ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[CrazyC83]

URNT15 KNHC 062333
AF309 1511A IRMA HDOB 12 20170906
232400 1732N 06435W 6967 03151 0041 +105 +043 204044 045 035 000 00
232430 1734N 06434W 6964 03160 0042 +105 +043 202044 045 034 001 00
232500 1736N 06434W 6966 03157 0041 +106 +040 200045 045 036 000 00
232530 1738N 06433W 6967 03157 0044 +105 +041 199046 047 036 001 00
232600 1741N 06433W 6967 03155 0040 +105 +040 199046 047 036 000 00
232630 1743N 06432W 6967 03155 0039 +105 +040 199047 048 035 001 00
232700 1745N 06431W 6967 03155 0042 +103 +043 200046 048 035 001 03
232730 1747N 06432W 6964 03155 0045 +100 +042 198043 044 030 001 00
232800 1748N 06433W 6969 03149 0044 +100 +039 196043 043 031 000 00
232830 1749N 06435W 6967 03153 0041 +105 +039 196042 043 031 000 00
232900 1750N 06437W 6969 03151 0041 +105 +033 199043 043 031 001 00
232930 1751N 06438W 6967 03150 0034 +105 +030 196043 043 030 001 00
233000 1752N 06440W 6967 03149 0032 +107 +030 197044 044 031 001 00
233030 1754N 06441W 6968 03144 0032 +103 +045 199044 045 034 001 00
233100 1755N 06443W 6970 03139 0027 +106 +044 198047 047 032 001 00
233130 1756N 06444W 6966 03143 0020 +108 +046 196048 048 031 002 00
233200 1757N 06446W 6967 03142 0021 +109 +042 195048 049 032 002 00
233230 1758N 06448W 6968 03138 0024 +104 +045 196047 048 033 001 00
233300 1800N 06449W 6967 03138 0024 +102 +045 197046 047 038 001 00
233330 1801N 06451W 6966 03139 0027 +100 +052 198044 046 038 001 00
$$
;

[Pughetime12]

We just had a friend tell us that she was in on a meeting with NOAA and that Governer McMaster was on the video call. NOAA stated that this hurricane will hit Charleston as a cat 4 and they said it will hit the gulf stream which will push it into Charleston. Could they be this certain about it at this point?

I am evacuating but I was under the impression that it couldn't be this set in stone already for Charleston.

[SunnyThoughts]

HH at operational altitude. Pass forthcoming.

[supercane4867]

Reinforced steel cell towers all snapped in Barbuda?!?!

https://twitter.com/AlexJLamers/status/ ... 6448060416

The tweet quoted above is this one:
https://twitter.com/Jonny_Hallam/status ... 7105614848

A prior tweet that I pasted and then deleted quoted the Prime Minister as saying Barbuda "was basically uninhabitable"

I'm trying to find the official text / report of the speech.

Here is a clearer view.

[ozonepete]

We just had a friend tell us that she was in on a meeting with NOAA and that Governer McMaster was on the video call. NOAA stated that this hurricane will hit Charleston as a cat 4 and they said it will hit the gulf stream which will push it into Charleston. Could they be this certain about it at this point?

I am evacuating but I was under the impression that it couldn't be this set in stone already for Charleston.

It isn't. Listen to the NHC for an overall forecast and your local NWS office (who are very good) to get the proper info. No one has enough info to say Charleston is going to get hit this weekend with a cat 4 hurricane at this time and no responsible authorities are.

Charleston NWS online: http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... bCH07pFyM8

Good luck and stay safe.

[Happy Pelican]

I know a few people here follow the FB page a friend of mine started just before Irene, "Jersey Shore Hurricane News" well, Justin splits his time between here and Puerto Rico and is currently in PR. He started "Puerto Rico Hurricane News" I'd anyone wants to search it up on Facebook.

Anyway, we're getting my 87yo father in law out of Charleston, SC and bringing him here to NJ. My brother in law lives on James Island, SC and is actively securing his home the best he can. My heart breaks for everyone in the bath of Irma's destruction. Just saw a few pics from the islands and couldn't hold back the tears. Sandy PTSD is spiked through the roof

[tolakram]

We just had a friend tell us that she was in on a meeting with NOAA and that Governer McMaster was on the video call. NOAA stated that this hurricane will hit Charleston as a cat 4 and they said it will hit the gulf stream which will push it into Charleston. Could they be this certain about it at this point?

I am evacuating but I was under the impression that it couldn't be this set in stone already for Charleston.

They do not know this far out yet, so I would say this is unverified info.

[ravyrn]

Did Irma's eye go over St. John?

[CrazyC83]

URNT15 KNHC 062343
AF309 1511A IRMA HDOB 13 20170906
233400 1802N 06452W 6968 03132 0021 +100 +053 197042 043 037 001 00
233430 1803N 06454W 6967 03133 0016 +104 +047 197042 042 038 002 00
233500 1804N 06455W 6967 03132 0015 +104 +057 201045 045 039 002 00
233530 1805N 06457W 6968 03128 0014 +102 +067 201047 047 040 002 00
233600 1806N 06459W 6965 03132 0014 +103 +059 200047 047 040 002 00
233630 1808N 06500W 6970 03125 0012 +105 +052 207046 047 041 002 00
233700 1809N 06502W 6966 03127 0013 +103 +052 208046 047 040 001 00
233730 1810N 06503W 6969 03125 0015 +100 +058 207049 050 040 001 00
233800 1811N 06505W 6969 03123 0018 +094 +061 208049 050 042 001 00
233830 1812N 06506W 6966 03125 0014 +095 +059 209048 049 040 001 00
233900 1813N 06508W 6969 03115 0012 +093 +066 209049 050 041 001 00
233930 1815N 06509W 6967 03116 0010 +093 +058 212051 051 041 001 00
234000 1816N 06510W 6967 03114 0012 +090 +058 211050 051 041 001 00
234030 1817N 06512W 6962 03120 0008 +090 +063 208050 051 043 001 00
234100 1819N 06513W 6966 03111 0004 +091 +068 209051 052 068 013 03
234130 1820N 06514W 6968 03105 9996 +094 +071 205052 053 071 011 03
234200 1821N 06516W 6967 03103 9988 +098 +071 206053 054 044 000 00
234230 1823N 06517W 6967 03099 9981 +101 +070 211053 054 047 003 00
234300 1824N 06519W 6966 03096 9982 +097 +076 211051 053 048 004 03
234330 1825N 06520W 6964 03097 9996 +086 +085 220052 057 049 008 00
$$
;

[dukeblue219]

We just had a friend tell us that she was in on a meeting with NOAA and that Governer McMaster was on the video call. NOAA stated that this hurricane will hit Charleston as a cat 4 and they said it will hit the gulf stream which will push it into Charleston. Could they be this certain about it at this point?

I am evacuating but I was under the impression that it couldn't be this set in stone already for Charleston.

It's not. This was either NOAA giving the worst case to McMaster for planning purposes, or a classic case of "telephone game" changing the words slightly.

[PandaCitrus]

During Hurricane Andrew, the channel 6 TV tower went down in Homestead. I believe it was over 1800 feet tall. The winds hundreds of feet in the air can be 30% higher than on the surface. Easily over 200mph in this Hurricane.

[La Sirena]

HH at operational altitude. Pass forthcoming.

I just read HH as Happy Hour in my head....hurricane overload has set in lol.

[CrazyC83]

000
URNT15 KNHC 062353
AF309 1511A IRMA HDOB 14 20170906
234400 1826N 06521W 6966 03086 9975 +090 +083 222058 059 052 005 00
234430 1828N 06523W 6967 03082 9965 +096 +081 222060 060 051 004 00
234500 1829N 06524W 6969 03074 9961 +093 +076 221061 062 051 003 00
234530 1830N 06525W 6968 03070 9961 +091 +069 218064 065 055 005 00
234600 1831N 06527W 6966 03068 9952 +092 +074 220063 065 058 007 00
234630 1833N 06528W 6966 03057 9949 +085 +080 220064 065 061 007 00
234700 1834N 06529W 6970 03047 9934 +094 +079 217065 065 062 005 00
234730 1835N 06530W 6963 03051 9925 +095 +081 217068 069 062 004 00
234800 1836N 06532W 6968 03036 9916 +094 +089 216071 072 065 003 00
234830 1838N 06533W 6970 03027 9909 +094 +090 217073 075 065 003 00
234900 1839N 06534W 6965 03025 9916 +091 +091 217074 074 061 008 03
234930 1840N 06536W 6966 03007 9906 +088 +088 218076 077 063 008 00
235000 1841N 06537W 6964 03004 9892 +086 +086 217079 080 066 009 00
235030 1843N 06538W 6966 02993 9878 +091 +091 217080 081 069 014 00
235100 1844N 06540W 6967 02975 9857 +089 +087 218083 084 074 013 00
235130 1845N 06541W 6965 02962 9846 +089 +089 219087 090 075 014 00
235200 1846N 06542W 6958 02953 9819 +103 +103 222087 091 079 025 00
235230 1848N 06543W 6977 02910 9794 +108 +108 221089 092 082 031 00
235300 1849N 06545W 6970 02901 9775 +104 +104 218094 097 091 017 00
235330 1850N 06546W 6966 02882 9753 +099 //// 218099 100 092 011 01
$$
;

[KBBOCA]

Did Irma's eye go over St. John?

Based on the satellite shot posted a few comments above your question
viewtopic.php?p=2631742#p2631742

I'd say the answer is yes.
To my knowledge the following islands all were engulfed in the eye at some point:
Barbuda, St. Barth, St. Martin/St. Maarten, Anguilla, Virgin Gorda, Tortolla, St. John. (plus other smaller islands, especially in the BVI). Probably Jost Van Dyke too, but I've not verified.

St. Thomas definitely got part of the eyewall, but was not engulfed in the eye, I don't think. I think Anegada also was spared the full eyewall.

[eastcoastFL]

Reinforced steel cell towers all snapped in Barbuda?!?!

https://twitter.com/AlexJLamers/status/ ... 6448060416

The tweet quoted above is this one:
https://twitter.com/Jonny_Hallam/status ... 7105614848

A prior tweet that I pasted and then deleted quoted the Prime Minister as saying Barbuda "was basically uninhabitable"

I'm trying to find the official text / report of the speech.

Here is a clearer view.

I didn't think that could happen. Holy crap

[Kingarabian]

Incoming center pass

[eastcoastFL]

It seems odd a bit that the northern Bahamas would be under a watch but not SE FL. The wind time would be the same if not sooner for se fl vs northern Bahamas, no?

[hurricanefloyd5]

Breaking news South Carolina has declared a state of emergency

[KBBOCA]

So many cool images (from a scientific standpoint) being transmitted. It's AMAZING how much real time info we have now and how the technology of tracking / viewing storms has leapt ahead...

 https://twitter.com/pppapin/status/905581167809789953

[KBBOCA]

More on the two eyewalls

 https://twitter.com/wxnole/status/905581458160574464