Texas Winter 2025-2026

Winter Weather Discussion

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txtwister78
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5941 Postby txtwister78 » Thu Feb 12, 2026 12:19 pm

Cpv17 wrote:
Edwards Limestone wrote:Winter is over down here. All I see is mid to upper 70s forecast for the next 10 days.

Can we at least get some damn rain if my AC has to be running in mid-Feb?


Doesn’t look like me or you are gonna get much of anything anytime soon.


Where is the buzzer on here...lol.

Joking aside, SPC has marginal risk out for a good portion of the region from SC TX points east where parameters are best. System has slowed a bit so this increases some instability to work with as front moves through.

Late afternoon to early evening storms look increasingly more likely. Obviously we won't get the rain we truly need out of this but better than nothing.
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rwfromkansas
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5942 Postby rwfromkansas » Thu Feb 12, 2026 1:08 pm

Well, it's not looking good. Maybe a lucky very, very late winter cold snap? But likely too late, and it will just ruin spring break. I will take a good severe weather season as long as the huge hail misses my house.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5943 Postby txtwister78 » Thu Feb 12, 2026 3:17 pm

rwfromkansas wrote:Well, it's not looking good. Maybe a lucky very, very late winter cold snap? But likely too late, and it will just ruin spring break. I will take a good severe weather season as long as the huge hail misses my house.


Lots of data out there citing increased likelihood of an active severe weather season across Texas with a transitioning La Nina to ENSO neutral state in the Spring so we shall see.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5944 Postby Cpv17 » Thu Feb 12, 2026 6:26 pm

txtwister78 wrote:
rwfromkansas wrote:Well, it's not looking good. Maybe a lucky very, very late winter cold snap? But likely too late, and it will just ruin spring break. I will take a good severe weather season as long as the huge hail misses my house.


Lots of data out there citing increased likelihood of an active severe weather season across Texas with a transitioning La Nina to ENSO neutral state in the Spring so we shall see.


Maybe late month we could get into a more active stormy pattern.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5945 Postby Stratton23 » Thu Feb 12, 2026 6:50 pm

that might be a big maybe, the PNA is forecast to stay strongly negative the next several weeks
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5946 Postby Cpv17 » Thu Feb 12, 2026 6:57 pm

Stratton23 wrote:that might be a big maybe, the PNA is forecast to stay strongly negative the next several weeks


The Euro and CPC are hinting at it late month.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5947 Postby Brent » Thu Feb 12, 2026 7:28 pm

Nobody up here believes winter is over so there's that :lol: of course it's easier to get cold up here than Texas but still. Not like there's anything even normal showing up... I think it may be just because it's February 12th and it'd be unheard of to be over maybe

There been some weak hints on the EPS late month I guess

First things first I wanna see if it really rains this weekend. Lots of talk about that
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