Tropical Storm Ophelia

#581 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 1:02 pm

REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION...28.6 N... 79.5 W. MOVEMENT
...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE... 990 MB.

:eek:

Hyperstorm · #582 Postby **Hyperstorm** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 1:04 pm

Interesting that the pressure has gone up a couple of millibars when the storm is looking the best it has so far.

I'm wondering if the earlier strengthening and drop of pressures had more to do with it being a "subtropical" type system that was energized by the trough to the north.

That being said, it should start to drop very soon as convection build-up only indicates dropping pressures...

NCHurricane · #583 Postby **NCHurricane** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 1:16 pm

It has been about a century since GA got hit by a 'cane hasn't it?

The big O may be winding up for a visit. :eek:

#584 Postby **EDR1222** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 1:21 pm

The poor hurricane models might have to be admitted for psychiatric evaluation after Ophelia is finished with them. :lol:

chris_fit · #585 Postby **chris_fit** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 1:21 pm

Hyperstorm wrote:Interesting that the pressure has gone up a couple of millibars when the storm is looking the best it has so far.

I'm wondering if the earlier strengthening and drop of pressures had more to do with it being a "subtropical" type system that was energized by the trough to the north.

That being said, it should start to drop very soon as convection build-up only indicates dropping pressures...

Recon just found 988mb again

Hyperstorm · #586 Postby **Hyperstorm** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 1:22 pm

Latest vortex message indicates a drop of pressure to 988 mb.

I think that what happened earlier was that the pressure went UP after the plane left this morning before the convection burst. Now with the convection burst, it has dropped.

85*...

#587 Postby **HURAKAN** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 1:22 pm

08/1745 UTC 28.6N 79.5W T3.5/3.5 OPHELIA -- Atlantic Ocean

Dvorak numbers back to 3.5 supporting RECON findings.

Hyperstorm · #588 Postby **Hyperstorm** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 1:23 pm

Latest vortex message indicates a drop of pressure to 988 mb.

I think that what happened earlier was that the pressure went UP after the plane left this morning before the convection burst. Now with the convection burst, it has dropped.

85*...

#589 Postby **Blown Away** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 1:24 pm

1. Per the 9/7/05 NHC 5pm, the 24 hour position was supposed
to be near 29.5 / 80.
2. Per the 9/8/05 NHC 5am, the 12 hour position was supposed
to be near 29.0 / 79.6
3. 9/8/05 NHC 2pm, 28.6 / 79.5

I would think all the guidance expected at least slow N movement or drift. Almost a degree S and 1/2 degree E of where they thought it would be less than 24 hours. Is this significant, I don't know but most of the models started the NE movement many hours ago, except for the BAM Medium.

#590 Postby **Andrew92** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 1:26 pm

Well at least Ophelia is a typical woman. She can't make up her mind. Perhaps she's at the mall.

Guess I'll also have to check back in a few days to see if she's moved at all.

-Andrew92

wzrgirl1 · #591 Postby **wzrgirl1** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 1:28 pm

Andrew92 wrote:Well at least Ophelia is a typical woman. She can't make up her mind. Perhaps she's at the mall.

Guess I'll also have to check back in a few days to see if she's moved at all.

-Andrew92

she's taking a spinning class

tallbunch · #592 Postby **tallbunch** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 1:31 pm

They are really downplaying this storm here. Not a lot of people know about it. If they say something on the radio they state that "O will move to the East of us and have no effect besides rip currents here".

#593 Postby **WeatherEmperor** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 1:33 pm

wzrgirl1 wrote:
Andrew92 wrote:Well at least Ophelia is a typical woman. She can't make up her mind. Perhaps she's at the mall.

Guess I'll also have to check back in a few days to see if she's moved at all.

-Andrew92

she's taking a spinning class

arent u supposed to be at school wzrgirl?

<RICKY>

wzrgirl1 · #594 Postby **wzrgirl1** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 1:34 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:
wzrgirl1 wrote:
Andrew92 wrote:Well at least Ophelia is a typical woman. She can't make up her mind. Perhaps she's at the mall.

Guess I'll also have to check back in a few days to see if she's moved at all.

-Andrew92

she's taking a spinning class

arent u supposed to be at school wzrgirl?

<RICKY>

Hey Ricky.....my son is sick so I had to stay home with him.... :lol:

#595 Postby **WeatherEmperor** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 1:35 pm

aaah alright.

<RICKY>

#596 Postby **Andrew92** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 1:36 pm

Anyway, back to this indecisive, slow shopper of a storm herself. She is looking a lot healthier, and I wonder if she might become a hurricane tomorrow.

-Andrew92

wzrgirl1 · #597 Postby **wzrgirl1** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 1:37 pm

Andrew92 wrote:Anyway, back to this indecisive, slow shopper of a storm herself. She is looking a lot healthier, and I wonder if she might become a hurricane tomorrow.

-Andrew92

Thinking it could even be sooner than that Andrew....possibly by 11 at this rate

#598 Postby **Andrew92** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 1:38 pm

wzrgirl1 wrote:
Andrew92 wrote:Anyway, back to this indecisive, slow shopper of a storm herself. She is looking a lot healthier, and I wonder if she might become a hurricane tomorrow.

-Andrew92

Thinking it could even be sooner than that Andrew....possibly by 11 at this rate

That wouldn't surprise me either, but I'm deciding to be conservative for now.

-Andrew92

#599 Postby **deltadog03** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 1:39 pm

yes, the NON N movement is a big deal....imho....

#600 Postby **WeatherEmperor** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 1:39 pm

deltadog03 wrote:yes, the NON N movement is a big deal....imho....

what do you mean?

<RICKY>

Tropical Storm Ophelia

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