Texas Winter 2013-2014

Winter Weather Discussion

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HouTXmetro
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#5861 Postby HouTXmetro » Tue Jan 28, 2014 9:27 am

It's a very close call. Perhaps they should err on the side of caution but with the cooling process likely to slow or reverse it's debatable as if we will have icy bridges and roads. Safety aside and strictly from a weather enthusiast stand point. Consider me "underwhelmed" In Houston.
Last edited by HouTXmetro on Tue Jan 28, 2014 9:29 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#5862 Postby ravyrn » Tue Jan 28, 2014 9:27 am

Portastorm wrote:
jasons wrote:31F here and a steady rain.

I think a lot of Houston drivers are going to regret going-in earlier this morning.


Yeah, so much for the "bust" talk. Y'all are probably going to get one nasty ice storm. Be safe!


Yeah, all those that were screaming bust are awfully quiet now.
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Re: Re:

#5863 Postby Rgv20 » Tue Jan 28, 2014 9:29 am

BigB0882 wrote:
Rgv20 wrote:48 of the 51 0zECMWF Ensemble Members show Snow for Harlingen with the Mean being 1.2'' and for McAllen its 46 of the 51 members with the mean being 0.8'' of Snow :eek:


Good luck!!

Do you have any way to tell me what the ensembles say for snow today in Baton Rouge?


51 for 51! With the Ensemble Mean being around 2''.
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Re: Re:

#5864 Postby HouTXmetro » Tue Jan 28, 2014 9:30 am

Rgv20 wrote:
BigB0882 wrote:
Rgv20 wrote:48 of the 51 0zECMWF Ensemble Members show Snow for Harlingen with the Mean being 1.2'' and for McAllen its 46 of the 51 members with the mean being 0.8'' of Snow :eek:


Good luck!!

Do you have any way to tell me what the ensembles say for snow today in Baton Rouge?


51 for 51! With the Ensemble Mean being around 2''.


When? SO far I don't see any precip occurring down there.

http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/southplains_loop.php
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Re: Re:

#5865 Postby BigB0882 » Tue Jan 28, 2014 9:32 am

Rgv20 wrote:
BigB0882 wrote:
Rgv20 wrote:48 of the 51 0zECMWF Ensemble Members show Snow for Harlingen with the Mean being 1.2'' and for McAllen its 46 of the 51 members with the mean being 0.8'' of Snow :eek:


Good luck!!

Do you have any way to tell me what the ensembles say for snow today in Baton Rouge?


51 for 51! With the Ensemble Mean being around 2''.


Thanks! 51 for 51 sounds like really good odds!
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Re:

#5866 Postby gboudx » Tue Jan 28, 2014 9:35 am

TeamPlayersBlue wrote:Im going to withhold my rant till the rest of this pans out, but the NWS right now is looking like amateur hour


Tim Heller too right? Didn't he keep saying bust yesterday? I thought I saw a couple-3 posts about him.
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Re: Re:

#5867 Postby Rgv20 » Tue Jan 28, 2014 9:37 am

HouTXmetro wrote:When? SO far I don't see any precip occurring down there.

http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/southplains_loop.php


Radar should start feeling in around 9PM to 12AM tonight. Our window for Frozen Precip will be from midnight tonight to 9am tomorrow morning.
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Re: Re:

#5868 Postby HouTXmetro » Tue Jan 28, 2014 9:39 am

Rgv20 wrote:
HouTXmetro wrote:When? SO far I don't see any precip occurring down there.

http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/southplains_loop.php


Radar should start feeling in around 9PM to 12AM tonight. Our window for Frozen Precip will be from midnight tonight to 9am tomorrow morning.


Congrats, I'm rooting for you guys!!!
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#5869 Postby Ntxw » Tue Jan 28, 2014 9:45 am

Who wants to take a gamble at how many blankets and heated blankets wxman57 has?
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Re:

#5870 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Tue Jan 28, 2014 9:46 am

Ntxw wrote:Who wants to take a gamble at how many blankets and heated blankets wxman57 has?


Over under 5.5
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#5871 Postby Snowman67 » Tue Jan 28, 2014 9:47 am

sleet now mixing in with the light freezing rain.
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#5872 Postby ndale » Tue Jan 28, 2014 9:53 am

Not sure what to expect on future precip here, can now see a patch of sky but radar shows more developing to our west moving this way.
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#5873 Postby PTrackerLA » Tue Jan 28, 2014 9:56 am

Alexandria, LA reporting freezing rain and 22 degrees. That's unbelievable and very dangerous!
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#5874 Postby davidiowx » Tue Jan 28, 2014 9:57 am

I was listening to the radio on my way into work and they were saying we will see the sun after lunch time and the temps will warm up :roll:

Looking at the radar, it certainly does not look like that will happen.. Unless all of that rain just fizzles out before moving further south.
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Re:

#5875 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Tue Jan 28, 2014 10:01 am

davidiowx wrote:I was listening to the radio on my way into work and they were saying we will see the sun after lunch time and the temps will warm up :roll:

Looking at the radar, it certainly does not look like that will happen.. Unless all of that rain just fizzles out before moving further south.


Like i said, amateur hour. Check this out.
http://www.accuweather.com/en/us/south- ... -wv?play=1
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#5876 Postby davidiowx » Tue Jan 28, 2014 10:03 am

:uarrow:

Now that looks promising. Even appears to be getting filling in nicely :cold:
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#5877 Postby dhweather » Tue Jan 28, 2014 10:03 am

I get really ticked off with the ISD's and their extremely conservative attitude towards winter weather. The Rockwall ISD is horrible about this. Seeing that picture of a bus that has slid off the road, endangering children's lives and others is completely irresponsible. You can add a day in May/June if one or two days is going to be a big deal for you.
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Re:

#5878 Postby aubrn34 » Tue Jan 28, 2014 10:05 am

davidiowx wrote:I was listening to the radio on my way into work and they were saying we will see the sun after lunch time and the temps will warm up :roll:

Looking at the radar, it certainly does not look like that will happen.. Unless all of that rain just fizzles out before moving further south.

It's certainly a dangerous game when counting on that to keep roads from icing. It more than likely will warm up a little bit to keep the bridges from icing, but all it takes is a few degrees difference and lots of commuters have a treacherous drive. I don't envy anyone who has to make that forecast.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#5879 Postby bighaben » Tue Jan 28, 2014 10:07 am

I've been under that pink/blue on the radar for hours now, and very little if any has hit the ground since 7am. Most of it is evaporating before hitting the ground.

I have a trace of snow, but it hasn't accumulated further since I woke up this morning, and in fact looks to be slowly disappearing.

Still debating whether to do my 40 mile commute into the northern suburbs of Houston, roads look good now, but in a few hours that could be very different as I don't know the conditions south of me.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#5880 Postby veedub63 » Tue Jan 28, 2014 10:08 am

I'm looking for some input from you savvy weather folks regarding;

1. The disturbance presently riding out of New Mexico.
2. The impressively organized low pressure system presently in Mexico.

Specifically, I would like to know, based on observations, if my area (central texas) should expect any more surprises for later today or tonight. I'm hopelessly optimistic that a SNOW event looms, however I will behave like a big boy if the outlook is contrary to my wishes....

Anyone?
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