forecast track.

Tropicwatch

[KWT]

Hard to tell but its doing something that weren't exactly forecasted from the looks of things, if nothing else its slowed right down.

Seems like shear has increased a little from the west recently as well making it look a little more ragged.

[tolakram]

This loop makes it a bit easier to follow.

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/product ... 161115.GIF

I'm going to guess it's still mainly on the NHC track.

[Jag95]

Looks like the LLC is trying to tuck back under that convection to the east, giving it a southward jog appearance. Maybe a little relocation?

[paintplaye]

[vacanechaser]

Aric Dunn is out on Indian Pass near St. Vincent Inlet i believe and is reporting sustained winds near 45 mph... That is near the area where the heavy band is moving inland now near the center... Winds are gusting to near 50mph... Heavy rains visibility is less than a quater mile... He has seen a few shingles come off a roof while I was on the phone with him.. Will have more from him later...


Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team