It's a definite maybe for a surge of colder air in the West that affects Texas in the last half of the month. Models in modest agreement.
Looks like a MJO phase 2.
Texas Winter 2025-2026
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
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Stratton23
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
I have to disagree there, AI ensembles start to bleed some of that cold air south into the US, AO is weak negative, but would like that value to drop around -3 to -4, stronger AO would definitely dislodge the cold air further south, AI ensembles also have a better - EPO signature, MJO going into 2/3 could provide some help, SE ridge will be the big player here though
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