Anyone have another list of funny nhc advisories like this one?

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Hurricane2022
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Re: Anyone have another list of funny nhc advisories like this one?

#61 Postby Hurricane2022 » Mon Oct 02, 2023 4:34 am

RELIABLE MODEL INTENSITY GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH MOST MEMBERS INDICATING LIMITED INTENSIFICATION THROUGH TAU 24, AFTER WHICH CONTINUOUS WEAKENING THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE ONE EXCEPTION TO THIS HAPPY STORY IS COAMPS-TC (GFS VERSION), WHICH IS THE ONLY MEMBERS TO NOT MAKE LANDFALL OVER TAIWAN AND AS A RESULT SHOWS CONTINUOUS INTENSIFICATION THROUGH TAU 120.

From the JTWC Discussion on Typhoon Koinu 2023
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Re: Anyone have another list of funny nhc advisories like this one?

#62 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Nov 13, 2023 12:28 pm

TD 17W

BUT WHILE THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN BELOW WARNING CRITERIA, IT IS ALSO
EXPECTED TO REGENERATE LIKE A PHOENIX AFTER TAU 36.
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Re: Anyone have another list of funny nhc advisories like this one?

#63 Postby weeniepatrol » Thu Aug 29, 2024 5:45 pm

Hone:

One of the Hawaiian definitions for Hone is mischievous, or to tease. Certainly Hone has been living up to its namesake as both the track, and especially the intensity forecast, remain quite challenging and complex.
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Re: Anyone have another list of funny nhc advisories like this one?

#64 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Oct 03, 2024 9:41 pm

...LITTLE LESLIE SLOWLY MOVING WESTWARD...
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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

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Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

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Re: Anyone have another list of funny nhc advisories like this one?

#65 Postby AnnularCane » Thu Oct 03, 2024 10:24 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
...LITTLE LESLIE SLOWLY MOVING WESTWARD...



Awwww, that's sweet. lol

:22:
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Re: Anyone have another list of funny nhc advisories like this one?

#66 Postby Travorum » Thu Oct 03, 2024 10:56 pm

Kirk advisory #19, a fun Star Trek nod.
Kirk continues to prosper. The earlier eyewall replacement cycle
appears to have completed, and Kirk is back on a strengthening
trend.
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Re: Anyone have another list of funny nhc advisories like this one?

#67 Postby CycloneSakura » Mon Oct 28, 2024 8:49 pm

TYPHOON (TY) 15W (NAMTHEUN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 158 NM
SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TY 15W IS CLASSIFIED AS A MIDGET SYSTEM
WITH A VERY SMALL, COMPACT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AND HAS
RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS FROM 25 KNOTS TO THE
CURRENT INTENSITY OF 65 KNOTS.

While it isn't an Atlantic storm, this is just the JTWC bullying Namtheun 2016
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Re: Anyone have another list of funny nhc advisories like this one?

#68 Postby Ernestt » Mon Dec 23, 2024 9:01 am

From Freddy:

JTWC FORECAST LIES CLOSE TO THE COAMPS-TC GUIDANCE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE ALTERNATE, I AM LEGEND, SCENARIO SEES TC FREDDY DO A U-TURN AFTER MAKING A BRIEF PASSAGE OVER THE COAST OF MOZAMBIQUE, RETURNING TO WATER BY TAU 96 AND QUICKLY REINTENSIFYING. WHILE CONFIDENCE IN THIS SCENARIO REMAINS LOW, WITH INCREASING MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATING A LOOP BACK TO SEA, PROBABILITIES ARE INCREASING.


And another one:
THE SYSTEM WILL RAPIDLY WEAKEN OVER THE TERRAIN OF NORTHERN MOZAMBIQUE, ULTIMATELY DISSIPATING BELOW WARNING CRITERIA BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. BUT FREDDY IS A LIKE A B-REEL HORROR MOVIE THAT NEVER ENDS AND AS DISCUSSED BELOW, IT MAY NOT STAY OVER LAND FOR LONG.
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Re: Anyone have another list of funny nhc advisories like this one?

#69 Postby StormWeather » Wed Dec 25, 2024 1:18 pm

This one from is from Bheki back in November:

Due to the displacement of deep convection, the more lower subjective dvoraks are dismissed. This one is toast folks.

Time to let it go.
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Re: Anyone have another list of funny nhc advisories like this one?

#70 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Dec 26, 2024 9:36 am

StormWeather wrote:This one from is from Bheki back in November:

Due to the displacement of deep convection, the more lower subjective dvoraks are dismissed. This one is toast folks.

Time to let it go.

Where did you find that!? :lol:
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Anyone have another list of funny nhc advisories like this one?

#71 Postby Hurricane2022 » Thu Dec 26, 2024 10:07 am

From JTWC's advisory on Cyclone Chido
ALTHOUGH RAPID INTENSIFICATION (RI) GUIDANCE DID NOT TRIGGER ON THE LATEST RUN, THERE ARE ANOTHER 12 HOURS TO GO BEFORE THE RI THREAT CAN BE ELIMINATED AND WE CAN BE CONFIDENT THAT THE GHOST OF FREDDY WILL NOT RISE AGAIN.
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Sorry for the bad English sometimes...!
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.

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Una cvm Christo, pro Christo, et in Christo. Sit nomen Domini benedictvm.

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Re: Anyone have another list of funny nhc advisories like this one?

#72 Postby StormWeather » Mon Dec 30, 2024 5:26 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
StormWeather wrote:This one from is from Bheki back in November:

Due to the displacement of deep convection, the more lower subjective dvoraks are dismissed. This one is toast folks.

Time to let it go.


I was on Zoom Earth and that was a part of the final warning from the JTWC on Cyclone Bheki that Zoom Earth showed.
Where did you find that!? :lol:
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Re: Anyone have another list of funny nhc advisories like this one?

#73 Postby StormWeather » Mon Feb 03, 2025 6:29 pm

This was from one of the last discussions on Elvis just days ago.

FINALLY, THE SHIPS AND HWRF GUIDANCE DEPICT THE SYSTEM WEAKENING
BELOW WARNING CRITERIA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE JTWC FORECAST
IS ROUGHLY BASED ON A BLEND OF THE HAFS-A, COAMPS-TC AND
PERSISTENCE.
THANK YOU VERY MUCH.
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Re: Anyone have another list of funny nhc advisories like this one?

#74 Postby CycloneSakura » Fri Mar 21, 2025 7:26 pm

THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS COMPLICATED BY THE UNCERTAIN EXISTENCE OF
AN ACTUAL TROPICAL CYCLONE...


TS Ana 2009 Discussion 22
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