Texas Winter 2024-2025

[PTrackerLA]

12z ICON keeps the winter storm in play

and almost 1" of ice along I-10

[MississippiWx]

12z ICON is the most amped run yet. Makes sense.

[bubba hotep]

12z ICON trends a bit towards the Euro at H5 but ends up looking better at the surface for TX/LA. Will it continue to correct, or will the Euro step back towards its older runs?

[Gotwood]

Icon goes hard temps in the low singles to below zero in spots after the snow storm.

[orangeblood]

Model Chaos, gotta love it! Without it, things would be pretty lame around here....

[MississippiWx]

12z ICON trends a bit towards the Euro at H5 but ends up looking better at the surface for TX/LA. Will it continue to correct, or will the Euro step back towards its older runs?

There is still a wild difference between them. The problem is the upper level low off the West Coast. Does it pick it up or not? I thought the 12z ICON looked to dig deeper than previous runs, actually.

[orangeblood]

Icon goes hard temps in the low singles to below zero in spots after the snow storm.

Moderate snow with temps in the teens from DFW to San Antonio, 850mb temps ranging -10 to -15C....really high ratio snow!!

[bubba hotep]

Some minor positive changes on the 12z GFS through 42hrs.

[wxman22]

This is the most aggressive run so far.

[Ralph's Weather]

While we wait on 12z models...DFW snuck in another freeze this morning. That's now 13 freezes for this month (consecutive at that) at the airport. This month alone will exceed all of last winter once done.

Upper 20s again here, cold is pretty easy to obtain this winter.

[cheezyWXguy]

Icon goes hard temps in the low singles to below zero in spots after the snow storm.

Moderate snow with temps in the teens from DFW to San Antonio, 850mb temps ranging -10 to -15C....really high ratio snow!!

The totals it shows 10:1 on tarrant county are impressive enough, but with those ratios you’d get dumped on. Hope the other models follow suit but I’m not holding my breath with all this inconsistency. Icon/cmc camp isnt one I have high confidence in on its own.

[MississippiWx]

The GFS freeze up for y'all too?

Hopefully, it's the little gremlins trying to push that trough farther south.

[Ralph's Weather]

Icon goes hard temps in the low singles to below zero in spots after the snow storm.

Moderate snow with temps in the teens from DFW to San Antonio, 850mb temps ranging -10 to -15C....really high ratio snow!!

The totals it shows 10:1 on tarrant county are impressive enough, but with those ratios you’d get dumped on. Hope the other models follow suit but I’m not holding my breath with all this inconsistency. Icon/cmc camp isnt one I have high confidence in on its own.

Yep, likely would be talking 20:1 with whatever falls up along I-20. Key is whether QPF is <0.1" or is it more like 0.5". Late week looks wetter but how much cold is left.

[TropicalTundra]

The ICON also has Denver down to -30s Monday night. Would be the all-record low, no?

Hope it's lying, but it's brutally accurate with temps recently. Holy.

[wxman57]

Beware the ICON - it was second-worst of the models with the last event across SE TX and LA. Only the Canadian was worse. ICON was WAY too cold with the last event. Canadian was another level of way too cold...

The unlike cold of the ICON along the Gulf coast leads to an unlikely forecast of winter precip down here. I didn't verify the ICON for D-FW or Denver last week, but it was pretty bad down here.

[HurricaneBrain]

Here we go....

[MississippiWx]

Beware the ICON - it was second-worst of the models with the last event across SE TX and LA. Only the Canadian was worse. ICON was WAY too cold with the last event. Canadian was another level of way too cold...

The unlike cold of the ICON along the Gulf coast leads to an unlikely forecast of winter precip down here. I didn't verify the ICON for D-FW or Denver last week, but it was pretty bad down here.

I'm mainly watching it for the 500mb forecast. The GFS just took a jump towards it with much more digging of the system.

[BradKingK]

The ICON also has Denver down to -30s Monday night. Would be the all-record low, no?

Hope it's lying, but it's brutally accurate with temps recently. Holy.

Would be an all-time low. Current lowest temp ever in Denver is -25 deg F.

https://www.extremeweatherwatch.com/cities/denver

[Stratton23]

GFS definitely took a step in the right direction, CMC is about to be another big run, the differences at even 3 days out is comical

[Nederlander]

This is just gross.. Looking like SETX will miss out again. I don't understand the warmer temps