What name(s) in 2008 will be the big one(s)?

[Jinkers]

Laura, because my name is Laura... But I hope it stays a fish storm.

[Tampa_God]

My earlier forecast was 17 name storms, but I'm actually pushing it to 19 name storms. So my new forecast is 19/12/4

Arthur-This will be a strong tropical storm in the Eastern GOM on June 14th. It will be a slow one and head into Citrus County, Florida with 60 mph winds.

Bertha-Bertha will form in the Western Atlantic on June 27th. I believe it will form off the Carolina Coast and head towards Bermuda, but make a sharp East turn and head out to sea and dissapate. Max winds, 50 mph

Cristobal- Forming in the Central Carribbean on July 22nd, it will be the first hurricane in the Atlantic season and first hurricane to make landfall, when it hits Central America. Max winds, 85 mph

Dolly- Dolly will be a weak tropical storm east of Bahamas on July 30th. It will dissipate 2 days later with no landfall.

Edouard-The 2nd hurricane of the season. Edouard will develop on August 11th in the Northern Carribbean. Edouard will become a Cat 2 before smashing North of Brownsville, making it the first hurricane to hit the US that season.

Fay- Fay will form in the Central Atlantic and make two loops before dissipating over the waters. I want to say this will become a hurricane, but I see it only making it to 70 mph, but it can still be a Cat 1.

Gustav- Gustav will be our first major hurricane of 2008. After forming East of the Lesser Antilles, it will head West into the Carribbean and than turn North to the Gulf. By than, it will be a Cat 4 hurricane. Now I'm having trouble with 2 things, strength and landfall. I'm pretty sure this will hit Florida, but I don't know where. My best guess, is North of Tampa. I don't know how far North, but it won't be that far. Also, I'm getting mix signals for the Strength. I'm hoping a Cat 4 still, but the water will be around 87 F by then, so it would make sense that it will be a Cat 5. Date of storm, August 24th.

Hanna-After Gustav, it won't be long until Hanna forms. Reaching Cat 2, it will slam into Puerto Rico and than into Bahamas before heading out to sea.

Ike- Ike, many people are giving this a chance for a major storm. I just don't get that feeling. Maybe a landfall tropical hurricane, but nothing major. But I'm giving this Sept. 7th. Cat 1 hurricane landfall on the Ucatan (sp?) and than Northern Mexico as tropical storm.

Josephine-Sept. will be a busy month for tropical activity. Josephine will form in Central Carribbean and stall there for awhile before slamming into Central America as a tropical storm Date:Sept 11th

Kyle-Kyle and Laura will actually both form, or be named, on the same day. Kyle will be a "nothing" storm, forming in the Western Atlantic, but affecting no one except marine interest. Day: September 21st, Tropical Storm.

Laura- Laura will be a confusing one. I really don't know where this will go or how strong. My feelings will be a Cape Verde storm but going North and reaching minimum hurricane strength, but I'm not sure about that.

Marco-Marco will be our 2nd Major Hurricane. Forming near Cape Verde, it will head West before changing to Northwest and missing the Lesser Antiles. This storm will reach Cat 4 beofre slamming into North Carolina/Virginia. Date, Sept 30th

Nana- Cape Verde storm, but the same as Laura, tropical storm buto nowhere and POOF! Date: Oct. 2nd

Omar-Omar will form on October 16th as a Cape Verde storm. This will be another major, but will hit The Northern Antilles before heading North and affecting Bermuda as a Cat 3.

Paloma- Paloma will follow Omar on October 23rd as another Cape Verde storm. Becoming a Cat 4 storm after crossing the Lesser Antilles, Paloma will crash into Central America. As you can see, Central America will not be getting a rest from last season.

Rene-We'll get a break, but Rene will form in the Carribbean on Nov 19th. It will than enter the Gulf before heading towards Houston. Tropical Storm.

Sally-Sally will be a Central Atlantic storm only reaching tropical storm strength on Oct 29th.

Teddy- Teddy will actually form on December 21st. Ofcourse this will be subtropical, I still think this will reach 100 pmh+ winds heading toward Nova Scotia. If so, than we will have 10 hurricanes than 9.

[vbhoutex]

Cristobal
Edouard
Fay
Ike
Kyle

[Rainband]

I don't have a clue but I don't like the 1950 analog. "easy"

[Blown Away]

CRISTOBAL justs stands out to me. The C & D letters always seem to produce some legends.

I hate to say it, but 94L may become Cristobal and it is already a big system.

[Cleveland Kent Evans]

I didn't see this thread until it was just revived.

As a name expert, I always hope that IF there are names that have to be retired, that they would be the B, E, or G names, simply because each of those letters has only three names that have been retired yet, and there are plenty of possible replacements for them. I think the WMO has been rather unlucky in that they have had to retire so many F and I names. Among letters in the top half of the alphabet, F and I are probably the ones where the average person finds it hardest to think of a lot of potential replacement names. They've had to retire 8 F names and 6 I names. The only letter with more retired names that F is C, with 9.

So since it's probably too late for Bertha this year (unless it does something completely unexpected in Bermuda or Nova Scotia), I would vote for Edouard or Gustav to be the bad storms this year, if we have to have some, just because they're the early names on the list that I'd like to see retired the most.

[Ad Novoxium]

Right now, in terms of letters, the only letters with no retired systems for the Atl are P, T, and V. By comparison, we've exhausted a ton of I names recently (2001 to 2004 all had I storm retirements). By comparison to the B, E, and G names, the ratio on R names is disheartening (100% retirement rate. Both Roxanne and Rita were named, then retired. For this reason, I fear a possible Rene). W also has a 100% retirement rate, but only on one storm.

In terms of names this season to be big ones, I once again look at past season odds. The most notable letters are:

C: C names have been unusual recently in that they have largely unexpected results (Charley's strengthening, Chris's weakening, Cindy's damage). However, since modern naming, only twice (Cesar, this name list, and Charley) have C storm been retired. Odds don't favor this, but as I said, C storms with unexpected impact have been increasing, so I expect things from the eventual Cristobal.

E: E names are hardly retirement quality (the last one was Elena in 85), but recently, they've been heavier hitters and stranger (Emily, Ernesto, and Erin), I anticipate running totals, so Edouard is one to watch.

F: F names are looking fairly threatening, as we've had three retirements since 00. The part I fear the most, however, is not the F retirements, it's Bertha. This Bertha much resembled 96's, and the F storm of 96, Fran, was truly a heavy hitter. Due to this, Fay seems like it may be interesting to watch.

I: I names have a notable ratio recently. Not only did Ingrid last year end a streak of I hurricanes active since 89, but a LOT of the I storms were notable (Irene of 99's damage, the 01-04 streak, Irene of 05's longevity, and 00's Isaac's strength. Ike is likely a name to watch.

K: K names are becoming the norm for big storms lately (since 2000, all seasons that had a K storm had that storm become a hurricane, and of the instances (00, 01, 02, 03, 04, 05, and 07), a majority were majors (4 to 3), so odds say Kyle is to be a big name.

R: R names, as I pointed out, never avoid retirement, so Rene.

Short form: Cristobal, Edouard, Fay, Ike, Kyle, and Rene.

Also, I just have a nitpicky problem with Paloma. What language did this come from? I've never heard it before.

[Cleveland Kent Evans]

Also, I just have a nitpicky problem with Paloma. What language did this come from? I've never heard it before.

Paloma is a Spanish name meaning "dove". People into either art history or minor celebrities know it as the name of Paloma Picasso, daughter of the famous painter and a jewelry designer herself:

http://www.tiffany.com/Shopping/Categor ... cat=148206

http://video.style.com/?&fr_story=77518 ... 95aa61a164

[Mecklenburg]

my predictions:

ARTHUR - TS (done)
BERTHA - Cat3 (done)
CRISTOBAL - TS
DOLLY - Cat2
EDOUARD - Cat 4
FAY - TS
GUSTAV - Cat4
HANNA - Cat4
IKE - TS
JOSEPHINE - Cat1
KYLE - TS
LAURA - Cat3
MARCO - Cat5
NANA - TS
OMAR - TS
PALOMA - Cat4
RENE - TS
SALLY - Cat1
TEDDY - TS

[americanrebel]

Gustav, Nana and Vicki will be the bad ones which other ones maybe Eduardo.

[Mecklenburg]

Just an observation:

as we all know there are 6 sets of names used for Atlantic hurricanes that is recycled every 6 years... each of these set of names has produced at least a Category 5 storm except for set #6... take a look:

Set 1: which starts with Ana, Bill, Claudette, Danny... etc... has produced David (1979), Isabel (2003)

Set 2: which starts with Alex, Bonnie, Charley, Danielle... etc... has produced Allen (1980), Andrew (1992), Mitch (1998), Ivan (2004)

Set 3: which starts with Arlene, Bret, Cindy, Dennis... etc... has produced Emily (2005), Katrina (2005), Rita (2005), Wilma (2005)

Set 4: which starts with Alberto, Beryl, Chris, Debby... etc... has produced Gilbert (1988)

Set 5: which starts with Allison, Barry, Chantal, Dean... etc... has produced Hugo (1989), Dean (2007), Felix (2007)

Set 6: which starts with Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal, Dolly... has produced none so far within it's 4 time use...

could it finally produce a Cat 5 this year? we'll see...

[Mecklenburg]

here is my prediction for the 2008 season

[deleted]

[jojo]

Gustav and Ike are my two biggies for this season

[Mecklenburg]

Gustav

[Ad Novoxium]

here is my prediction for the 2008 season

http://bp3.blogger.com/_hrWY1QnVAkA/SIL ... ricane.PNG

Your prediction is that a red X is going to form and make landfall on my image viewer.

[Mecklenburg]

i realized that many betted on GUSTAV.. it does have a strong feeling attached to it...

[Category 5]

here is my prediction for the 2008 season

http://bp3.blogger.com/_hrWY1QnVAkA/SIL ... ricane.PNG

Your prediction is that a red X is going to form and make landfall on my image viewer.

HOLY CRAP I'M EVACUATING NOW!

[Mecklenburg]

here is my prediction for the 2008 season

http://bp3.blogger.com/_hrWY1QnVAkA/SIL ... ricane.PNG

Your prediction is that a red X is going to form and make landfall on my image viewer.

HOLY CRAP I'M EVACUATING NOW!

why?

[somethingfunny]

Gustav and Ike are my two biggies for this season

BUMP

[HURAKAN]

Edouard
Ike
Laura

Confidense (low)

Even if Laura is nothing major, anyone in baseball batting .333 earns millions!

I liked Ike as a candidate simply because of Iris, Isidore, Isabel, and Ivan.