Tropical Depression HUMBERTO Discussion & Images

[Derek Ortt]

who's posting the obs, they are available

URNT15 KNHC 121933
AF306 0209A CYCLONE HDOB 18 20070912
192300 2700N 09501W 8427 01597 0128 +167 +000 237019 019 017 000 00
192330 2700N 09459W 8427 01597 0127 +167 +000 235018 019 017 000 00
192400 2700N 09457W 8430 01595 0129 +165 +000 233018 018 018 000 00
192430 2700N 09455W 8427 01596 0129 +165 +000 235018 018 017 000 00
192500 2700N 09453W 8428 01591 0127 +165 +000 239018 019 017 000 00
192530 2700N 09451W 8427 01596 0128 +165 +000 240019 019 014 000 00
192600 2700N 09449W 8428 01595 0127 +165 +000 237018 019 016 000 00
192630 2700N 09447W 8428 01596 0128 +165 +000 230019 019 016 000 00
192700 2700N 09445W 8428 01596 0128 +167 +000 226019 019 016 000 00
192730 2700N 09443W 8427 01598 0130 +165 +000 226018 018 014 001 00
192800 2700N 09441W 8428 01596 0130 +165 +000 227020 021 019 000 00
192830 2700N 09439W 8426 01597 0131 +165 +000 229020 021 016 000 00
192900 2700N 09437W 8428 01598 0132 +163 +000 227019 020 018 000 00
192930 2700N 09435W 8427 01598 0131 +163 +000 223020 020 017 000 00
193000 2700N 09434W 8428 01597 0130 +165 +000 222020 020 019 000 00
193030 2700N 09432W 8428 01594 0129 +165 +000 224020 021 018 000 00
193100 2700N 09430W 8428 01596 0128 +169 +000 226020 020 018 000 03
193130 2700N 09428W 8428 01597 0129 +165 +000 223021 021 019 000 00
193200 2700N 09426W 8428 01596 0129 +161 +000 221021 022 022 000 00
193230 2701N 09424W 8427 01597 0129 +162 +000 224021 023 020 000 00
$$


URNT15 KNHC 121943
AF306 0209A CYCLONE HDOB 19 20070912
193300 2701N 09422W 8428 01596 0130 +160 +000 221022 023 020 000 00
193330 2701N 09420W 8422 01604 0130 +158 +000 222024 025 018 002 00
193400 2701N 09418W 8431 01592 0127 +163 +000 220024 025 023 000 00
193430 2701N 09416W 8423 01603 0130 +160 +000 219026 027 022 000 00
193500 2701N 09414W 8425 01598 0127 +165 +000 220026 027 022 000 00
193530 2701N 09412W 8425 01600 0129 +162 +000 221027 028 021 000 00
193600 2701N 09410W 8428 01594 0129 +166 +000 220027 028 019 000 00
193630 2701N 09408W 8434 01593 0130 +168 +000 216027 027 021 000 00
193700 2701N 09406W 8426 01600 0129 +170 +000 217027 027 021 000 00
193730 2701N 09403W 8415 01611 0129 +169 +000 219027 027 019 000 00
193800 2701N 09401W 8430 01597 0131 +169 +000 219026 027 020 000 00
193830 2701N 09359W 8426 01603 0131 +169 +000 221027 027 019 000 00
193900 2701N 09357W 8428 01601 0130 +170 +000 224027 028 019 000 00
193930 2701N 09355W 8428 01598 0132 +172 +000 220026 026 020 000 00
194000 2701N 09352W 8427 01601 0130 +175 +000 217025 025 020 000 00
194030 2701N 09350W 8427 01602 0130 +174 +000 219025 025 020 000 00
194100 2701N 09348W 8419 01611 0133 +170 +000 220025 025 020 000 00
194130 2701N 09346W 8427 01605 0137 +170 +000 221025 025 019 000 03
194200 2703N 09344W 8427 01605 0139 +170 +000 218025 025 999 999 03
194230 2703N 09344W 8427 01605 0135 +170 +000 215021 023 016 000 03
$$


URNT11 KNHC 121953
97779 19464 41272 93910 15300 21023 16138 /2526
41920
RMK AF306 0209A CYCLONE OB 10
SWS = 021KTS


URNT15 KNHC 121955
AF306 0209A CYCLONE HDOB 20 20070912
194300 2706N 09346W 8425 01601 0130 +174 +000 214020 021 019 000 00
194330 2707N 09348W 8426 01602 0130 +174 +000 208021 021 019 000 00
194400 2708N 09349W 8426 01603 0130 +175 +000 203020 021 021 000 00
194430 2710N 09351W 8427 01599 0130 +174 +000 207021 021 021 000 00
194500 2711N 09352W 8426 01602 0129 +175 +000 207022 022 019 000 00
194530 2713N 09354W 8425 01600 0129 +170 +000 205021 021 021 000 00
194600 2714N 09356W 8426 01600 0130 +170 +000 206022 022 019 000 00
194630 2715N 09357W 8427 01598 0129 +167 +000 207023 023 021 000 00
194700 2717N 09359W 8425 01601 0131 +164 +000 208023 023 022 000 00
194730 2718N 09400W 8435 01590 0132 +160 +000 207023 023 020 000 00
194800 2720N 09402W 8427 01598 0131 +159 +000 209024 024 022 000 00
194830 2721N 09403W 8428 01592 0127 +163 +000 206024 024 023 000 00
194900 2722N 09405W 8428 01595 0126 +165 +000 205024 025 022 000 00
194930 2724N 09406W 8427 01595 0128 +161 +000 204023 024 023 000 00
195000 2725N 09408W 8428 01592 0126 +161 +000 201023 024 023 000 00
195030 2726N 09409W 8426 01593 0124 +165 +000 200023 024 023 000 00
195100 2728N 09411W 8428 01590 0124 +164 +000 204024 024 024 000 00
195130 2729N 09412W 8428 01589 0123 +165 +000 208024 025 025 000 00
195200 2730N 09414W 8424 01593 0124 +162 +000 208023 024 023 000 00
195230 2732N 09415W 8426 01592 0124 +162 +000 207023 023 023 000 00

[HeeBGBz]

Wow, little 90L made quite the comeback, didn't he?

I wonder if we in coastal Mississippi will get much rain from this?

[Smurfwicked]

The weather channel just said that some models have this thing going south then back to the same places. other models differ.


This is only speculation.

they actually said that on-air!!!! Great, TWC is starting to act like foxnews now.

the models do have it going back south to the same place it is now or a bit further south although i think you're miss understanding what is being said here its going to continue its relative path up to central la. before taking a its southwestern turn into back towards the gulf... heres a link to couple of models all showing what is being refered to:

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... ml#a_topad

[skysummit]

Southwestern and South Central Louisiana will get pummeled with flooding rains....

@3:00pm:

[DrewFL]

[Chris_in_Tampa]

I was posting them in the same message rather than posting a new message every time. I'll start posting them separately again to make it less confusing.

[BigA]

Ok, that model plot is odd. I wonder if a storm has ever hit the same location from the same direction twice?

[LaBreeze]

Looking really "ugly" outside right now. Breezy, rains are getting steady. Is it possible for Hum. to drift more to the northeast and affect SW Louisiana more than is currently talked about? Just wondering what the word and thought is out there?

[dwg71]

Southwestern and South Central Louisiana will get pummeled with flooding rains....

@3:00pm:

Golden Triangle and SW to Central LA will get brunt of the rain. NHC will probably shift track to east of Galveston at 4PM imo.

[Brent]

I'm hoping we can get some VERY beneficial rains out of this... for the last 3 months the mets have been saying "a weak TS is much needed". The southward turn back into the Gulf is nuts though... Ivan repeat?

[seahawkjd]

Ok, that model plot is odd. I wonder if a storm has ever hit the same location from the same direction twice?

Hurricane Dennis in I think 99 hit us in NC then swung out and came back around and hit about the same spot a week later again as a hurricane.

[LaBreeze]

We don't need any more rain - we're saturated as it is. My yard is so damp at the moment and I've got to cut grass soon.

[dwg71]

Looking really "ugly" outside right now. Breezy, rains are getting steady. Is it possible for Hum. to drift more to the northeast and affect SW Louisiana more than is currently talked about? Just wondering what the word and thought is out there?

I would rather be in Houston than SWLA.

[Cyclone1]

Ok, that model plot is odd. I wonder if a storm has ever hit the same location from the same direction twice?

Hurricane Dennis in I think 99 hit us in NC then swung out and came back around and hit about the same spot a week later again as a hurricane.

Nope. Dennis only hit land once as a tropical storm. There was a tropical storm in Texas that hit land and then looped back over water, only to hit the same stretch of coast back in the 70's. I forget the name.

[HURAKAN]

Latest:

[windstorm99]

[DrewFL]

Yes, the "Alabama desert" could sure use some of this rain!

[Chris_in_Tampa]

URNT15 KNHC 122013
AF306 0209A CYCLONE HDOB 22 20070912
200300 2757N 09443W 8423 01575 0109 +148 +000 242024 025 036 010 00
200330 2758N 09445W 8444 01554 0098 +164 +000 241026 027 032 004 03
200400 2800N 09445W 8423 01574 0097 +163 +000 244028 028 028 000 00
200430 2801N 09446W 8422 01573 0096 +163 +000 241029 030 026 000 00
200500 2803N 09447W 8426 01570 0092 +165 +000 240029 030 027 001 00
200530 2804N 09448W 8430 01561 0085 +175 +000 235033 033 026 000 00
200600 2806N 09449W 8424 01566 0083 +175 +000 235034 034 026 000 00
200630 2807N 09450W 8427 01560 0080 +176 +000 237034 035 027 000 00
200700 2809N 09451W 8432 01554 0077 +178 +000 239033 034 028 000 00
200730 2810N 09451W 8429 01555 0076 +175 +000 242034 035 028 001 00
200800 2811N 09452W 8424 01556 0074 +170 +000 242032 033 029 000 00
200830 2813N 09453W 8429 01547 0070 +169 +000 244032 033 027 001 00
200900 2814N 09454W 8428 01544 0068 +167 +000 248031 032 027 001 00
200930 2816N 09455W 8426 01543 0062 +170 +000 249029 031 027 000 00
201000 2817N 09456W 8426 01540 0059 +171 +000 251025 025 028 000 00
201030 2819N 09456W 8427 01538 0055 +173 +000 258025 026 028 000 00
201100 2820N 09457W 8428 01533 0051 +171 +000 256027 028 026 001 00
201130 2822N 09457W 8430 01526 0046 +170 +000 259028 029 024 005 00
201200 2824N 09457W 8427 01524 0046 +161 +000 264026 029 031 006 03
201230 2825N 09458W 8426 01522 0041 +160 +000 272020 022 035 010 00

[Andrew92]

Is it just my eye or is Humberto hardly moving at all? And any motion appears either due north or maybe a hear east of due north.

Lastly, he's trying to become what I've been fearing all day....we need to get him in!

-Andrew92

[BigA]

A nasty squall is coming ashore the Brazoria County coast. I wonder what the winds in it are.

The more the storm moves NE instead of N, the more time it will have over water. Looks sort of NNE to me now.