Texas Fall 2025
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Re: Texas Fall 2025
Well that storm that blew through Ponder, let me tell you I was down south in Northlake looking at it and as I got into town there was trees down, trash cans everywhere, shingles getting ripped off a roofs. Quite the storm
Those mping reports were me for the Ponder area.
Those mping reports were me for the Ponder area.
Last edited by HockeyTx82 on Fri Sep 05, 2025 7:20 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
- cheezyWXguy
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Re: Texas Fall 2025
Surprised no one is talking about the hailer moving into Denton right now. Good thing the core is behind the boundary, or else some rotation shenanigans may have been afoot. Looks like it made an attempt a short while ago to wrap the boundary back in, but couldn’t quite do it and is being outrun.
Edit: Ah, hockey beat me to the punch
Edit: Ah, hockey beat me to the punch
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Re: Texas Fall 2025
Warning's been extended to the western 1/3rd of Collin County, although it seems to mostly be for outflow winds for the far southern portion. There's also a SPS for the outflow in Tarrant County.
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Re: Texas Fall 2025
cheezyWXguy wrote:Surprised no one is talking about the hailer moving into Denton right now. Good thing the core is behind the boundary, or else some rotation shenanigans may have been afoot. Looks like it made an attempt a short while ago to wrap the boundary back in, but couldn’t quite do it and is being outrun.
Edit: Ah, hockey beat me to the punch
Yes I was watching that storm in the very Southern Fringe where that hook was dropping out and let me tell you the amount of dust I saw swirling down on the surface was very very spooky.
I was down in that area trying to get home and just watched it in an amazement, like this is really cool but it was also very elevated.
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Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
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Re: Texas Fall 2025
Second Severe Thunderstorm warning for me tonight.
Crazy weather.
1.00" of rain today, and counting.
Crazy weather.
1.00" of rain today, and counting.
Last edited by HockeyTx82 on Fri Sep 05, 2025 10:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
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Re: Texas Fall 2025
Getting some rain in Tarrant finally, was worried would miss us.
My hometown in KS got baseball hail Wednesday so that’s on my mind with severe warnings around lol.
My hometown in KS got baseball hail Wednesday so that’s on my mind with severe warnings around lol.
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- wxman22
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Re: Texas Fall 2025
The first 50's of the season occurred overnight just barely, at 59 lol. On another note Denton got pounded last night.




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Re: Texas Fall 2025
Windows are open and can feel the cool breeze...65F. Winter come faster!
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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Re: Texas Fall 2025
Wow, I have windows open. In early September. I don't do this unless it's below 70 outside.
Even growing up in Kansas we were usually sweating about this time at the state fair with low 90s or at least upper 80s. This is some crazy weather, but I am loving it.
Even growing up in Kansas we were usually sweating about this time at the state fair with low 90s or at least upper 80s. This is some crazy weather, but I am loving it.
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Re: Texas Fall 2025
I still don't see anything crazy hot showing up... I mean we always have 90s in September unfortunately that's not news
and also September was very dry last year
Seeing talk of a big front around the 20th. Time is ticking for sure

Seeing talk of a big front around the 20th. Time is ticking for sure
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#neversummer
- txtwister78
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Re: Texas Fall 2025
A nice soaking rain falling this morning across the San Antonio metro.
Some areas across the region this weekend including NW Bexar County have picked up a 2-3 inches of rain with even a few isolated pockets of 5 inches across the southern Hill Country north of San Antonio.
In addition areas out west also did pretty well overnight. Temps feel great. Got to enjoy it before the mid 90's return this week.
Some areas across the region this weekend including NW Bexar County have picked up a 2-3 inches of rain with even a few isolated pockets of 5 inches across the southern Hill Country north of San Antonio.
In addition areas out west also did pretty well overnight. Temps feel great. Got to enjoy it before the mid 90's return this week.
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- wxman22
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Re: Texas Fall 2025
Brent wrote:I still don't see anything crazy hot showing up... I mean we always have 90s in September unfortunately that's not newsand also September was very dry last year
Seeing talk of a big front around the 20th. Time is ticking for sure
Yep temps at least look seasonal,things could be much worse.
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Re: Texas Fall 2025
Brent wrote:I still don't see anything crazy hot showing up... I mean we always have 90s in September unfortunately that's not newsand also September was very dry last year
Seeing talk of a big front around the 20th. Time is ticking for sure
It seems like the first 'big' cold front of autumn happens a few days either side of the equinox. The front today is not the big one, but it isn't shabby. Decent rain with it. The first real cold front doesn't officially end hurricane season here but with the tropics dead (on the Euro ensembles, anyway) I'm thinking the season is winding down. However, there is an October hurricane about every 50 years, the 1949 Freeport storm crossed from the Pacific and was a high end Cat 2 when it hit Freeport. 1989 and Jerry was 36 years, in a sense return frequency is meaningless except as a probability, but any given year has a 2% chance of an October storm.
Silver lining if this year is the 2%, unlike last year, an October hurricane won't send me to DFW to have working AC.
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Re: Texas Fall 2025
https://youtu.be/QxymIc0HYPw?feature=shared
Does anyone have a thought on this guy's forecast or his history?
Just another clickbate YouTuber?
Does anyone have a thought on this guy's forecast or his history?
Just another clickbate YouTuber?
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Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
- FloppaHorn
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- Location: Rowlett, TX
Re: Texas Fall 2025
HockeyTx82 wrote:https://youtu.be/QxymIc0HYPw?feature=shared
Does anyone have a thought on this guy's forecast or his history?
Just another clickbate YouTuber?
I actually watch this guy quite a bit during storm season. He is a YouTuber. I believe he got his official Meteorology degree this past spring. He's a good guy and knows his stuff; however, I'm sure he may lack the experience of more seasoned forecasters.
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Re: Texas Fall 2025
HockeyTx82 wrote:https://youtu.be/QxymIc0HYPw?feature=shared
Does anyone have a thought on this guy's forecast or his history?
Just another clickbate YouTuber?
I dunno man I'm keeping my expectations very low. Most of the analogs here that I found so far have sucked
People are wanting to equate a cool wet summer to a cold snowy winter but honestly our snowiest winter here was between two of the worst summers we've ever seen

Also the two wettest years here it barely snowed in the winter and so far were still on pace for a very wet year... Heck they were among the warmest winters we've seen even
I mean it's not hopeless 2020 was an easy summer too but its literally like all over the place
Of course last winter our biggest snowstorm here came out of nowhere with no hype too so... That was the same storm the Euro kept showing a foot in DFW and all the snow south of us
And by sunset the very next day 80 percent of the snow was gone because temperatures were so borderline even up here
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#neversummer
Re: Texas Fall 2025
Beautiful fall-like temperatures this morning with low-60's.
Not looking forward to the warm up later this week. I'm headed to Arkansas for a football game and the forecast for Saturday is sunny and 97F.
Not looking forward to the warm up later this week. I'm headed to Arkansas for a football game and the forecast for Saturday is sunny and 97F.

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